Tristan Schoolkate and Rei Sakamoto will fight against each other in the quarter of the Cary Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:00 am on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Schoolkate who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tristan Schoolkate is the pick to win this match.
Tristan Schoolkate -> 1.666
Rei Sakamoto -> 2.11

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Prediction and head to head Tristan Schoolkate vs. Rei Sakamoto

This will be the 2^nd time that Tristan Schoolkate and Rei Sakamoto square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Schoolkate (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Schoolkate won 7-6(4) 7-5 in the 1^st round in the Gwangju Challenger back in April 2025.

Tristan Schoolkate

Ranked no. 104, Tristan got to the quarter after beating Yi Zhou 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-1 and Andre Ilagan 6-1 3-6 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, The Australian defeated Ilagan (6-1 3-6 6-2). During the match, Schoolkate scored 83 points vs Ilagan’s 71. Schoolkate was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Schoolkate bagged 11 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Tristan Schoolkate lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Schoolkate put 48% of his first serves in, winning 75% (30/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (20/44) on the 2nd serve. Schoolkate broke Ilagan 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tristan has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Schoolkate has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (202-140). 25-14 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Schoolkate has a composed135-93 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Brisbane 1 Challenger where he overcame Marek Gengel in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and the Ilkley Challenger where he beat Jack Pinnington Jones in the final 6-7(8) 6-4 6-3.

Tristan has a compiled 32-19 win-loss record in 2025, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cary Challenger

Rei Sakamoto

Ranked no. 291, Rei reached the quarter after defeating Nicolas Mejia 6-7(8) 6-3 6-3 and Patrick Maloney 3-6 6-1 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Maloney, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-2). During the match Sakamoto scored 74 points vs Maloney’s 57. Rei was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Sakamoto struck 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Rei Sakamoto was extremely effective on serve to win 89% (32/36) of his 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rei was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Maloney 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sakamoto has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Japanese’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger.

The Japanese has a compiled 18-13 win-loss record in 2025, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cary Challenger

The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Schoolkate	Sakamoto
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	57	55
Pts	204-182	195-168
Total Points	386	363
Winners	74	87
%Winners	36%	45%

Both Schoolkate and Sakamoto played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tristan Schoolkate surrendered 2 sets, while Rei Sakamoto conceded 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Schoolkate and Sakamoto have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Schoolkate played 2 games more than Sakamoto. Tristan scored 74 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese scored 87 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Schoolkate	Sakamoto
Aces	26	22
Avg per match	13	11
1st in	94/193	116/194
%1st in	49%	60%
1st pts	74/94	87/116
%1st pts	79%	75%
2nd pts	50/99	40/78
%2nd pts	51%	51%

Schoolkate managed to score 26 aces (13 per match). Sakamoto fired 22 aces (11 per match). Schoolkate won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Sakamoto won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Schoolkate	Sakamoto
Won	8	9
Converted	8/22	9/17
% Converted	36%	53%
Conceded	17	16
Saved	15	13
% Saved	88%	81%
Times Broken	2	3

Schoolkate broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Schoolkate surrendered his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Rei conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.

Schoolkate
	R1 Zhou	R2 Ilagan	Total
Score	7-65 6-74 6-1	6-1 3-6 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	33	24	57
pts	121-111	83-71	204-182
Total points	232	154	386
Winners	44	30	74
%Winners	36%	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	15	11	26
Double Faults	6	8	14
1st in	54/109	40/84	94/193
% 1st in	50%	48%	49%
1st pts	44/54	30/40	74/94
% 1st pts	81%	75%	79%
2nd pts	30/55	20/44	50/99
% 2nd pts	55%	45%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	5	8
Converted	3/12	5/10	8/22
Converted %	25%	50%	36%
Conceded	7	10	17
Saved	7/7	8/10	15
Saved %	100%	80%	90%
Times Broken	0	2	2

Sakamoto
	R1 Mejia	R2 Maloney	Total
Score	6-78 6-3 6-3	3-6 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	31	24	55
pts	121-111	74-57	195-168
Total points	232	131	363
Winners	55	32	87
%Winners	45%	43%	45%
SERVE
Aces	12	10	22
Double Faults	4	1	5
1st in	80/133	36/61	116/194
% 1st in	60%	59%	60%
1st pts	55/80	32/36	87/116
% 1st pts	69%	89%	75%
2nd pts	27/53	13/25	40/78
% 2nd pts	51%	52%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/13	4/4	9/17
Converted %	38%	100%	53%
Conceded	15	1	16
Saved	13/15	0/1	13
Saved %	87%	0%	44%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Patrick KypsonKypson (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Yibing WuWu – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – (1-0) – H2H and prediction