Tristan Schoolkate and Andre Ilagan will face off in the 2nd round of the Cary Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Schoolkate who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tristan Schoolkate is the pick to win this match.
Tristan Schoolkate -> 1.191
Andre Ilagan -> 4.25
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Prediction and head to head Tristan Schoolkate vs. Andre Ilagan
This will be the 2nd time that Tristan Schoolkate and Andre Ilagan square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Schoolkate (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Schoolkate won 6-7(2) 7-6(1) 6-2 in the quarter in the New Delhi Challenger back in February 2025.
Tristan Schoolkate
32 - 19win/loss
110
102
WLWWLWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-21 | 26-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-33 | 38-24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-30 | 30-23 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-29 | 24-15 | 17-11 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-20 | 8-9 | 3-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 104, the Australian reached the 2nd round after beating Yi Zhou 7-6(5) 6-7(4) 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Australian defeated Zhou (7-65 6-74 6-1). During the match, Schoolkate scored 121 points vs Zhou’s 111. The Australian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Schoolkate fired 15 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Tristan Schoolkate was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (44/54) of his 1st serve and 55% (30/55) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Schoolkate broke Zhou 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Schoolkate has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 59% of his matches (201-140). 24-14 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Schoolkate has an overall134-93 record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Brisbane 1 Challenger where he beat Marek Gengel in the final 7-6(3) 7-6(4) and the Ilkley Challenger where he defeated Jack Pinnington Jones in the final 6-7(8) 6-4 6-3.
Schoolkate has an aggregate 31-19 win-loss record in 2025, 24-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
Andre Ilagan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-20 | 20-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-29 | 41-22 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-6 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-7 | 15-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 371, Ilagan got to the 2nd round after defeating Joshua Sheehy n/p and Alex Rybakov 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Rybakov (7-5 7-5). During the match Ilagan scored 89 points vs Rybakov’s 82. The American was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about serving, Ilagan fired 2 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Andre Ilagan lost the serve twice and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ilagan put 67% of his first serves in, winning 68% (44/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. Andre broke Rybakov 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
The American has a composed 20-17 win-loss record in 2025, 20-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cary Challenger
Ilagan has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Schoolkate | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 33 | 24 |
| Pts | 121-111 | 89-82 |
| Total Points | 232 | 171 |
| Winners | 44 | 44 |
| %Winners | 36% | 49% |
Both Schoolkate and Ilagan played 1 match. At the moment, Tristan Schoolkate dropped 1 set while Andre Ilagan hasn’t lost a set so far. Schoolkate has played 1 set more than Ilagan (3 vs 2). Therefore, Schoolkate played 9 games more than Ilagan. Tristan scored 44 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Andre bagged 44 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Schoolkate | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 15 | 2 |
| 1st in | 54/109 | 65/97 |
| %1st in | 50% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 44/54 | 44/65 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 30/55 | 15/32 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 47% |
Schoolkate fired 15 aces . Ilagan blasted 2 aces . Schoolkate won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Ilagan won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Schoolkate | Ilagan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/12 | 4/10 |
| % Converted | 25% | 40% |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. Tristan extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 7 break points. Ilagan broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Andre conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Schoolkate | |||
| R1 Zhou |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-74 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 121-111 | 121-111 | |
| Total points | 232 | 232 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 54/109 | 54/109 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 44/54 | 44/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/55 | 30/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/12 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Ilagan | |||
| R1 Rybakov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 24 | |
| pts | 89-82 | 89-82 | |
| Total points | 171 | 171 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 65/97 | 65/97 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 44/65 | 44/65 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 15/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWLWWLWL
LLLWLLLWLW Tennis Scores in Cary Challenger
- Aidan MayoMayo – Hiroki MoriyaMoriya (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Joshua SheehySheehy (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Patrick KypsonKypson – Karue SellSell (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Andres MartinMartin (2-6 6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – Patrick KypsonKypson (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil GlinkaGlinka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick MaloneyMaloney – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Andre IlaganIlagan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
