Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova will clash against each other in the 2nd round of Wimbledon for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.081
Marie Bouzkova -> 7.8

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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marie Bouzkova

This will be the 4th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marie Bouzkova clash against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Brisbane back in January 2025.

Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzkova – Brisbane 03-January-2025

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

43 - 8win/loss

Hard
23-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-3
Grass
3-1
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 63-12 35-6 17-3 4-1 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Aryna got to the 2nd round after defeating Carson Branstine 6-1 7-5.

In the 1st round, Aryna had a good straight sets win against Branstine (6-1 7-5). During the match, Sabalenka scored 66 points vs Branstine’s 47. Sabalenka was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sabalenka fired 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was very efficient on serve to win 78% (28/36) of her 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aryna broke Branstine 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Sabalenka has a superlative record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (417-176). 3-1 on grass in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has a composed 37-20 record in the last years on grass.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she defeated Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she overcame Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

Sabalenka has a composed 43-8 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Sabalenka's Record

Marie Bouzkova

Marie Bouzkova

16 - 13win/loss

Hard
5-5
I Hard
1-1
Clay
9-6
Grass
1-1
Rank
42
High
24
LLWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 31-21 20-12 9-6 1-1 1-2 0-0
2024 27-22 17-16 7-3 1-0 2-3 0-0
2023 28-24 19-16 5-5 1-0 3-3 0-0
2022 42-14 33-10 5-2 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 16-21 11-13 1-4 2-1 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 48, the Czech got to the 2nd round after defeating Lulu Sun 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Sun (6-4 6-4). During the match Bouzkova scored 68 points vs Sun’s 59. Bouzkova was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Talking about serving, Bouzkova struck 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Marie Bouzkova lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Bouzkova put 67% of her first serves in, winning 71% (34/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Bouzkova broke Sun 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Marie has an aggregate 16-13 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.

Wimbledon
Bouzkova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Sabalenka
M.Bouzkova
1h:13
1h:13
Time on court​
1h:31
1h:31
1h:13
1h:13
Last match​
1h:31
1h:31
1
1
Match played
1
1
19
19
Games Played​
20
20
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
66
66
Total points​
68
68
66
66
Avg point​
68
68
28
28
Winners
34
34
28
28
Avg Winners​
34
34
42%
42%
Ratio winners
50%
50%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
4
4
3
3
Avg Aces
4
4
3
3
Double Faults
7
7
3
3
Avg Double Faults
!
7
7
28/36
28/36
1st won total​
34/48
34/48
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
71%
71%
15/23
15/23
2nd won total​
12/24
12/24
!
65%
65%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
3/5
3/5
BP won
3/5
3/5
3/5
3/5
Avg BP won
3/5
3/5
!
60%
60%
Won
!
60%
60%
1
1
Conceded
9
9
1
1
Avg Conceded
9
9
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
1
1
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Bouzkova
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 20
Pts 66-47 68-59
Total Points 113 127
Winners 28 34
%Winners 42% 50%

Both Sabalenka and Bouzkova played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Bouzkova have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Sabalenka played 1 game less than Bouzkova. Aryna scored 28 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Bouzkova made 34 winners (50%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Bouzkova
Aces 3 4
Avg per match 3 4
1st in 36/59 48/72
%1st in 61% 67%
1st pts 28/36 34/48
%1st pts 78% 71%
2nd pts 15/23 12/24
%2nd pts 65% 50%

Sabalenka managed to score 3 aces . Bouzkova recorded 4 aces . Sabalenka won 78% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Bouzkova won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Bouzkova
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
% Converted 60% 60%
Conceded 1 9
Saved 1 8
% Saved 100% 89%
Times Broken 0 1

Sabalenka broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Sabalenka quite strong on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Czech broke her opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Bouzkova conceded her serve once and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R1
Branstine
Total
Score 6-1 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 66-47 66-47
Total points 113 113
Winners 28 28
%Winners 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 36/59 36/59
% 1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 28/36 28/36
% 1st pts 78% 78%
2nd pts 15/23 15/23
% 2nd pts 65% 65%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Bouzkova
R1
Sun
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 68-59 68-59
Total points 127 127
Winners 34 34
%Winners 50% 50%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 48/72 48/72
% 1st in 67% 67%
1st pts 34/48 34/48
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 12/24 12/24
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 8/9 8
Saved % 89% 89%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw