As Wimbledon 2025 kicks off, data-driven predictions are already shaping expectations—and according to IBM’s AI-powered insights, world number one Jannik Sinner holds a 79% chance of defeating fellow Italian Luca Nardi in their first-round clash.
The matchup marks the first-ever meeting between the two players on the professional circuit. Sinner enters the tournament in commanding form, having reached the final of the French Open and maintaining a dominant win-loss record this season. His aggressive baseline play, combined with a powerful serve and exceptional movement on grass, makes him a formidable opponent on any surface.
Luca Nardi, ranked 94th in the world, faces a steep challenge. While he has shown flashes of potential on the Challenger circuit, his limited experience on grass and lack of wins against top-tier opponents put him at a disadvantage. His recent performances have been inconsistent, and he has yet to notch a main-draw victory at Wimbledon.
IBM’s prediction model factors in a range of variables, including player statistics, surface performance, and recent form. While Sinner’s 79% probability doesn’t guarantee a win, it reflects a significant edge in both skill and momentum.
For fans, this match offers a glimpse into the future of Italian tennis—two young talents at different stages of their careers, sharing the same court on one of the sport’s grandest stages. Whether Nardi can rise to the occasion or Sinner will assert his dominance early remains to be seen, but the numbers suggest a clear favorite as the grass-court drama unfolds.
Jannik Sinner in 2025
WWWWWWLWLW Ranked no.1, Sinner played his last match on the 1st of January 1970 when he was defeated by world no.31 Alexander Bublik 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Halle (draw).
During this season Jannik has achieved a composed 19-3 match record. This year, the Italian lifted the trophy at the Australian Open. Sinner got to the final in Rome and French Open.
