Rio Noguchi and Hiroki Moriya will clash against each other in the 1^st round of the Cary Challenger for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:30 pm on COURT 10. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.62
Hiroki Moriya -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Hiroki Moriya

This will be the 5^th time that Rio Noguchi and Hiroki Moriya clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Noguchi and Moriya (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Noguchi won 6-1 6-2 in the 2^nd round in the Sydney Challenger back in 2023.

Rio Noguchi

Ranked no. 222, Rio will start his run in the Cary Challenger after he played his last match in the Tyler Challenger where he lost 7-5 6-2

to Zhou in the quarter on the 6^th of June.

Rio has an aggregate 23-14 win-loss record in 2025, 23-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he overcame Jie Cui in the final 7-6(9) 6-2.

Talking about his overall career, Rio has an overall 352-242 record. He has a positive 247-154 record on hard.

Previously in the Cary Challenger

Noguchi has never competed in this tournament before.

Hiroki Moriya

Ranked no. 398, Hiroki reached the 1^st round after defeating Reece Falck 6-3 6-2 and Nick Chappell 6-4 7-6(4).

In the qualifications, Hiroki had a good straight sets win against Chappell (6-4 7-6⁴). During the match Moriya scored 80 points vs Chappell’s 63. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Moriya bagged 10 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Hiroki Moriya was pretty effective on serve to win 78% (28/36) of his 1st serve and 67% (18/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Moriya broke Chappell 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Japanese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Moriya’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Wichita.

Hiroki has a composed 16-13 win-loss record in 2025, 16-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tennis Scores in Cary Challenger

• Andres MartinMartin – Stefan DostanicDostanic (6-4 5-7 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Patrick KypsonKypson – Masamichi ImamuraImamura (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Aidan MayoMayo – Andres AndradeAndrade (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Liam DraxlDraxl – Philip SekulicSekulic (6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Yi ZhouZhou (7-6⁵ 6-7⁴ 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yibing WuWu – Ian MayewMayew (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Bernard TomicTomic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Naoki NakagawaNakagawa – Karue SellSell (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Alex RybakovRybakov – Andre IlaganIlagan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexis GalarneauGalarneau – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Hiroki MoriyaMoriya (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Patrick MaloneyMaloney – Strong KirchheimerKirchheimer (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Joshua SheehySheehy – Tung-Lin WuWu (0-0) – H2H and prediction