Cameron Norrie and Nicolas Jarry will square off in the 4^th round of Wimbledon for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.83
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.98

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Nicolas Jarry

This will be the 3^rd time that Cameron Norrie and Nicolas Jarry face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Norrie and Jarry (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they played, Norrie won 6-3 4-6 7-6(6) in the qualifications in Rome back in 2019.

Cameron Norrie

Ranked no. 61, Norrie reached the 4^th round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-6(3), Frances Tiafoe 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-5 and Mattia Bellucci 7-6(5) 6-4 6-3.

In the 3^rd round, Norrie had a good straight sets win against Bellucci (7-6⁵ 6-4 6-3). During the match, Norrie scored 113 points vs Bellucci’s 98. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about the service games, Norrie made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 64% of his first serves in, winning 65% (43/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (23/37) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Bellucci 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cameron has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Norrie has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (336-216). 3-2 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Norrie has an overall 27-25 match record in the last years on grass.

Cameron’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Geneva.

The Brit has an overall 24-18 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Nicolas Jarry

Ranked no. 143, the Chilean reached the 4^th round after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-6(5) 6-1, Jozef Kovalik 6-3 6-4, Lukas Klein 6-4 6-2 6-4, Holger Rune 4-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4, Learner Tien 6-2 6-2 6-3 and Joao Fonseca 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-6(4).

In the 3^rd round, Jarry had a good straight sets win against Fonseca (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-6⁴). During the match Jarry scored 139 points vs Fonseca’s 126. Jarry was very aggressive to blast 70 winners.

Talking about serving, Jarry overwhelmed his opponent with 25 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (70/89) of his 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chilean broke Fonseca twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nicolas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Nicolas has a composed 16-16 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Norrie	Jarry
Match played	3	6
Tot Set	11	19
Tot Games	114	184
Pts	379-346	607-485
Total Points	725	1092
Winners	183	287
%Winners	48%	47%

Norrie played 3 matches while Jarry competed in 6 matches. Jarry started his run from the qualifications while Norrie had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Cameron Norrie conceded 2 sets, while Nicolas Jarry dropped 3 sets. Norrie has played 8 set(s) less than Jarry (11 vs 19). Therefore, Norrie played 70 games less than Jarry. The Brit scored 183 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Jarry recorded 287 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Norrie	Jarry
Aces	41	104
Avg per match	13.7	17.3
1st in	257/366	352/520
%1st in	70%	68%
1st pts	183/257	287/352
%1st pts	71%	82%
2nd pts	56/109	102/168
%2nd pts	51%	61%

Norrie scored 41 aces (13.7 per match). Jarry made 104 aces (17.3 per match). Norrie won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Norrie	Jarry
Won	15	20
Converted	15/32	20/50
% Converted	47%	40%
Conceded	31	20
Saved	22	16
% Saved	71%	80%
Times Broken	9	4

Norrie broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Norrie dropped his serve 9 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Jarry broke his opponents 20 times with a 40% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Norrie
	R1 Bautista-Agut	R2 Tiafoe	R3 Bellucci	Total
Score	6-3 3-6 6-4 7-63	4-6 6-4 6-3 7-5	7-65 6-4 6-3
Tot Set	4	4	3	11
Tot Games	41	41	32	114
pts	127-129	139-119	113-98	379-346
Total points	256	258	211	725
Winners	71	69	43	183
%Winners	56%	50%	38%	48%
SERVE
Aces	18	17	6	41
Double Faults	5	3	2	10
1st in	100/143	91/120	66/103	257/366
% 1st in	70%	76%	64%	70%
1st pts	71/100	69/91	43/66	183/257
% 1st pts	71%	76%	65%	71%
2nd pts	19/43	14/29	23/37	56/109
% 2nd pts	44%	48%	62%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	5	6	15
Converted	4/7	5/13	6/12	15/32
Converted %	57%	38%	50%	47%
Conceded	11	9	11	31
Saved	8/11	6/9	8/11	22
Saved %	73%	67%	73%	71%
Times Broken	3	3	3	9

Jarry
	Q1 Kotov	Q2 Kovalik	Q3 Klein	R1 Rune	R2 Tien	R3 Fonseca	Total
Score	7-65 6-1	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-2 6-4	4-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4	6-2 6-2 6-3	6-3 6-4 3-6 7-64
Tot Set	2	2	3	5	3	4	19
Tot Games	20	19	28	51	25	41	184
pts	65-49	66-49	91-69	153-136	93-56	139-126	607-485
Total points	114	115	160	289	149	265	1092
Winners	27	34	46	66	44	70	287
%Winners	42%	52%	51%	43%	47%	50%	47%
SERVE
Aces	9	17	13	31	9	25	104
Double Faults	2	2	2	8	2	7	23
1st in	30/49	41/56	57/80	84/139	51/63	89/133	352/520
% 1st in	61%	73%	71%	60%	81%	67%	68%
1st pts	27/30	34/41	46/57	66/84	44/51	70/89	287/352
% 1st pts	90%	83%	81%	79%	86%	79%	82%
2nd pts	14/19	8/15	13/23	35/55	8/12	24/44	102/168
% 2nd pts	74%	53%	57%	64%	67%	55%	61%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	4	5	2	20
Converted	3/10	2/5	4/7	4/11	5/10	2/7	20/50
Converted %	30%	40%	57%	36%	50%	29%	40%
Conceded	0	2	1	6	0	11	20
Saved	0/0	2/2	1/1	3/6	0/0	10/11	16
Saved %	–	100%	100%	50%	–	91%	114%
Times Broken	0	0	0	3	0	1	4

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 7-6⁴ 7-6) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-6⁶ 4-6 4-6 6-3 7-6) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Mattia BellucciBellucci (7-6⁵ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3 6-7⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Marin CilicCilic – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jordan ThompsonThompson (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction