Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Sonego will clash against each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Court 14. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.53
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Lorenzo Sonego

This will be the 2nd time that Brandon Nakashima and Lorenzo Sonego fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Sonego (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they played, Sonego won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 1st round in Hong kong back in 2024.

Highlights Lorenzo Sonego vs Brandon Nakashima – Hong kong 30-December-2024

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

22 - 18win/loss

Hard
10-7
I Hard
0-1
Clay
6-8
Grass
6-2
Rank
33
High
29
LLLWLWLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-30 19-14 6-8 2-5 6-3 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 34, Nakashima reached the 3rd round after beating Bu Yunchaokete 6-4 4-6 7-6(1) 6-4 and Reilly Opelka 7-5 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Opelka (7-5 6-2 6-76 6-3). During the match, Nakashima scored 136 points vs Opelka’s 106. Nakashima was very aggressive to blast 71 winners.

Talking about the service games, Nakashima blasted 12 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Brandon Nakashima was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (71/86) of his 1st serve and 69% (18/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Brandon broke Opelka 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has lost 2 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Nakashima has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (248-158). 6-2 on grass in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a composed 30-18 match record in the last years on grass.

Nakashima’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Acapulco and Houston.

The American has an overall 22-18 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Nakashima's Record

Lorenzo Sonego

Lorenzo Sonego

13 - 16win/loss

Hard
7-6
I Hard
1-2
Clay
1-5
Grass
4-3
Rank
39
High
21
LWWWLWWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-29 11-14 1-5 8-6 5-4 0-0
2024 27-33 10-14 10-11 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 30-31 10-12 9-7 9-8 2-4 0-0
2022 30-29 7-9 8-11 10-5 5-4 0-0
2021 30-24 9-11 9-4 6-6 6-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 47, Lorenzo reached the 3rd round after defeating Jaime Faria 6-3 6-4 6-2 and Nikoloz Basilashvili 6-1 6-3 6-7(3) 7-6.

In the 2nd round, Lorenzo had a good straight sets win against Basilashvili (6-1 6-3 6-73 7-6). During the match Sonego scored 138 points vs Basilashvili’s 113. Lorenzo was very aggressive to blast 60 winners.

About the serving games, Sonego made 11 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Lorenzo Sonego was pretty efficient on serve to win 76% (60/79) of his 1st serve and 63% (26/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Lorenzo broke Basilashvili 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Lorenzo has a composed 13-16 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021. See his history.

Wimbledon
Sonego's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

B.Nakashima
L.Sonego
6h:00
6h:00
Time on court​
4h:45
4h:45
!
2h:26
2h:26
Last match​
!
3h:02
3h:02
2
2
Match played
2
2
85
85
Games Played​
69
69
8
8
Set played​​
7
7
285
285
Total points​
232
232
142.5
142.5
Avg point​
116
116
138
138
Winners
108
108
69
69
Avg Winners​
54
54
48%
48%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
33
33
Aces
26
26
!
16.5
16.5
Avg Aces
!
13
13
3
3
Double Faults
0
0
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
0
0
138/174
138/174
1st won total​
108/139
108/139
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
78%
78%
41/69
41/69
2nd won total​
36/55
36/55
59%
59%
2nd won %
!
65%
65%
-- Break Points --
7/18
7/18
BP won
10/21
10/21
3.5/9
3.5/9
Avg BP won
5/10.5
5/10.5
39%
39%
Won
48%
48%
11
11
Conceded
6
6
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
3
3
2
2
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
9
9
Saved
4
4
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Nakashima Sonego
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 8 7
Tot Games 85 69
Pts 285-236 232-178
Total Points 521 410
Winners 138 108
%Winners 48% 47%

Both Nakashima and Sonego played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Brandon Nakashima lost 2 sets, while Lorenzo Sonego dropped 1 set. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Sonego (8 vs 7). Therefore, Nakashima played 16 games more than Sonego. Brandon scored 138 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Lorenzo recorded 108 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Nakashima Sonego
Aces 33 26
Avg per match 16.5 13
1st in 174/243 139/194
%1st in 72% 72%
1st pts 138/174 108/139
%1st pts 79% 78%
2nd pts 41/69 36/55
%2nd pts 59% 65%

Nakashima fired 33 aces (16.5 per match). Sonego scored 26 aces (13 per match). Nakashima won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 78% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Nakashima Sonego
Won 7 10
Converted 7/18 10/21
% Converted 39% 48%
Conceded 11 6
Saved 9 4
% Saved 82% 67%
Times Broken 2 2

The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. The American dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Nakashima
R1
Yunchaokete		 R2
Opelka		 Total
Score 6-4 4-6 7-61 6-4 7-5 6-2 6-76 6-3
Tot Set 4 4 8
Tot Games 43 42 85
pts 149-130 136-106 285-236
Total points 279 242 521
Winners 67 71 138
%Winners 45% 52% 48%
SERVE
Aces 21 12 33
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 88/131 86/112 174/243
% 1st in 67% 77% 72%
1st pts 67/88 71/86 138/174
% 1st pts 76% 83% 79%
2nd pts 23/43 18/26 41/69
% 2nd pts 53% 69% 59%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/8 4/10 7/18
Converted % 38% 40% 39%
Conceded 9 2 11
Saved 7/9 2/2 9
Saved % 78% 100% 89%
Times Broken 2 0 2
Sonego
R1
Faria		 R2
Basilashvili		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-1 6-3 6-73 7-6
Tot Set 3 4 7
Tot Games 27 42 69
pts 94-65 138-113 232-178
Total points 159 251 410
Winners 48 60 108
%Winners 51% 43% 47%
SERVE
Aces 15 11 26
Double Faults 0 0 0
1st in 60/74 79/120 139/194
% 1st in 81% 66% 72%
1st pts 48/60 60/79 108/139
% 1st pts 80% 76% 78%
2nd pts 10/14 26/41 36/55
% 2nd pts 71% 63% 65%
Breaks
Won 4 6 10
Converted 4/9 6/12 10/21
Converted % 44% 50% 48%
Conceded 2 4 6
Saved 2/2 2/4 4
Saved % 100% 50% 75%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw

Nakashima
More Stats
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Sonego

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