Francesco Maestrelli and Tom Paris will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Brasov Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on CENTER. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Maestrelli who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesco Maestrelli is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Maestrelli -> 1.34
Tom Paris -> 3.04

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Tom Paris

There is no head to head record between Francesco Maestrelli and Tom Paris since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Francesco Maestrelli

Ranked no. 237, the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Felipe Meligeni Alves 4-6 6-3 6-4, Alexander Donski 6-2 6-4 and Marko Topo 2-6 6-4 7-5.

In the quarter against Topo, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 7-5). During the match, Maestrelli scored 85 points vs Topo’s 84. Francesco was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Maestrelli fired 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Francesco Maestrelli was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (39/52) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Italian broke Topo 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Maestrelli has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Maestrelli has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (171-144). 19-12 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Maestrelli has an overall114-90 record in the last 8 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Francavilla Challenger where he defeated Valentin Vacherot in the final 6-4 6-4.

Maestrelli has an overall 22-16 win-loss record in 2025, 19-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Brasov Challenger

Francesco has never competed in this tournament before.

Tom Paris

Ranked no. 391 (career-high), Tom got to the semifinal after defeating S D Prajwal Dev 6-2 7-5, Andrea Guerrieri 6-4 6-4, Tommaso Compagnucci 6-4 4-6 6-3, Manas Manoj Dhamne 6-1 6-4 and Radu Mihai Papoe 6-2 5-7 7-6(5).

In the quarter, The French player defeated Mihai Papoe (6-2 5-7 7-6⁵). During the match Paris scored 96 points vs Mihai Papoe’s 91. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about serving, Paris scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Tom Paris lost the serve 5 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Paris put 62% of his first serves in, winning 68% (39/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Tom broke Mihai Papoe 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tom started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Paris’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Oslo and M25 Nussloch.

The French player has a compiled 26-16 win-loss record in 2025, 10-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Maestrelli	Paris
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	8	10
Tot Games	77	99
Pts	236-212	336-278
Total Points	448	614
Winners	104	128
%Winners	44%	38%

Maestrelli played 3 matches while Paris competed in 4 matches. Paris started his run from the qualifications while Maestrelli had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Maestrelli conceded 2 sets, while Tom Paris lost 2 sets. Maestrelli has played 2 set(s) less than Paris (8 vs 10). Therefore, Maestrelli played 22 games less than Paris. The Italian scored 104 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The French player made 128 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Maestrelli	Paris
Aces	28	10
Avg per match	9.3	2.5
1st in	135/223	178/310
%1st in	61%	57%
1st pts	104/135	128/178
%1st pts	77%	72%
2nd pts	49/88	74/132
%2nd pts	56%	56%

Maestrelli recorded 28 aces (9.3 per match). Paris blasted 10 aces (2.5 per match). Maestrelli won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Paris won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Maestrelli	Paris
Won	9	17
Converted	9/18	17/29
% Converted	50%	59%
Conceded	17	21
Saved	12	12
% Saved	71%	57%
Times Broken	5	9

Maestrelli broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Paris broke his opponents 17 times with a 59% conversion rate. Paris conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Maestrelli
	R1 Meligeni	R2 Donski	1/4 Topo	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-4	6-2 6-4	2-6 6-4 7-5
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	29	18	30	77
pts	90-81	61-47	85-84	236-212
Total points	171	108	169	448
Winners	41	24	39	104
%Winners	46%	39%	46%	44%
SERVE
Aces	14	3	11	28
Double Faults	5	0	4	9
1st in	50/88	33/52	52/83	135/223
% 1st in	57%	63%	63%	61%
1st pts	41/50	24/33	39/52	104/135
% 1st pts	82%	73%	75%	77%
2nd pts	18/38	14/19	17/31	49/88
% 2nd pts	47%	74%	55%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3	3	9
Converted	3/7	3/6	3/5	9/18
Converted %	43%	50%	60%	50%
Conceded	8	3	6	17
Saved	6/8	3/3	3/6	12
Saved %	75%	100%	50%	75%
Times Broken	2	0	3	5

Paris
	Q1 D Prajwal Dev	Q3 Guerrieri	R1 Compagnucci	R2 Manoj	1/4 Mihai	Total
Score	6-2 7-5	6-4 6-4	6-4 4-6 6-3	6-1 6-4	6-2 5-7 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	3	2	3	12
Tot Games	20	20	29	17	33	119
pts	80-61	–	93-80	67-46	96-91	336-278
Total points	141	0	173	113	187	614
Winners	28		36	25	39	128
%Winners	35%	0%	39%	37%	41%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	0	2	2	1	10
Double Faults	6		5	1	3	15
1st in	43/77	/	45/87	33/54	57/92	178/310
% 1st in	56%	0%	52%	61%	62%	57%
1st pts	28/43	/	36/45	25/33	39/57	128/178
% 1st pts	65%	0%	80%	76%	68%	72%
2nd pts	18/34	/	27/42	14/21	15/35	74/132
% 2nd pts	53%	0%	64%	67%	43%	56%
Breaks
Won	6		2	3	6	17
Converted	6/10	/	2/4	3/6	6/9	17/29
Converted %	60%	0%	50%	50%	67%	59%
Conceded	9		3	3	6	21
Saved	6/9	0/	2/3	3/3	1/6	12
Saved %	67%	–	67%	100%	17%	84%
Times Broken	3		1	0	5	9

Tennis Scores in Brasov Challenger

• Vladyslav Orlov/Santiago Rodriguez TavernaOrlov/Santiago Rodriguez Taverna – Siddhant Banthia/Alexander DonskiBanthia/Alexander Donski (5-7 6-4 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction