H2H, prediction of Karen Khachanov vs Shintaro Mochizuki in Wimbledon with odds, preview, pick | 2nd July 2025

PREVIEW. London. Khachanov and Mochizuki will square off in the 2nd round of Wimbledon. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Wednesday the 2nd of July

Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

Karen Khachanov and Shintaro Mochizuki will fight against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on Court 18. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karen Khachanov who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Karen Khachanov is the pick to win this match.
Karen Khachanov -> 1.188
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 4.75

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Karen Khachanov vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

There is no head to head record between Karen Khachanov and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov
Karen Khachanov

20 - 15win/loss

Hard
5-6
I Hard
0-1
Clay
9-6
Grass
6-2
Rank
20
High
8
WWWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-15 5-6 9-6 0-1 8-2 0-0
2024 37-22 14-12 8-4 14-3 1-3 0-0
2023 34-18 18-10 10-5 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 36-25 17-11 9-7 6-5 4-2 0-0
2021 35-24 17-9 5-6 8-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 20, Karen reached the 2nd round after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 7-5 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, Karen had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (7-5 6-4 6-4). During the match, Khachanov scored 110 points vs Mcdonald’s 88. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Regarding the service games, Khachanov scored 11 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Karen Khachanov was extremely effective on serve to win 77% (51/66) of his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Karen broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Khachanov has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (335-229). 5-2 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Khachanov has an overall 31-18 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Barcelona and Halle.

Karen has an overall 19-15 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Khachanov
Wimbledon
Khachanov's Record

Shintaro Mochizuki

Shintaro Mochizuki
Shintaro Mochizuki

28 - 17win/loss

Hard
15-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-6
Grass
11-3
Rank
144
High
129
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 28-17 15-8 2-6 0-0 11-3 0-0
2024 28-33 19-22 7-5 0-1 2-5 0-0
2023 41-33 22-16 13-8 2-5 4-4 0-0
2022 37-34 18-17 13-12 6-5 0-0 0-0
2021 35-30 11-10 18-11 5-7 1-1 0-1

Ranked no. 144, Mochizuki reached the 2nd round after beating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-1 6-1, Felipe Meligeni Alves 6-3 6-3, Dominic Stricker 7-6(3) 3-6 6-2 6-4 and Giulio Zeppieri 2-6 3-6 6-3 7-6(6) 7-5.

In the 1st round, The Japanese had a tough win against Zeppieri to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (2-6 3-6 6-3 7-66 7-5).During the match Mochizuki scored less points (2) than Zeppieri. In fact, the world no. 20 won 154 points vs Zeppieri’s. That means that Mochizuki was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 75 winners.

About the serving games, Mochizuki fired 5 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (75/100) of his 1st serve and 51% (36/70) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 5 times. The Japanese broke Zeppieri 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

His best result of the season was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

Mochizuki has a composed 28-16 win-loss record in 2025, 11-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.

Mochizuki
Wimbledon
Mochizuki's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

K.Khachanov
S.Mochizuki
2h:11
2h:11
Time on court​
!
8h:01
8h:01
!
2h:11
2h:11
Last match​
!
3h:14
3h:14
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
32
32
Games Played​
123
123
3
3
Set played​​
13
13
110
110
Total points​
412
412
110
110
Avg point​
103
103
51
51
Winners
172
172
51
51
Avg Winners​
43
43
46%
46%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
22
22
!
11
11
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
1
1
Double Faults
8
8
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2
2
51/66
51/66
1st won total​
172/229
172/229
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
24/40
24/40
2nd won total​
89/162
89/162
60%
60%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
4/10
4/10
BP won
19/40
19/40
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
4.8/10
4.8/10
40%
40%
Won
48%
48%
7
7
Conceded
30
30
7
7
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
1
1
Broken
11
11
1
1
Avg Broken
2.8
2.8
6
6
Saved
19
19

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Khachanov Mochizuki
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 3 13
Tot Games 32 123
Pts 110-88 412-354
Total Points 198 766
Winners 51 172
%Winners 46% 42%

Khachanov played 1 match while Mochizuki competed in 4 matches. Mochizuki started his run from the qualifications while Khachanov had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki conceded 3 sets while Karen Khachanov hasn’t dropped a set so far. Khachanov has played 10 set(s) less than Mochizuki (3 vs 13). Therefore, Khachanov played 91 games less than Mochizuki. Karen scored 51 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Shintaro recorded 172 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Khachanov Mochizuki
Aces 11 22
Avg per match 11 5.5
1st in 66/106 229/391
%1st in 62% 59%
1st pts 51/66 172/229
%1st pts 77% 75%
2nd pts 24/40 89/162
%2nd pts 60% 55%

Khachanov scored 11 aces . Mochizuki fired 22 aces (5.5 per match). Khachanov won 77% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Khachanov Mochizuki
Won 4 19
Converted 4/10 19/40
% Converted 40% 48%
Conceded 7 30
Saved 6 19
% Saved 86% 63%
Times Broken 1 11

The Russian broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Mochizuki broke his opponents 19 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Khachanov
R1
Mcdonald
Total
Score 7-5 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 110-88 110-88
Total points 198 198
Winners 51 51
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 11 11
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 66/106 66/106
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 51/66 51/66
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 24/40 24/40
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/10 4/10
Converted % 40% 40%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 6/7 6
Saved % 86% 86%
Times Broken 1 1
Mochizuki
Q1
Herbert
Q2
Meligeni
Q3
Stricker
R1
Zeppieri
Total
Score 6-1 6-1 6-3 6-3 7-63 3-6 6-2 6-4 2-6 3-6 6-3 7-66 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4 5 13
Tot Games 14 18 40 51 123
pts 59-31 69-54 130-113 154-156 412-354
Total points 90 123 243 310 766
Winners 21 22 54 75 172
%Winners 36% 32% 42% 49% 42%
SERVE
Aces 2 6 9 5 22
Double Faults 0 2 1 5 8
1st in 26/38 31/58 72/125 100/170 229/391
% 1st in 68% 53% 58% 59% 59%
1st pts 21/26 22/31 54/72 75/100 172/229
% 1st pts 81% 71% 75% 75% 75%
2nd pts 9/12 15/27 29/53 36/70 89/162
% 2nd pts 75% 56% 55% 51% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 5 5 4 19
Converted 5/9 5/9 5/14 4/8 19/40
Converted % 56% 56% 36% 50% 48%
Conceded 2 5 9 14 30
Saved 2/2 3/5 5/9 9/14 19
Saved % 100% 60% 56% 64% 280%
Times Broken 0 2 4 5 11

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Khachanov
WWWWLWWWLW
Mochizuki
LWWWWLWWWW
2025 2024 2023
22 - 15
28 - 17
5-6
Hard
15-8
9-6
Clay
2-6
8-2
Grass
11-3

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw