Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova will square off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on Court 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.45
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.75
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Liudmila Samsonova
This will be the 2nd time that Daria Kasatkina and Liudmila Samsonova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they competed against each other, Samsonova won 2-6 6-3 6-2 in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in March 2025.
Highlights Liudmila Samsonova vs Daria Kasatkina – Indian Wells 10-March-2025
Daria Kasatkina
16 - 16win/loss
18
8
LWWLLLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-17 | 9-8 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Darya reached the 3rd round after beating Emiliana Arango 7-5 6-3 and Irina-Camelia Begu 6-2 4-6 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Darya defeated Begu (6-2 4-6 6-1). During the match, Kasatkina scored 96 points vs Begu’s 69. Darya was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina blasted 2 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 73% of her first serves in, winning 66% (35/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Begu 8 times after converting 73% of her break points (8/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kasatkina has lost 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (315-208). 2-3 on grass in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Kasatkina has an overall 37-21 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Darya has a compiled 16-16 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Liudmila Samsonova
22 - 15win/loss
19
12
LWWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-16 | 9-8 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Samsonova reached the 3rd round after defeating Maya Joint 6-3 6-2 and Yuliia Starodubtseva 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Starodubtseva (6-2 6-1). During the match Samsonova scored 60 points vs Starodubtseva’s 36. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Samsonova wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Liudmila Samsonova was quite efficient on serve to win 87% (20/23) of her 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ludmilla broke Starodubtseva 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 63% of the points she played.
Samsonova’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Strasbourg.
The Russian has a compiled 22-15 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 32 |
| Pts | 176-137 | 121-72 |
| Total Points | 313 | 193 |
| Winners | 71 | 36 |
| %Winners | 40% | 30% |
Both Kasatkina and Samsonova played 2 matches. At the moment, Daria Kasatkina lost 1 set while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set more than Samsonova (5 vs 4). Therefore, Kasatkina played 14 games more than Samsonova. The Australian scored 71 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 36 winners (30%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 109/155 | 43/81 |
| %1st in | 70% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 71/109 | 36/43 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 17/46 | 21/38 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 55% |
Kasatkina fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Samsonova blasted 2 aces (1 per match). Kasatkina won 65% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 84% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 11 |
| Converted | 14/27 | 11/18 |
| % Converted | 52% | 61% |
| Conceded | 21 | 3 |
| Saved | 13 | 1 |
| % Saved | 62% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 2 |
The Australian broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Australian lost her serve 8 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve twice and she saved 33% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | ||||
| R1 Arango |
R2 Begu |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 25 | 46 | |
| pts | 80-68 | 96-69 | 176-137 | |
| Total points | 148 | 165 | 313 | |
| Winners | 36 | 35 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 36% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 6 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 56/82 | 53/73 | 109/155 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 73% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 36/56 | 35/53 | 71/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 66% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/26 | 9/20 | 17/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 31% | 45% | 37% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 8/11 | 14/27 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 73% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 8 | 21 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 4/8 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 50% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Samsonova | ||||
| R1 Joint |
R2 Starodubtseva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 15 | 32 | |
| pts | 61-36 | 60-36 | 121-72 | |
| Total points | 97 | 96 | 193 | |
| Winners | 16 | 20 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 33% | 30% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 20/44 | 23/37 | 43/81 | |
| % 1st in | 45% | 62% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 16/20 | 20/23 | 36/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 87% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | 8/14 | 21/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 57% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/8 | 11/18 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 63% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 17% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLLWWW
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- Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (7-2) – H2H and prediction
- Clara TausonTauson – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
