Joao Fonseca and Nicolas Jarry will play each other in the 3^rd round of Wimbledon for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on Court 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.56
Nicolas Jarry -> 2.43

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Joao Fonseca vs. Nicolas Jarry

There is no head to head record between Joao Fonseca and Nicolas Jarry since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Joao Fonseca

Ranked no. 54 (career-high), Joao reached the 3^rd round after defeating Jacob Fearnley 6-4 6-1 7-6(5) and Jenson Brooksby 6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Joao defeated Brooksby (6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4). During the match, Fonseca scored 142 points vs Brooksby’s 130. Fonseca was pretty aggressive to blast 59 winners.

Talking about the service games, Fonseca scored 9 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 67% of his first serves in, winning 69% (59/86) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (22/42) on the 2nd serve. Joao broke Brooksby 6 times after converting 35% of his break points (6/17).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Fonseca has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Fonseca has a solid match record in the last 4 years having won 65% of his matches (81-44). 3-2 on grass in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Fonseca has an overall5-6 win-loss record in the last 4 years on grass.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Canberra Challenger where he beat Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Buenos Aires where he beat Francisco Cerundolo in the final 6-4 7-6(1) and the Phoenix Challenger where he defeated Alexander Bublik in the final 7-6(5) 7-6(0).

Joao has an overall 28-11 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Nicolas Jarry

Ranked no. 143, Nicolas reached the 3^rd round after defeating Pavel Kotov 7-6(5) 6-1, Jozef Kovalik 6-3 6-4, Lukas Klein 6-4 6-2 6-4, Holger Rune 4-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4 and Learner Tien 6-2 6-2 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Jarry had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-2 6-2 6-3). During the match Jarry scored 93 points vs Tien’s 56. Nicolas was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about serving, Jarry bagged 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nicolas Jarry was exceptionally effective on serve to win 86% (44/51) of his 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jarry broke Tien 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chilean started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Jarry has an aggregate 15-16 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Fonseca	Jarry
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	7	15
Tot Games	70	143
Pts	247-211	468-359
Total Points	458	827
Winners	113	217
%Winners	46%	46%

Fonseca played 2 matches while Jarry competed in 5 matches. Jarry started his run from the qualifications while Fonseca had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Joao Fonseca conceded 1 set, while Nicolas Jarry conceded 2 sets. Fonseca has played 8 set(s) less than Jarry (7 vs 15). Therefore, Fonseca played 73 games less than Jarry. The Brazilian scored 113 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean struck 217 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Fonseca	Jarry
Aces	20	79
Avg per match	10	15.8
1st in	150/218	263/387
%1st in	69%	68%
1st pts	113/150	217/263
%1st pts	75%	83%
2nd pts	35/68	78/124
%2nd pts	51%	63%

Fonseca blasted 20 aces (10 per match). Jarry struck 79 aces (15.8 per match). Fonseca won 75% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Fonseca	Jarry
Won	9	18
Converted	9/28	18/43
% Converted	32%	42%
Conceded	17	9
Saved	14	6
% Saved	82%	67%
Times Broken	3	3

Joao broke his opponents 9 times with a 32% conversion rate. Joao conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Nicolas broke his opponents 18 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Fonseca
	R1 Fearnley	R2 Brooksby	Total
Score	6-4 6-1 7-65	6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4
Tot Set	3	4	7
Tot Games	30	40	70
pts	105-81	142-130	247-211
Total points	186	272	458
Winners	54	59	113
%Winners	51%	42%	46%
SERVE
Aces	11	9	20
Double Faults	4	4	8
1st in	64/90	86/128	150/218
% 1st in	71%	67%	69%
1st pts	54/64	59/86	113/150
% 1st pts	84%	69%	75%
2nd pts	13/26	22/42	35/68
% 2nd pts	50%	52%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	6	9
Converted	3/11	6/17	9/28
Converted %	27%	35%	32%
Conceded	4	13	17
Saved	4/4	10/13	14
Saved %	100%	77%	89%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Jarry
	Q1 Kotov	Q2 Kovalik	Q3 Klein	R1 Rune	R2 Tien	Total
Score	7-65 6-1	6-3 6-4	6-4 6-2 6-4	4-6 4-6 7-5 6-3 6-4	6-2 6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	3	5	3	15
Tot Games	20	19	28	51	25	143
pts	65-49	66-49	91-69	153-136	93-56	468-359
Total points	114	115	160	289	149	827
Winners	27	34	46	66	44	217
%Winners	42%	52%	51%	43%	47%	46%
SERVE
Aces	9	17	13	31	9	79
Double Faults	2	2	2	8	2	16
1st in	30/49	41/56	57/80	84/139	51/63	263/387
% 1st in	61%	73%	71%	60%	81%	68%
1st pts	27/30	34/41	46/57	66/84	44/51	217/263
% 1st pts	90%	83%	81%	79%	86%	83%
2nd pts	14/19	8/15	13/23	35/55	8/12	78/124
% 2nd pts	74%	53%	57%	64%	67%	63%
Breaks
Won	3	2	4	4	5	18
Converted	3/10	2/5	4/7	4/11	5/10	18/43
Converted %	30%	40%	57%	36%	50%	42%
Conceded	0	2	1	6	0	9
Saved	0/0	2/2	1/1	3/6	0/0	6
Saved %	–	100%	100%	50%	–	125%
Times Broken	0	0	0	3	0	3

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Cristian GarinGarin (3-6 6-3 7-6³ 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Arthur CazauxCazaux (4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-1 4-6 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-1 7-6⁶ 6-2) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Arthur FeryFery (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 6-3 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-6 6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (3-6 7-6⁹ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 3-6 6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (1-6 7-6⁷ 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Billy HarrisHarris (6-3 6-4 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Learner TienTien (6-2 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-4 6-4 5-7 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-1 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-7¹ 6-4 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Oliver TarvetTarvet (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-5 6-7² 4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (7-6⁴ 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Gabriel DialloDiallo (3-6 6-3 7-6⁰ 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 6-3 7-6(9)) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-1 7-6(6) 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 3-6 6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Arthur CazauxCazaux (4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-6 6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-1 4-6 6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Arthur FeryFery (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Cristian GarinGarin (3-6 6-3 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-6 7-6(9) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Mariano NavoneNavone (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nicolas JarryJarry – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Aleksandar VukicVukic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• August HolmgrenHolmgren – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Marin CilicCilic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-1) – H2H and prediction