Alex De Minaur and August Holmgren will play each other in the 3^rd round of Wimbledon for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:00 pm on Court 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.108
August Holmgren -> 6.65

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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. August Holmgren

There is no head to head record between Alex De Minaur and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 11, the Australian reached the 3^rd round after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 6-2 7-6(2) and Arthur Cazaux 4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0.

In the 2^nd round against Cazaux, The Australian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0). During the match, De Minaur scored 123 points vs Cazaux’s 94. Alex was pretty aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Talking about the service games, De Minaur scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (42/57) of his 1st serve and 63% (25/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Australian broke Cazaux 7 times after converting 35% of his break points (7/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alex has surrendered 1 set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (388-217). 2-1 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an aggregate 53-24 match record in the last years on grass.

Alex’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Rotterdam.

Alex has a composed 29-12 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

August Holmgren

Ranked no. 192, August reached the 3^rd round after beating Giles Hussey 4-6 6-3 7-5, Mikhail Kukushkin 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2, Yosuke Watanuki 6-4 6-7(2) 3-6 7-6(11) 7-6(7), Quentin Halys 7-6(4) 6-3 6-4 and Tomas Machac 7-6(5) 6-7(8) 6-7(5) 7-5 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, August had a tough win against Machac to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-6⁵ 6-7⁸ 6-7⁵ 7-5 7-6⁵). During the match Holmgren scored 209 points vs Machac’s 200. August was very aggressive to blast 96 winners.

About the serving games, Holmgren submerged his opponent with 35 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Overall, August Holmgren was very effective on serve to win 88% (96/109) of his 1st serve and 52% (49/95) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Dane broke Machac twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

August started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 6 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.

The Dane has an overall 11-14 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

August has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Holmgren
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	7	19
Tot Games	63	216
Pts	228-172	660-637
Total Points	400	1297
Winners	75	322
%Winners	33%	49%

De Minaur played 2 matches while Holmgren competed in 5 matches. Holmgren started his run from the qualifications while De Minaur had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alex De Minaur surrendered 1 set, while August Holmgren dropped 6 sets. De Minaur has played 12 set(s) less than Holmgren (7 vs 19). Therefore, De Minaur played 153 games less than Holmgren. Alex scored 75 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, August recorded 322 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Holmgren
Aces	9	113
Avg per match	4.5	22.6
1st in	98/185	387/664
%1st in	53%	58%
1st pts	75/98	322/387
%1st pts	77%	83%
2nd pts	53/87	140/277
%2nd pts	61%	51%

De Minaur managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Holmgren fired 113 aces (22.6 per match). De Minaur won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Holmgren
Won	12	14
Converted	12/30	14/36
% Converted	40%	39%
Conceded	9	32
Saved	6	22
% Saved	67%	69%
Times Broken	3	10

De Minaur broke his opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Australian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Dane broke his opponents 14 times with a 39% conversion rate. Holmgren conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 Carballes Baena	R2 Cazaux	Total
Score	6-2 6-2 7-62	4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0
Tot Set	3	4	7
Tot Games	29	34	63
pts	105-78	123-94	228-172
Total points	183	217	400
Winners	33	42	75
%Winners	31%	34%	33%
SERVE
Aces	8	1	9
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	41/88	57/97	98/185
% 1st in	47%	59%	53%
1st pts	33/41	42/57	75/98
% 1st pts	80%	74%	77%
2nd pts	28/47	25/40	53/87
% 2nd pts	60%	63%	61%
Breaks
Won	5	7	12
Converted	5/10	7/20	12/30
Converted %	50%	35%	40%
Conceded	5	4	9
Saved	4/5	2/4	6
Saved %	80%	50%	65%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Holmgren
	Q1 Hussey	Q2 Kukushkin	Q3 Watanuki	R1 Halys	R2 Machac	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 7-5	4-6 7-64 6-2	6-4 6-72 3-6 7-611 7-67	7-64 6-3 6-4	7-65 6-78 6-75 7-5 7-65
Tot Set	3	3	5	3	5	19
Tot Games	31	31	58	32	64	216
pts	88-81	93-88	171-181	99-87	209-200	660-637
Total points	169	181	352	186	409	1297
Winners	39	47	84	56	96	322
%Winners	44%	51%	49%	57%	46%	49%
SERVE
Aces	14	23	21	20	35	113
Double Faults	1	6	12	6	12	37
1st in	54/87	51/86	107/181	66/106	109/204	387/664
% 1st in	62%	59%	59%	62%	53%	58%
1st pts	39/54	47/51	84/107	56/66	96/109	322/387
% 1st pts	72%	92%	79%	85%	88%	83%
2nd pts	18/33	13/35	37/74	23/40	49/95	140/277
% 2nd pts	55%	37%	50%	58%	52%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	3	3	2	2	14
Converted	4/6	3/6	3/13	2/4	2/7	14/36
Converted %	67%	50%	23%	50%	29%	39%
Conceded	4	6	8	4	10	32
Saved	1/4	4/6	4/8	4/4	9/10	22
Saved %	25%	67%	50%	100%	90%	166%
Times Broken	3	2	4	0	1	10

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

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