Cameron Norrie and Nicolas Jarry will square off in the 4th round of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Court 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cameron Norrie who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Cameron Norrie is the pick to win this match.
Cameron Norrie -> 1.83
Nicolas Jarry -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Cameron Norrie vs. Nicolas Jarry
This will be the 3rd time that Cameron Norrie and Nicolas Jarry face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Norrie and Jarry (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Norrie won 6-3 4-6 7-6(6) in the qualifications in Rome back in 2019.
Cameron Norrie
24 - 18win/loss
27
8
LWWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 39-29 | 11-15 | 14-7 | 10-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-21 | 7-4 | 8-8 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-25 | 14-12 | 18-7 | 1-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 26-11 | 11-5 | 6-7 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-25 | 25-11 | 16-5 | 9-7 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 61, Norrie reached the 4th round after defeating Roberto Bautista Agut 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-6(3), Frances Tiafoe 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-5 and Mattia Bellucci 7-6(5) 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Norrie had a good straight sets win against Bellucci (7-65 6-4 6-3). During the match, Norrie scored 113 points vs Bellucci’s 98. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about the service games, Norrie made 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Cameron Norrie lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Norrie put 64% of his first serves in, winning 65% (43/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (23/37) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Bellucci 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cameron has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Norrie has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (336-216). 3-2 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Norrie has an overall 27-25 match record in the last years on grass.
Cameron’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Geneva.
The Brit has an overall 24-18 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Nicolas Jarry
16 - 16win/loss
123
16
LLLLLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-22 | 2-6 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-24 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 143, the Chilean reached the 4th round after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-6(5) 6-1, Jozef Kovalik 6-3 6-4, Lukas Klein 6-4 6-2 6-4, Holger Rune 4-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4, Learner Tien 6-2 6-2 6-3 and Joao Fonseca 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-6(4).
In the 3rd round, Jarry had a good straight sets win against Fonseca (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-64). During the match Jarry scored 139 points vs Fonseca’s 126. Jarry was very aggressive to blast 70 winners.
Talking about serving, Jarry overwhelmed his opponent with 25 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (70/89) of his 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chilean broke Fonseca twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nicolas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
Nicolas has a composed 16-16 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Norrie | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 19 |
| Tot Games | 114 | 184 |
| Pts | 379-346 | 607-485 |
| Total Points | 725 | 1092 |
| Winners | 183 | 287 |
| %Winners | 48% | 47% |
Norrie played 3 matches while Jarry competed in 6 matches. Jarry started his run from the qualifications while Norrie had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Cameron Norrie conceded 2 sets, while Nicolas Jarry dropped 3 sets. Norrie has played 8 set(s) less than Jarry (11 vs 19). Therefore, Norrie played 70 games less than Jarry. The Brit scored 183 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Jarry recorded 287 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Norrie | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 41 | 104 |
| Avg per match | 13.7 | 17.3 |
| 1st in | 257/366 | 352/520 |
| %1st in | 70% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 183/257 | 287/352 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 56/109 | 102/168 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 61% |
Norrie scored 41 aces (13.7 per match). Jarry made 104 aces (17.3 per match). Norrie won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Norrie | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 20 |
| Converted | 15/32 | 20/50 |
| % Converted | 47% | 40% |
| Conceded | 31 | 20 |
| Saved | 22 | 16 |
| % Saved | 71% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 4 |
Norrie broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Norrie dropped his serve 9 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Jarry broke his opponents 20 times with a 40% conversion rate. Nicolas conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Norrie | |||||
| R1 Bautista-Agut |
R2 Tiafoe |
R3 Bellucci |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-63 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 7-5 | 7-65 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 41 | 41 | 32 | 114 | |
| pts | 127-129 | 139-119 | 113-98 | 379-346 | |
| Total points | 256 | 258 | 211 | 725 | |
| Winners | 71 | 69 | 43 | 183 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 50% | 38% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 18 | 17 | 6 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 100/143 | 91/120 | 66/103 | 257/366 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 76% | 64% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 71/100 | 69/91 | 43/66 | 183/257 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 76% | 65% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/43 | 14/29 | 23/37 | 56/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 48% | 62% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 5/13 | 6/12 | 15/32 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 38% | 50% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 | 11 | 31 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 6/9 | 8/11 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 67% | 73% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Jarry | ||||||||
| Q1 Kotov |
Q2 Kovalik |
Q3 Klein |
R1 Rune |
R2 Tien |
R3 Fonseca |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-2 6-4 | 4-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 3-6 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 28 | 51 | 25 | 41 | 184 | |
| pts | 65-49 | 66-49 | 91-69 | 153-136 | 93-56 | 139-126 | 607-485 | |
| Total points | 114 | 115 | 160 | 289 | 149 | 265 | 1092 | |
| Winners | 27 | 34 | 46 | 66 | 44 | 70 | 287 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 52% | 51% | 43% | 47% | 50% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 9 | 17 | 13 | 31 | 9 | 25 | 104 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | |
| 1st in | 30/49 | 41/56 | 57/80 | 84/139 | 51/63 | 89/133 | 352/520 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 73% | 71% | 60% | 81% | 67% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 34/41 | 46/57 | 66/84 | 44/51 | 70/89 | 287/352 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 83% | 81% | 79% | 86% | 79% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/19 | 8/15 | 13/23 | 35/55 | 8/12 | 24/44 | 102/168 | |
| % 2nd pts | 74% | 53% | 57% | 64% | 67% | 55% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 20 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 2/5 | 4/7 | 4/11 | 5/10 | 2/7 | 20/50 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 40% | 57% | 36% | 50% | 29% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 10/11 | 16 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 100% | 50% | – | 91% | 114% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWLW
LLLLLLWWWW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 7-64 7-6) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Nuno BorgesBorges (7-66 4-6 4-6 6-3 7-6) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Joao FonsecaFonseca (6-3 6-4 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Mattia BellucciBellucci (7-65 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-5 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-4 6-3 6-75 6-1) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marin CilicCilic – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – August HolmgrenHolmgren (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Jordan ThompsonThompson (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Cameron NorrieNorrie (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
