Harold Mayot and Jan Choinski will face off in the quarter of the Troyes Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 10:30 am on AMPLITUDE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Harold Mayot who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Harold Mayot is the pick to win this match.
Harold Mayot -> 1.57
Jan Choinski -> 2.28

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Prediction and head to head Harold Mayot vs. Jan Choinski

There is no head to head record between Harold Mayot and Jan Choinski since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Harold Mayot

Ranked no. 184, Harold reached the quarter after beating Paulo Saraiva Dos Santos 6-3 6-4, Buvaysar Gadamauri 6-3 6-1, Clement Tabur 4-6 7-6(0) 6-3 and Arthur Gea 6-3 0-6 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Mayot defeated Gea (6-3 0-6 6-4).During the match, Mayot scored less points (4) than Gea. In fact, the world no. 184 won 84 points vs Gea’s. That means that Mayot was more focused during the important points. The French player was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mayot scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Harold Mayot lost the serve 6 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Mayot put 59% of his first serves in, winning 59% (32/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (13/37) on the 2nd serve. Harold broke Gea 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Harold started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Mayot has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (177-150). 12-7 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mayot has an aggregate63-51 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

Mayot has an overall 17-18 win-loss record in 2025, 12-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Troyes Challenger

Jan Choinski

Ranked no. 200, Jan reached the quarter after beating Theo Papamalamis 7-6(5) 6-3 and Branko Djuric 6-2 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Choinski had a good straight sets win against Djuric (6-2 7-5). During the match Choinski scored 65 points vs Djuric’s 46. The Brit was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about serving, Choinski managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Jan Choinski lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Choinski put 69% of his first serves in, winning 89% (31/35) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (8/16) on the 2nd serve. Choinski broke Djuric 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jan hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The Brit has a composed 13-16 win-loss record in 2025, 7-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mayot	Choinski
Match played	4	2
Tot Set	10	4
Tot Games	92	42
Pts	320-281	156-125
Total Points	601	281
Winners	125	64
%Winners	39%	41%

Mayot played 4 matches while Choinski competed in 2 matches. Mayot started his run from the qualifications while Choinski had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Harold Mayot dropped 2 sets while Jan Choinski hasn’t lost a set so far. Mayot has played 6 sets more than Choinski (10 vs 4). Therefore, Mayot played 50 games more than Choinski. Mayot scored 125 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Choinski bagged 64 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mayot	Choinski
Aces	22	8
Avg per match	5.5	4
1st in	176/300	89/139
%1st in	59%	64%
1st pts	125/176	64/89
%1st pts	71%	72%
2nd pts	59/124	31/50
%2nd pts	48%	62%

Mayot managed to score 22 aces (5.5 per match). Choinski recorded 8 aces (4 per match). Mayot won 71% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mayot	Choinski
Won	16	6
Converted	16/45	6/19
% Converted	36%	32%
Conceded	31	10
Saved	20	8
% Saved	65%	80%
Times Broken	11	2

The French player broke his opponents 16 times with a 36% conversion rate. Harold lost his serve 11 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded. Jan broke his opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve twice and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Mayot
	Q1 Saraiva Dos Santos	Q3 Gadamauri	R1 Tabur	R2 Gea	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-3 6-1	4-6 7-60 6-3	6-3 0-6 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	3	10
Tot Games	19	16	32	25	92
pts	67-52	61-43	108-98	84-88	320-281
Total points	119	104	206	172	601
Winners	26	21	46	32	125
%Winners	39%	34%	43%	38%	39%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	11	1	22
Double Faults	1	0	10	2	13
1st in	34/59	29/47	59/103	54/91	176/300
% 1st in	58%	62%	57%	59%	59%
1st pts	26/34	21/29	46/59	32/54	125/176
% 1st pts	76%	72%	78%	59%	71%
2nd pts	14/25	14/18	18/44	13/37	59/124
% 2nd pts	56%	78%	41%	35%	48%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	5	16
Converted	3/8	4/10	4/16	5/11	16/45
Converted %	38%	40%	25%	45%	36%
Conceded	2	2	11	16	31
Saved	1/2	2/2	7/11	10/16	20
Saved %	50%	100%	64%	63%	69%
Times Broken	1	0	4	6	11

Choinski
	R1 Papamalamis	R2 Djuric	Total
Score	7-65 6-3	6-2 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	20	42
pts	91-79	65-46	156-125
Total points	170	111	281
Winners	33	31	64
%Winners	36%	48%	41%
SERVE
Aces	1	7	8
Double Faults	0	2	2
1st in	54/88	35/51	89/139
% 1st in	61%	69%	64%
1st pts	33/54	31/35	64/89
% 1st pts	61%	89%	72%
2nd pts	23/34	8/16	31/50
% 2nd pts	68%	50%	62%
Breaks
Won	2	4	6
Converted	2/10	4/9	6/19
Converted %	20%	44%	32%
Conceded	6	4	10
Saved	5/6	3/4	8
Saved %	83%	75%	40%
Times Broken	1	1	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Norbert GombosGombos – Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Harold MayotMayot (0-0) – H2H and prediction