Liam Draxl and Aidan Mayo will face off in the quarter of the Cary Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liam Draxl who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liam Draxl is the pick to win this match.
Liam Draxl -> 1.25
Aidan Mayo -> 3.64
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Prediction and head to head Liam Draxl vs. Aidan Mayo
This will be the 2nd time that Liam Draxl and Aidan Mayo play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Draxl (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Draxl won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in the Puerto Vallarta Challenger back in 2024.
Liam Draxl
31 - 16win/loss
132
113
LWWLLWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 49-29 | 20-13 | 10-5 | 19-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-24 | 21-10 | 17-12 | 13-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-9 | 23-5 | 0-0 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-16 | 16-10 | 3-1 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-14 | 16-9 | 12-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 147, Liam reached the quarter after defeating Philip Sekulic 6-2 6-2 and Joshua Sheehy 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Liam had a good straight sets win against Sheehy (6-2 6-2). During the match, Draxl scored 60 points vs Sheehy’s 38. Draxl was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Draxl was unable to score even 1 ace and he committed only 3 double faults. Liam Draxl was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Liam broke Sheehy 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draxl hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 61% of the points he played.
Draxl has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (191-97). 5-4 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Draxl has an aggregate93-48 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Draxl’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Oeiras 1 Challenger,the Oeiras 3 Challenger,the Sarasota Challenger and the Savannah Challenger.
The Canadian has an aggregate 30-16 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
Aidan Mayo
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-22 | 16-12 | 0-4 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-32 | 16-18 | 4-4 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-28 | 24-15 | 2-5 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-25 | 27-19 | 4-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-8 | 9-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 299, the American reached the quarter after beating Andres Andrade 6-1 6-3 and Hiroki Moriya 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Moriya (6-4 6-4). During the match Mayo scored 70 points vs Moriya’s 58. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Mayo bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Aidan Mayo lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mayo put 50% of his first serves in, winning 67% (22/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (22/33) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Moriya 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aidan hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Mayo has an overall 11-15 win-loss record in 2025, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draxl | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 36 |
| Pts | 122-78 | 133-97 |
| Total Points | 200 | 230 |
| Winners | 48 | 42 |
| %Winners | 39% | 32% |
Both Draxl and Mayo played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Draxl and Mayo have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Draxl played 4 games less than Mayo. The Canadian scored 48 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The American recorded 42 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draxl | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 61/93 | 59/114 |
| %1st in | 66% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 48/61 | 42/59 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 21/32 | 37/55 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 67% |
Draxl blasted 5 aces (2.5 per match). Mayo made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Draxl won 79% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Mayo won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draxl | Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/16 | 7/16 |
| % Converted | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 100% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
The Canadian broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Draxl was rock solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 1 break points. The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Aidan conceded his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draxl | ||||
| R1 Sekulic |
R2 Sheehy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 32 | |
| pts | 62-40 | 60-38 | 122-78 | |
| Total points | 102 | 98 | 200 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/46 | 30/47 | 61/93 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 24/30 | 48/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 80% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 11/17 | 21/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 65% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mayo | ||||
| R1 Andrade |
R2 Moriya |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 20 | 36 | |
| pts | 63-39 | 70-58 | 133-97 | |
| Total points | 102 | 128 | 230 | |
| Winners | 20 | 22 | 42 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 31% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 26/48 | 33/66 | 59/114 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 50% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 22/33 | 42/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 22/33 | 37/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/8 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 38% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 5/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 83% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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