Liam Draxl and Aidan Mayo will face off in the quarter of the Cary Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liam Draxl is the pick to win this match.
Liam Draxl -> 1.25
Aidan Mayo -> 3.64

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Prediction and head to head Liam Draxl vs. Aidan Mayo

This will be the 2nd time that Liam Draxl and Aidan Mayo play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Draxl (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Draxl won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in the Puerto Vallarta Challenger back in 2024.

Liam Draxl

Liam Draxl

31 - 16win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
15-6
Clay
10-5
Grass
0-1
Rank
123
High
113
LWWLLWLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 49-29 20-13 10-5 19-10 0-1 0-0
2024 51-24 21-10 17-12 13-2 0-0 0-0
2023 36-9 23-5 0-0 13-4 0-0 0-0
2022 26-16 16-10 3-1 7-5 0-0 0-0
2021 29-14 16-9 12-3 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 147, Liam reached the quarter after defeating Philip Sekulic 6-2 6-2 and Joshua Sheehy 6-2 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Liam had a good straight sets win against Sheehy (6-2 6-2). During the match, Draxl scored 60 points vs Sheehy’s 38. Draxl was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Draxl was unable to score even 1 ace and he committed only 3 double faults. Liam Draxl was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Liam broke Sheehy 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Draxl hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 61% of the points he played.

Draxl has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (191-97). 5-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Draxl has an aggregate93-48 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Draxl’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger,the Sarasota Challenger and the Savannah Challenger.

The Canadian has an aggregate 30-16 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cary Challenger

Cary Challenger
Draxl's Record

Aidan Mayo

Aidan Mayo

11 - 16win/loss

Hard
11-7
I Hard
0-5
Clay
0-4
Rank
516
High
269
LLLWWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-22 16-12 0-4 0-5 1-1 0-0
2024 28-32 16-18 4-4 7-9 1-1 0-0
2023 46-28 24-15 2-5 20-8 0-0 0-0
2022 34-25 27-19 4-4 3-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-8 9-6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 299, the American reached the quarter after beating Andres Andrade 6-1 6-3 and Hiroki Moriya 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Moriya (6-4 6-4). During the match Mayo scored 70 points vs Moriya’s 58. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Mayo bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Aidan Mayo lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mayo put 50% of his first serves in, winning 67% (22/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Moriya 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aidan hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Mayo has an overall 11-15 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Cary Challenger
Mayo's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Draxl
A.Mayo
2h:47
2h:47
Time on court​
2h:47
2h:47
1h:34
1h:34
Last match​
1h:38
1h:38
2
2
Match played
2
2
32
32
Games Played​
36
36
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
122
122
Total points​
133
133
61
61
Avg point​
66.5
66.5
48
48
Winners
42
42
24
24
Avg Winners​
21
21
39%
39%
Ratio winners
32%
32%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
7
7
2.5
2.5
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
5
5
Double Faults
3
3
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
48/61
48/61
1st won total​
42/59
42/59
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
21/32
21/32
2nd won total​
37/55
37/55
!
66%
66%
2nd won %
!
67%
67%
-- Break Points --
8/16
8/16
BP won
7/16
7/16
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
3.5/8
3.5/8
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
1
1
Conceded
9
9
0.5
0.5
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
1
1
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Draxl Mayo
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 32 36
Pts 122-78 133-97
Total Points 200 230
Winners 48 42
%Winners 39% 32%

Both Draxl and Mayo played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Draxl and Mayo have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Draxl played 4 games less than Mayo. The Canadian scored 48 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 42 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve Draxl Mayo
Aces 5 7
Avg per match 2.5 3.5
1st in 61/93 59/114
%1st in 66% 52%
1st pts 48/61 42/59
%1st pts 79% 71%
2nd pts 21/32 37/55
%2nd pts 66% 67%

Draxl blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Mayo made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Draxl won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Mayo won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Draxl Mayo
Won 8 7
Converted 8/16 7/16
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 1 9
Saved 1 8
% Saved 100% 89%
Times Broken 0 1

The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Draxl was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Aidan conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Draxl
R1
Sekulic
R2
Sheehy
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 6-2 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 16 32
pts 62-40 60-38 122-78
Total points 102 98 200
Winners 24 24 48
%Winners 39% 40% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 0 5
Double Faults 2 3 5
1st in 31/46 30/47 61/93
% 1st in 67% 64% 66%
1st pts 24/31 24/30 48/61
% 1st pts 77% 80% 79%
2nd pts 10/15 11/17 21/32
% 2nd pts 67% 65% 66%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/8 4/8 8/16
Converted % 50% 50% 50%
Conceded 1 0 1
Saved 1/1 0/0 1
Saved % 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Mayo
R1
Andrade
R2
Moriya
Total
Score 6-1 6-3 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 20 36
pts 63-39 70-58 133-97
Total points 102 128 230
Winners 20 22 42
%Winners 32% 31% 32%
SERVE
Aces 2 5 7
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 26/48 33/66 59/114
% 1st in 54% 50% 52%
1st pts 20/26 22/33 42/59
% 1st pts 77% 67% 71%
2nd pts 15/22 22/33 37/55
% 2nd pts 68% 67% 67%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/8 3/8 7/16
Converted % 50% 38% 44%
Conceded 3 6 9
Saved 3/3 5/6 8
Saved % 100% 83% 92%
Times Broken 0 1 1

Upcoming matches in the draw