Aidan Mayo and Hiroki Moriya will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Cary Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on COURT 13. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aidan Mayo who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aidan Mayo is the pick to win this match.
Aidan Mayo -> 1.53
Hiroki Moriya -> 2.375

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Prediction and head to head Aidan Mayo vs. Hiroki Moriya

This will be the 2nd time that Aidan Mayo and Hiroki Moriya fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Moriya (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Moriya won 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the quarter in M25 Wichita back in June 2025.

Aidan Mayo

Aidan Mayo

11 - 15win/loss

Hard
11-6
I Hard
0-5
Clay
0-4
Rank
516
High
269
LLLWWLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-22 16-12 0-4 0-5 1-1 0-0
2024 28-32 16-18 4-4 7-9 1-1 0-0
2023 46-28 24-15 2-5 20-8 0-0 0-0
2022 34-25 27-19 4-4 3-2 0-0 0-0
2021 9-8 9-6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 299, the American reached the 2nd round after beating Andres Andrade 6-1 6-3.

In the 1st round, Aidan had a good straight sets win against Andrade (6-1 6-3). During the match, Mayo scored 63 points vs Andrade’s 39. Mayo was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mayo bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Aidan Mayo was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 77% (20/26) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Andrade 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Mayo has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 54% of his matches (131-112). 10-6 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mayo has an aggregate87-65 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

The American has a compiled 10-15 win-loss record in 2025, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cary Challenger

Cary Challenger
Mayo's Record

Hiroki Moriya

Hiroki Moriya

17 - 14win/loss

Hard
17-14
I Hard
0-0
Rank
470
High
143
LLLWLWLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-23 23-23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 38-32 36-28 0-0 2-2 0-2 0-0
2023 31-28 31-27 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 27-30 18-19 0-0 7-9 1-1 1-1
2021 22-28 13-17 0-0 8-9 0-0 1-2
See all years

Ranked no. 398, Moriya reached the 2nd round after beating Reece Falck 6-3 6-2, Nick Chappell 6-4 7-6(4) and Rio Noguchi 7-5 2-6 6-3.

In the 1st round, Hiroki defeated Noguchi (7-5 2-6 6-3).During the match Moriya scored less points (6) than Noguchi. In fact, the world no. 299 won 92 points vs Noguchi’s. That means that Moriya was more focused during the important points. Moriya was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Moriya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Hiroki Moriya lost the serve 5 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Moriya put 48% of his first serves in, winning 61% (28/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (24/49) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Noguchi 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).

Moriya’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Wichita.

The Japanese has a composed 17-13 win-loss record in 2025, 17-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Cary Challenger
Moriya's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Mayo
H.Moriya
1h:09
1h:09
Time on court​
!
5h:44
5h:44
1h:09
1h:09
Last match​
!
2h:29
2h:29
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
16
16
Games Played​
69
69
2
2
Set played​​
7
7
63
63
Total points​
237
237
63
63
Avg point​
79
79
20
20
Winners
77
77
20
20
Avg Winners​
25.7
25.7
32%
32%
Ratio winners
32%
32%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
14
14
2
2
Avg Aces
4.7
4.7
1
1
Double Faults
5
5
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
20/26
20/26
1st won total​
77/106
77/106
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
15/22
15/22
2nd won total​
54/93
54/93
!
68%
68%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
13/28
13/28
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
4.3/9.3
4.3/9.3
50%
50%
Won
46%
46%
3
3
Conceded
15
15
3
3
Avg Conceded
5
5
0
0
Broken
7
7
!
0
0
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
3
3
Saved
8
8
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mayo Moriya
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 7
Tot Games 16 69
Pts 63-39 237-202
Total Points 102 439
Winners 20 77
%Winners 32% 32%

Mayo played 1 match while Moriya competed in 3 matches. Moriya started his run from the qualifications while Mayo had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hiroki Moriya surrendered 1 set while Aidan Mayo hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mayo has played 5 set(s) less than Moriya (2 vs 7). Therefore, Mayo played 53 games less than Moriya. Aidan scored 20 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Hiroki fired 77 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mayo Moriya
Aces 2 14
Avg per match 2 4.7
1st in 26/48 106/199
%1st in 54% 53%
1st pts 20/26 77/106
%1st pts 77% 73%
2nd pts 15/22 54/93
%2nd pts 68% 58%

Mayo blasted 2 aces . Moriya fired 14 aces (4.7 per match). Mayo won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Moriya won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mayo Moriya
Won 4 13
Converted 4/8 13/28
% Converted 50% 46%
Conceded 3 15
Saved 3 8
% Saved 100% 53%
Times Broken 0 7

The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Mayo quite strong on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 3 break points. The Japanese broke his opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Hiroki conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded.

Mayo
R1
Andrade		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 16 16
pts 63-39 63-39
Total points 102 102
Winners 20 20
%Winners 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 26/48 26/48
% 1st in 54% 54%
1st pts 20/26 20/26
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 15/22 15/22
% 2nd pts 68% 68%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Moriya
Q1
Falck		 Q3
Chappell		 R1
Noguchi		 Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-4 7-64 7-5 2-6 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 17 23 29 69
pts 65-41 80-63 92-98 237-202
Total points 106 143 190 439
Winners 21 28 28 77
%Winners 32% 35% 30% 32%
SERVE
Aces 3 10 1 14
Double Faults 1 2 2 5
1st in 24/41 36/63 46/95 106/199
% 1st in 59% 57% 48% 53%
1st pts 21/24 28/36 28/46 77/106
% 1st pts 88% 78% 61% 73%
2nd pts 12/17 18/27 24/49 54/93
% 2nd pts 71% 67% 49% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 3 6 13
Converted 4/6 3/10 6/12 13/28
Converted % 67% 30% 50% 46%
Conceded 1 2 12 15
Saved 1/1 0/2 7/12 8
Saved % 100% 0% 58% 158%
Times Broken 0 2 5 7

Tennis Scores in Cary Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Mayo
More Stats
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Moriya

Click for FULL STATS