Marco Trungelliti and Jan Choinski will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Troyes Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on AMPLITUDE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marco Trungelliti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Marco Trungelliti is the pick to win this match.
Marco Trungelliti -> 1.79
Jan Choinski -> 1.94

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Prediction and head to head Marco Trungelliti vs. Jan Choinski

This will be the 2^nd time that Marco Trungelliti and Jan Choinski face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Trungelliti (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Trungelliti won 7-6(6) 0-6 6-2 in the 1^st round in the Heilbronn Challenger back in June 2025.

Marco Trungelliti

Ranked no. 149, Trungelliti reached the semifinal after defeating Florent Bax 4-6 6-1 6-4, Matteo Martineau 2-6 6-3 6-3 and Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo 7-6(4) 6-4.

In the quarter, Trungelliti had a good straight sets win against Sanchez-Izquierdo (7-6⁴ 6-4). During the match, Trungelliti scored 88 points vs Sanchez-Izquierdo’s 77. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about the service games, Trungelliti bagged 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Marco Trungelliti lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Trungelliti put 52% of his first serves in, winning 74% (34/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (17/42) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Sanchez-Izquierdo 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Trungelliti has dropped 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.

Trungelliti has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 58% of his matches (307-219). 21-12 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Trungelliti has an overall 221-130 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Lyon Challenger where he beat Daniel Merida Aguilar in the final 6-3 4-6 6-3.

Trungelliti has an overall 24-17 win-loss record in 2025, 21-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Troyes Challenger

Jan Choinski

Ranked no. 200, the Brit got to the semifinal after defeating Theo Papamalamis 7-6(5) 6-3, Branko Djuric 6-2 7-5 and Harold Mayot 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Mayot (6-2 6-3). During the match Choinski scored 77 points vs Mayot’s 60. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Choinski managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve once and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 56% of his first serves in, winning 71% (30/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. The Brit broke Mayot 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jan hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Choinski has a composed 14-16 win-loss record in 2025, 8-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Troyes Challenger

Jan has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Trungelliti	Choinski
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	6
Tot Games	76	59
Pts	285-254	233-185
Total Points	539	418
Winners	104	94
%Winners	36%	40%

Both Trungelliti and Choinski played 3 matches. At the moment, Marco Trungelliti lost 2 sets while Jan Choinski hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Trungelliti has played 2 sets more than Choinski (8 vs 6). Therefore, Trungelliti played 17 games more than Choinski. Trungelliti scored 104 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Jan recorded 94 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Trungelliti	Choinski
Aces	5	10
Avg per match	1.7	3.3
1st in	149/261	131/214
%1st in	57%	61%
1st pts	104/149	94/131
%1st pts	70%	72%
2nd pts	49/112	47/83
%2nd pts	44%	57%

Trungelliti made 5 aces (1.7 per match). Choinski scored 10 aces (3.3 per match). Trungelliti won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Trungelliti	Choinski
Won	15	10
Converted	15/41	10/28
% Converted	37%	36%
Conceded	32	19
Saved	21	16
% Saved	66%	84%
Times Broken	11	3

The Argentine broke his opponents 15 times with a 37% conversion rate. Trungelliti dropped his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded. The Brit broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. Jan conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.

Trungelliti
	R1 Bax	R2 Martineau	1/4 Sanchez-Izquierdo	Total
Score	4-6 6-1 6-4	2-6 6-3 6-3	7-64 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	27	26	23	76
pts	100-86	97-91	88-77	285-254
Total points	186	188	165	539
Winners	37	33	34	104
%Winners	37%	34%	39%	36%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	3	5
Double Faults	13	8	5	26
1st in	50/91	53/82	46/88	149/261
% 1st in	55%	65%	52%	57%
1st pts	37/50	33/53	34/46	104/149
% 1st pts	74%	62%	74%	70%
2nd pts	18/41	14/29	17/42	49/112
% 2nd pts	44%	48%	40%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	5	4	15
Converted	6/14	5/17	4/10	15/41
Converted %	43%	29%	40%	37%
Conceded	13	9	10	32
Saved	9/13	5/9	7/10	21
Saved %	69%	56%	70%	65%
Times Broken	4	4	3	11

Choinski
	R1 Papamalamis	R2 Djuric	1/4 Mayot	Total
Score	7-65 6-3	6-2 7-5	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	22	20	17	59
pts	91-79	65-46	77-60	233-185
Total points	170	111	137	418
Winners	33	31	30	94
%Winners	36%	48%	39%	40%
SERVE
Aces	1	7	2	10
Double Faults	0	2	2	4
1st in	54/88	35/51	42/75	131/214
% 1st in	61%	69%	56%	61%
1st pts	33/54	31/35	30/42	94/131
% 1st pts	61%	89%	71%	72%
2nd pts	23/34	8/16	16/33	47/83
% 2nd pts	68%	50%	48%	57%
Breaks
Won	2	4	4	10
Converted	2/10	4/9	4/9	10/28
Converted %	20%	44%	44%	36%
Conceded	6	4	9	19
Saved	5/6	3/4	8/9	16
Saved %	83%	75%	89%	82%
Times Broken	1	1	1	3

Tennis Scores in Troyes Challenger

• David Poljak/Tim RuehlPoljak/Tim Ruehl – Neil Oberleitner/Mats RosenkranzOberleitner/Mats Rosenkranz (6-2 6-7³ 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini – Calvin HemeryHemery (0-1) – H2H and prediction