Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff will square off in the 3^rd round of Wimbledon for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.04
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 11

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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jan-Lennard Struff

This will be the 5^th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.

The last time that they played each other, Alcaraz won 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4) in the 4^th round in Madrid back in 2024.

Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan-Lennard Struff – Madrid 30-April-2024

Carlos Alcaraz

Ranked no. 2, Carlos got to the 3^rd round after defeating Fabio Fognini 7-5 6-7(5) 7-5 2-6 6-1 and Oliver Tarvet 6-1 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Carlos had a good straight sets win against Tarvet (6-1 6-4 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 100 points vs Tarvet’s 73. Carlos was extremely aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz scored 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve twice and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 65% of his first serves in, winning 69% (43/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the 2nd serve. Carlos broke Tarvet 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos has dropped 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 80% of his matches (331-81). 7-0 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate31-3 win-loss record in the last 8 years on grass.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he beat Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he defeated Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2.

Alcaraz has an overall 44-5 win-loss record in 2025, 7-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Jan-Lennard Struff

Ranked no. 125, Struff got to the 3^rd round after defeating Filip Misolic 6-2 5-7 6-3 6-3 and Felix Auger-Aliassime 3-6 7-6(9) 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round against Auger-Aliassime, Jan-Lennard recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-6⁹ 6-3 6-4). During the match Struff scored 143 points vs Auger-Aliassime’s 138. Jan-Lennard was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about serving, Struff managed to score 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jan-Lennard Struff was pretty effective on serve to win 71% (50/70) of his 1st serve and 54% (34/63) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The German broke Auger-Aliassime 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Struff has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

The German has an overall 7-17 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2018, 2019 and 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Alcaraz	Struff
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	8	8
Tot Games	79	79
Pts	284-246	271-240
Total Points	530	511
Winners	120	96
%Winners	42%	35%

Both Alcaraz and Struff played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 2 sets, while Jan-Lennard Struff surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Struff have played the same amount of sets 8. They also played the same amount of games (79). The Spaniard scored 120 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Struff made 96 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Alcaraz	Struff
Aces	17	28
Avg per match	8.5	14
1st in	172/285	126/236
%1st in	60%	53%
1st pts	120/172	96/126
%1st pts	70%	76%
2nd pts	59/113	64/110
%2nd pts	52%	58%

Alcaraz fired 17 aces (8.5 per match). Struff managed to score 28 aces (14 per match). Alcaraz won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Struff won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Alcaraz	Struff
Won	13	10
Converted	13/25	10/26
% Converted	52%	38%
Conceded	32	14
Saved	25	10
% Saved	78%	71%
Times Broken	7	4

Alcaraz broke his opponents 13 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Spaniard surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. Struff broke his opponents 10 times with a 38% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
	R1 Fognini	R2 Tarvet	Total
Score	7-5 6-75 7-5 2-6 6-1	6-1 6-4 6-4
Tot Set	5	3	8
Tot Games	52	27	79
pts	184-173	100-73	284-246
Total points	357	173	530
Winners	77	43	120
%Winners	42%	43%	42%
SERVE
Aces	14	3	17
Double Faults	9	4	13
1st in	110/189	62/96	172/285
% 1st in	58%	65%	60%
1st pts	77/110	43/62	120/172
% 1st pts	70%	69%	70%
2nd pts	41/79	18/34	59/113
% 2nd pts	52%	53%	52%
Breaks
Won	7	6	13
Converted	7/15	6/10	13/25
Converted %	47%	60%	52%
Conceded	21	11	32
Saved	16/21	9/11	25
Saved %	76%	82%	79%
Times Broken	5	2	7

Struff
	R1 Misolic	R2 Auger-Aliassime	Total
Score	6-2 5-7 6-3 6-3	3-6 7-69 6-3 6-4
Tot Set	4	4	8
Tot Games	38	41	79
pts	128-102	143-138	271-240
Total points	230	281	511
Winners	46	50	96
%Winners	36%	35%	35%
SERVE
Aces	18	10	28
Double Faults	6	4	10
1st in	56/103	70/133	126/236
% 1st in	54%	53%	53%
1st pts	46/56	50/70	96/126
% 1st pts	82%	71%	76%
2nd pts	30/47	34/63	64/110
% 2nd pts	64%	54%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	5	10
Converted	5/12	5/14	10/26
Converted %	42%	36%	38%
Conceded	1	13	14
Saved	0/1	10/13	10
Saved %	0%	77%	39%
Times Broken	1	3	4

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-1 4-6 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Arthur FeryFery (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (7-5 6-2 6-7(6) 6-3) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 6-3 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Cristian GarinGarin (3-6 6-3 7-6³ 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-1 7-6⁶ 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 3-6 6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-6 6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (3-6 7-6⁹ 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Arthur CazauxCazaux (4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Mariano NavoneNavone (7-5 7-5 7-6(6)) – See score progression
• Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Oliver TarvetTarvet (6-1 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-5 6-7² 4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Lloyd HarrisHarris (6-7¹ 6-4 7-6⁵ 6-3) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Billy HarrisHarris (6-3 6-4 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Joao FonsecaFonseca – Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby (6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Valentin RoyerRoyer (6-4 6-4 5-7 7-6¹) – See score progression
• Mattia BellucciBellucci – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (7-6⁴ 6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Ethan QuinnQuinn (6-1 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Gabriel DialloDiallo (3-6 6-3 7-6⁰ 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Nicolas JarryJarry – Learner TienTien (6-2 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Cameron NorrieNorrie – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (1-6 7-6⁷ 4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Corentin MoutetMoutet (7-5 4-6 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 6-3 7-6(9)) – See score progression
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-1 7-6(6) 6-2) – See score progression
• Jakub MensikMensik – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 3-6 6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Arthur CazauxCazaux (4-6 6-2 6-4 6-0) – See score progression
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Jesper De JongDe Jong (1-6 6-3 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-1 4-6 6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Arthur FeryFery (6-4 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Cristian GarinGarin (3-6 6-3 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-6 7-6(9) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Gael MonfilsMonfils (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (1-3) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero – Mariano NavoneNavone (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nicolas JarryJarry – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian OfnerOfner – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-3) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Aleksandar VukicVukic (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• August HolmgrenHolmgren – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Marin CilicCilic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – (0-1) – H2H and prediction