Francesco Maestrelli and Marko Topo will square off in the quarter of the Brasov Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Marko Topo who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Marko Topo is the pick to win this match.
Marko Topo -> 1.7
Francesco Maestrelli -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Francesco Maestrelli vs. Marko Topo
There is no head to head record between Francesco Maestrelli and Marko Topo since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Francesco Maestrelli
21 - 16win/loss
179
149
LWWWWWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 3-3 | 23-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-36 | 11-7 | 21-23 | 5-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 9-10 | 16-24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-24 | 5-4 | 34-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-18 | 8-3 | 18-12 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 237, Maestrelli got to the quarter after defeating Felipe Meligeni Alves 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Alexander Donski 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Donski (6-2 6-4). During the match, Maestrelli scored 61 points vs Donski’s 47. Maestrelli was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Maestrelli blasted 3 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Francesco Maestrelli was quite effective on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 74% (14/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Francesco broke Donski 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Francesco has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Maestrelli has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 54% of his matches (170-144). 18-12 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Maestrelli has an aggregate113-90 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Francavilla Challenger where he beat Valentin Vacherot in the final 6-4 6-4.
Francesco has a compiled 21-16 win-loss record in 2025, 18-12 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Brasov Challenger
Maestrelli has never competed in this tournament before.
Marko Topo
29 - 12win/loss
258
258
LWWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-14 | 7-1 | 24-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2024 | 33-23 | 9-4 | 23-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-26 | 0-1 | 31-19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 26-28 | 8-6 | 12-13 | 6-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 4-5 | 1-0 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 276 (career-high), Marko got to the quarter after beating Gabriel Ghetu 6-3 6-0 and Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Topo had a good straight sets win against Gueymard Wayenburg (6-2 7-5). During the match Topo scored 70 points vs Gueymard Wayenburg’s 51. The Serbian was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Topo fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Marko Topo was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Topo broke Gueymard Wayenburg 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marko hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The Serbian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Faro and M25 Kursumlijska Banja.
Marko has an overall 29-12 win-loss record in 2025, 22-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Maestrelli | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 47 | 35 |
| Pts | 151-128 | 131-92 |
| Total Points | 279 | 223 |
| Winners | 65 | 46 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Maestrelli and Topo played 2 matches. At the moment, Francesco Maestrelli dropped 1 set while Marko Topo hasn’t conceded a set so far. Maestrelli has played 1 set more than Topo (5 vs 4). Therefore, Maestrelli played 12 games more than Topo. The Italian scored 65 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Serbian bagged 46 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Maestrelli | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 83/140 | 62/106 |
| %1st in | 59% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 65/83 | 46/62 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 32/57 | 26/44 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 59% |
Maestrelli bagged 17 aces (8.5 per match). Topo recorded 6 aces (3 per match). Maestrelli won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Topo won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Maestrelli | Topo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 9 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 46% | 47% |
| Conceded | 11 | 5 |
| Saved | 9 | 3 |
| % Saved | 82% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Francesco broke his opponents 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. Francesco dropped his serve twice and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. Marko broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. Marko conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.
| Maestrelli | ||||
| R1 Meligeni |
R2 Donski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 18 | 47 | |
| pts | 90-81 | 61-47 | 151-128 | |
| Total points | 171 | 108 | 279 | |
| Winners | 41 | 24 | 65 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 14 | 3 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 50/88 | 33/52 | 83/140 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 63% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 41/50 | 24/33 | 65/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 73% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 14/19 | 32/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 74% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/6 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 3 | 11 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 3/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Topo | ||||
| R1 Ghetu |
R2 Gueymard |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 20 | 35 | |
| pts | 61-41 | 70-51 | 131-92 | |
| Total points | 102 | 121 | 223 | |
| Winners | 22 | 24 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 34% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 30/50 | 32/56 | 62/106 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 22/30 | 24/32 | 46/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 75% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/24 | 26/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 54% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/8 | 9/19 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 63% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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