Andrey Rublev and Adrian Mannarino will fight against each other in the 3rd round of Wimbledon for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Court 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.29
Adrian Mannarino -> 3.6
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Adrian Mannarino
This will be the 5th time that Andrey Rublev and Adrian Mannarino square off. The head to head is 3-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Rublev won 6-3 6-0 in the 3rd round in Shanghai back in 2023.
Andrey Rublev
20 - 14win/loss
11
5
LLWWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-17 | 7-7 | 8-6 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 14, the Russian got to the 3rd round after defeating Laslo Djere 6-0 7-6(5) 6-7(9) 7-6(6) and Lloyd Harris 6-7(1) 6-4 7-6(5) 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Lloyd, Rublev recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-71 6-4 7-65 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 136 points vs Lloyd’s 113. Andrey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 71 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev blasted 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Andrey Rublev was very effective on serve to win 88% (71/81) of his 1st serve and 58% (22/38) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Andrey broke Lloyd 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rublev has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (425-236). 3-1 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has an overall 27-15 match record in the last years on grass.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Doha where he overcame Jack Draper in the final 7-5 5-7 6-1.
The Russian has an aggregate 20-14 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Adrian Mannarino
17 - 25win/loss
94
17
WWLLWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-28 | 4-10 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 14-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 123, Mannarino got to the 3rd round after defeating Andrea Collarini 6-4 6-2, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-2 6-3, Li Tu 3-6 6-3 6-4 6-4, Christopher O Connell 6-2 6-4 6-3 and Valentin Royer 6-4 6-4 5-7 7-6(1).
In the 2nd round, Mannarino had a good straight sets win against Royer (6-4 6-4 5-7 7-61). During the match Mannarino scored 148 points vs Royer’s 127. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 67 winners.
About the serving games, Mannarino made 18 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (67/78) of his 1st serve and 57% (29/51) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mannarino broke Royer twice after converting 18% of his break points (2/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Adrian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Mexico City Challenger.
The French player has a compiled 17-25 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2013, 2017 and 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 15 |
| Tot Games | 90 | 145 |
| Pts | 299-255 | 494-403 |
| Total Points | 554 | 897 |
| Winners | 139 | 221 |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% |
Rublev played 2 matches while Mannarino competed in 5 matches. Mannarino started his run from the qualifications while Rublev had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 2 sets, while Adrian Mannarino dropped 2 sets. Rublev has played 7 set(s) less than Mannarino (8 vs 15). Therefore, Rublev played 55 games less than Mannarino. Rublev scored 139 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Mannarino fired 221 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 44 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 8.8 |
| 1st in | 169/261 | 272/433 |
| %1st in | 65% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 139/169 | 221/272 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 59/92 | 87/161 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 54% |
Rublev fired 24 aces (12 per match). Mannarino recorded 44 aces (8.8 per match). Rublev won 82% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Mannarino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 19 |
| Converted | 6/21 | 19/48 |
| % Converted | 29% | 40% |
| Conceded | 7 | 25 |
| Saved | 6 | 21 |
| % Saved | 86% | 84% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Russian broke his opponents 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. Andrey dropped his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Mannarino broke his opponents 19 times with a 40% conversion rate. Adrian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | ||||
| R1 Djere |
R2 Lloyd |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-65 6-79 7-66 | 6-71 6-4 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 45 | 45 | 90 | |
| pts | 163-142 | 136-113 | 299-255 | |
| Total points | 305 | 249 | 554 | |
| Winners | 68 | 71 | 139 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 52% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 88/142 | 81/119 | 169/261 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 68% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 68/88 | 71/81 | 139/169 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 88% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 37/54 | 22/38 | 59/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 58% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/15 | 3/6 | 6/21 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 50% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mannarino | |||||||
| Q1 Collarini |
Q2 Budkov |
Q3 Tu |
R1 O |
R2 Royer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 5-7 7-61 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 38 | 27 | 45 | 145 | |
| pts | 70-54 | 55-40 | 120-108 | 101-74 | 148-127 | 494-403 | |
| Total points | 124 | 95 | 228 | 175 | 275 | 897 | |
| Winners | 32 | 26 | 61 | 35 | 67 | 221 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 47% | 51% | 35% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 18 | 44 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 42/66 | 30/47 | 80/119 | 42/72 | 78/129 | 272/433 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | 67% | 58% | 60% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 32/42 | 26/30 | 61/80 | 35/42 | 67/78 | 221/272 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 87% | 76% | 83% | 86% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/24 | 8/17 | 23/39 | 17/30 | 29/51 | 87/161 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 47% | 59% | 57% | 57% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/4 | 3/9 | 6/17 | 2/11 | 19/48 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 33% | 35% | 18% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 2/2 | 5/6 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 100% | 83% | 75% | 75% | 211% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWLW
WWLLWWWWLW Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 6-3 7-69) – See score progression
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Arthur FeryFery (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 3-6 6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Cristian GarinGarin (3-6 6-3 7-63 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (3-6 7-69 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-6 6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-1 7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Arthur CazauxCazaux (4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-1 4-6 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Learner TienTien (6-2 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Oliver TarvetTarvet (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-5 6-72 4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Joao FonsecaFonseca – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-4 6-4 5-7 7-61) – See score progression
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-1 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (1-6 7-67 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (7-64 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-71 6-4 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Billy HarrisHarris (6-3 6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Gabriel DialloDiallo (3-6 6-3 7-60 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 6-3 7-6(9)) – See score progression
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-1 7-6(6) 6-2) – See score progression
- Jakub MensikMensik – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 3-6 6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Arthur CazauxCazaux (4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-6 6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-1 4-6 6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Luciano DarderiDarderi – Arthur FeryFery (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Cristian GarinGarin (3-6 6-3 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-6 7-6(9) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Mariano NavoneNavone (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Aleksandar VukicVukic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- August HolmgrenHolmgren – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Marin CilicCilic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
