Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova will clash against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.081
Marie Bouzkova -> 7.8
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marie Bouzkova
This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Brisbane back in January 2025.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova – Brisbane 03-January-2025
Aryna Sabalenka
43 - 8win/loss
1
1
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Aryna got to the 2nd round after defeating Carson Branstine 6-1 7-5.
In the 1st round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Branstine (6-1 7-5). During the match, Sabalenka scored 66 points vs Branstine’s 47. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka fired 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was very efficient on serve to win 78% (28/36) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aryna broke Branstine 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Sabalenka has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (417-176). 3-1 on grass in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed 37-20 record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
Sabalenka has a composed 43-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Marie Bouzkova
16 - 13win/loss
42
24
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-21 | 20-12 | 9-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-22 | 17-16 | 7-3 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-24 | 19-16 | 5-5 | 1-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-14 | 33-10 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-21 | 11-13 | 1-4 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 48, the Czech got to the 2nd round after defeating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 6-4). During the match Bouzkova scored 68 points vs Sun’s 59. Bouzkova was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Bouzkova struck 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 71% (34/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Bouzkova broke Sun 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).
Marie has an aggregate 16-13 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 |
| Pts | 66-47 | 68-59 |
| Total Points | 113 | 127 |
| Winners | 28 | 34 |
| %Winners | 42% | 50% |
Both Sabalenka and Bouzkova played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Bouzkova have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 1 game less than Bouzkova. Aryna scored 28 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Bouzkova made 34 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 4 |
| 1st in | 36/59 | 48/72 |
| %1st in | 61% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 34/48 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 12/24 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 50% |
Sabalenka managed to score 3 aces . Bouzkova recorded 4 aces . Sabalenka won 78% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Bouzkova won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Bouzkova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 |
| Saved | 1 | 8 |
| % Saved | 100% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Sabalenka broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Sabalenka quite strong on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Czech broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Bouzkova conceded her serve once and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R1 Branstine | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 66-47 | 66-47 | |
| Total points | 113 | 113 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 36/59 | 36/59 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 28/36 | 28/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Bouzkova | |||
| R1 Sun | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 68-59 | 68-59 | |
| Total points | 127 | 127 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 48/72 | 48/72 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 34/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/24 | 12/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
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