
Carlos Alcaraz and Oliver Tarvet will clash against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.023
Oliver Tarvet -> 13.25
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Oliver Tarvet
There is no head to head record between Carlos Alcaraz and Oliver Tarvet since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Carlos Alcaraz

43 - 5win/loss
1
1
LWWWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 71-9 | 28-4 | 22-1 | 10-3 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-13 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Carlos got to the 2nd round after defeating Fabio Fognini 7-5 6-7(5) 7-5 2-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Alcaraz had a tough win against Fognini to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (7-5 6-75 7-5 2-6 6-1). During the match, Alcaraz scored 184 points vs Fognini’s 173. Alcaraz was extremely aggressive to blast 77 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alcaraz bagged 14 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Carlos Alcaraz lost the serve 5 times and he saved 16 break points. Furthermore, Alcaraz put 58% of his first serves in, winning 70% (77/110) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (41/79) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Fognini 7 times after converting 47% of his break points (7/15).
Alcaraz has a fantastic record in the last 8 years having won 80% of his matches (330-81). 6-0 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Alcaraz has a composed30-3 record in the last 8 years on grass.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 3-6 6-2 and in Carlo where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 3-6 6-1 6-0 and in Rome where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-6(5) 6-1 and at the French Open where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 4-6 6-7(4) 6-4 7-6(3) 7-6(2) and in London where he overcame Jiri Lehecka in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-2.
Alcaraz has a composed 43-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Oliver Tarvet

12 - 1win/loss
335
335
LWLWWLLWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-9 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-3 | 17-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 733, Oliver got to the 2nd round after defeating Terence Atmane 6-1 7-6(2), Alexis Galarneau 6-3 6-2, Alexander Blockx 6-3 3-6 6-2 6-1 and Leandro Riedi 6-4 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Tarvet had a good straight sets win against Riedi (6-4 6-4 6-4). During the match Tarvet scored 100 points vs Riedi’s 73. Tarvet was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Tarvet bagged 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Oliver Tarvet was extremely effective on serve to win 91% (43/47) of his 1st serve and 61% (19/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Tarvet broke Riedi 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Tarvet’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 San Diego.
Tarvet has an overall 12-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Tarvet has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Tarvet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 100 |
| Pts | 184-173 | 359-265 |
| Total Points | 357 | 624 |
| Winners | 77 | 140 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Alcaraz played 1 match while Tarvet competed in 4 matches. Tarvet started his run from the qualifications while Alcaraz had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Carlos Alcaraz dropped 2 sets, while Oliver Tarvet surrendered 1 set. Alcaraz has played 6 set(s) less than Tarvet (5 vs 11). Therefore, Alcaraz played 48 games less than Tarvet. Carlos scored 77 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Oliver struck 140 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Tarvet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 14 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 110/189 | 171/295 |
| %1st in | 58% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 77/110 | 140/171 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 41/79 | 70/124 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 56% |
Alcaraz fired 14 aces . Tarvet blasted 26 aces (6.5 per match). Alcaraz won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Tarvet won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Tarvet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 18 |
| Converted | 7/15 | 18/30 |
| % Converted | 47% | 60% |
| Conceded | 21 | 20 |
| Saved | 16 | 16 |
| % Saved | 76% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Alcaraz broke his opponent 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Alcaraz surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Tarvet broke his opponents 18 times with a 60% conversion rate. Tarvet conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Alcaraz | |||
| R1 Fognini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-75 7-5 2-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 52 | 52 | |
| pts | 184-173 | 184-173 | |
| Total points | 357 | 357 | |
| Winners | 77 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 14 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 110/189 | 110/189 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 77/110 | 77/110 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 41/79 | 41/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/15 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 47% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 21 | 21 | |
| Saved | 16/21 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 76% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
| Tarvet | ||||||
| Q1 Atmane |
Q2 Galarneau |
Q3 Blockx |
R1 Riedi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-62 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 100 | |
| pts | 78-57 | 71-55 | 110-80 | 100-73 | 359-265 | |
| Total points | 135 | 126 | 190 | 173 | 624 | |
| Winners | 32 | 21 | 44 | 43 | 140 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 30% | 40% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 39/60 | 30/60 | 55/97 | 47/78 | 171/295 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 50% | 57% | 60% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 21/30 | 44/55 | 43/47 | 140/171 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 70% | 80% | 91% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 16/30 | 22/42 | 19/31 | 70/124 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 53% | 52% | 61% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 5/9 | 7/8 | 3/7 | 18/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 88% | 43% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 20 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 5/6 | 5/8 | 0/0 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 83% | 63% | – | 246% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWWWW
LWLWWLLWLL Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
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