H2H, prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu in Wimbledon with odds, preview, pick | 4th July 2025

PREVIEW. London. Sabalenka and Raducanu will square off in the 3rd round of Wimbledon. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 4th of July

By
Mark Hall
-

Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Raducanu will clash against each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 7:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.21
Emma Raducanu -> 4.4

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Emma Raducanu

This will be the 2nd time that Aryna Sabalenka and Emma Raducanu face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they locked horns, Sabalenka won 6-3 7-5 in the 3rd round in Indian Wells back in 2024.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Emma Raducanu – Indian Wells 11-March-2024

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

44 - 8win/loss

Hard
23-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-3
Grass
4-1
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-9 23-4 17-3 0-0 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
See all years

Currently world no. 1 Sabalenka reached the 3rd round after beating Carson Branstine 6-1 7-5 and Marie Bouzkova 7-6(4) 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Belarussian had a good straight sets win against Bouzkova (7-64 6-4). During the match, Sabalenka scored 74 points vs Bouzkova’s 58. The Belarussian was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Aryna Sabalenka was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 88% (30/34) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Sabalenka broke Bouzkova twice after converting 50% of her break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Aryna hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a tremendous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (418-176). 4-1 on grass in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an aggregate 38-20 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Aryna has a compiled 44-8 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Sabalenka
Wimbledon
Sabalenka's Record

Emma Raducanu

Emma Raducanu
Emma Raducanu

18 - 13win/loss

Hard
7-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
6-4
Grass
5-2
Rank
45
High
10
LWWLWLWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-14 7-6 6-4 0-1 5-3 0-0
2024 23-13 9-8 4-2 3-0 7-3 0-0
2023 5-5 5-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 17-19 10-11 6-5 0-1 1-2 0-0
2021 25-9 18-4 0-0 2-2 5-3 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 40, the Brit got to the 3rd round after beating Mingge Xu 6-3 6-3 and Marketa Vondrousova 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Emma had a good straight sets win against Vondrousova (6-3 6-3). During the match Raducanu scored 72 points vs Vondrousova’s 54. Raducanu was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Raducanu made 2 aces and she was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Emma Raducanu lost the serve once and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Raducanu put 72% of her first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the 2nd serve. Raducanu broke Vondrousova 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

The Brit has an overall 18-13 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2021 and 2024. See her history.

Raducanu
Wimbledon
Raducanu's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
E.Raducanu
2h:48
2h:48
Time on court​
2h:47
2h:47
1h:35
1h:35
Last match​
1h:22
1h:22
2
2
Match played
2
2
42
42
Games Played​
36
36
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
140
140
Total points​
140
140
70
70
Avg point​
70
70
58
58
Winners
56
56
29
29
Avg Winners​
28
28
41%
41%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
6
6
4
4
Avg Aces
3
3
6
6
Double Faults
2
2
3
3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
58/70
58/70
1st won total​
56/78
56/78
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
30/46
30/46
2nd won total​
15/28
15/28
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
9/23
9/23
2.5/4.5
2.5/4.5
Avg BP won
4.5/11.5
4.5/11.5
!
56%
56%
Won
39%
39%
2
2
Conceded
9
9
1
1
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
1
1
Broken
3
3
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
1
1
Saved
6
6
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Raducanu
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 42 36
Pts 140-105 140-103
Total Points 245 243
Winners 58 56
%Winners 41% 40%

Both Sabalenka and Raducanu played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Raducanu have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sabalenka played 6 games more than Raducanu. The Belarussian scored 58 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Emma managed to score 56 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Raducanu
Aces 8 6
Avg per match 4 3
1st in 70/116 78/106
%1st in 60% 74%
1st pts 58/70 56/78
%1st pts 83% 72%
2nd pts 30/46 15/28
%2nd pts 65% 54%

Sabalenka scored 8 aces (4 per match). Raducanu struck 6 aces (3 per match). Sabalenka won 83% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Raducanu won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Raducanu
Won 5 9
Converted 5/9 9/23
% Converted 56% 39%
Conceded 2 9
Saved 1 6
% Saved 50% 67%
Times Broken 1 3

Sabalenka broke her opponents 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Emma broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Raducanu conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Branstine		 R2
Bouzkova		 Total
Score 6-1 7-5 7-64 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 19 23 42
pts 66-47 74-58 140-105
Total points 113 132 245
Winners 28 30 58
%Winners 42% 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 5 8
Double Faults 3 3 6
1st in 36/59 34/57 70/116
% 1st in 61% 60% 60%
1st pts 28/36 30/34 58/70
% 1st pts 78% 88% 83%
2nd pts 15/23 15/23 30/46
% 2nd pts 65% 65% 65%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/5 2/4 5/9
Converted % 60% 50% 56%
Conceded 1 1 2
Saved 1/1 0/1 1
Saved % 100% 0% 50%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Raducanu
R1
Xu		 R2
Vondrousova		 Total
Score 6-3 6-3 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 18 36
pts 68-49 72-54 140-103
Total points 117 126 243
Winners 30 26 56
%Winners 44% 36% 40%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 6
Double Faults 2 0 2
1st in 40/53 38/53 78/106
% 1st in 75% 72% 74%
1st pts 30/40 26/38 56/78
% 1st pts 75% 68% 72%
2nd pts 5/13 10/15 15/28
% 2nd pts 38% 67% 54%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/12 4/11 9/23
Converted % 42% 36% 39%
Conceded 4 5 9
Saved 2/4 4/5 6
Saved % 50% 80% 65%
Times Broken 2 1 3

Head 2 Head

Aryna Sabalenka
  • 3Slam
  • 20Main
  • 4ITF
  • 2Minor
Emma Raducanu
  • 1Slam
  • 1Main
  • 1ITF
  • 2Minor

Aryna
Sabalenka

2:0

Emma
Raducanu

Rank

1

High

1

1Hard0

1Grass0

Rank

45

High

10

Win Loss
Sabalenka
LWWWWWLWWL
Raducanu
LWWLWLWWLW
2025 2024 2023
47 - 9
18 - 14
23-4
Hard
7-6
17-3
Clay
6-4
7-2
Grass
5-3

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Sabalenka Aryna Sabalenka
More Stats
Click here
Raducanu
Emma Raducanu