Milos Karol and Toby Alex Kodat will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Modena Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:30 pm on COURT 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Milos Karol who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Milos Karol is the pick to win this match.
Milos Karol -> 1.8
Toby Alex Kodat -> 1.93
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Prediction and head to head Milos Karol vs. Toby Alex Kodat
This will be the 2nd time that Milos Karol and Toby Alex Kodat square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Alex (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Alex won 6-4 6-4 in the qualifications in the Salzburg Challenger back in 2024.
Milos Karol
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-15 | 2-2 | 13-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 53-31 | 8-5 | 21-17 | 24-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 28-27 | 3-2 | 11-13 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 6-24 | 3-5 | 1-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-18 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 375, Milos got to the qualifications after beating Maks Kasnikowski 6-2 7-6(5).
In the qualifications, Karol had a good straight sets win against Kasnikowski (6-2 7-65). During the match, Karol scored 66 points vs Kasnikowski’s 58. Karol was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Karol blasted 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Milos Karol was extremely effective on serve to win 83% (24/29) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Slovakian broke Kasnikowski twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Karol has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 52% of his matches (128-116). 13-7 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Karol has an overall57-64 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
The Slovakian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in M15 Warmbad Villach.
The Slovakian has a compiled 17-13 win-loss record in 2025, 13-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Modena Challenger
Milos has never competed in this tournament before.
Toby Alex Kodat
17 - 12win/loss
376
308
WLWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-13 | 4-3 | 13-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 51-37 | 11-9 | 35-21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-23 | 4-5 | 28-14 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-24 | 5-6 | 19-15 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 376, Alex got to the qualifications after defeating Gabriele Piraino 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, Alex had a good straight sets win against Piraino (6-4 6-1). During the match Alex scored 62 points vs Piraino’s 41. Toby was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Alex fired 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Toby Alex Kodat was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alex broke Piraino 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Toby has a compiled 16-12 win-loss record in 2025, 10-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Karol | Alex |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 17 |
| Pts | 66-58 | 62-41 |
| Total Points | 124 | 103 |
| Winners | 24 | 23 |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% |
Both Karol and Alex played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Karol and Alex have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Karol played 4 games more than Alex. Milos scored 24 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Toby bagged 23 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Karol | Alex |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 7 |
| 1st in | 29/58 | 27/51 |
| %1st in | 50% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 23/27 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 15/24 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 63% |
Karol bagged 7 aces . Alex recorded 7 aces . Karol won 83% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Alex won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Karol | Alex |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Slovakian broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. The Slovakian very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Alex was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Karol | |||
| Q1 Kasnikowski |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 66-58 | 66-58 | |
| Total points | 124 | 124 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 29/58 | 29/58 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 24/29 | 24/29 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/29 | 20/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Alex | |||
| Q1 Piraino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 62-41 | 62-41 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 27/51 | 27/51 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 23/27 | 23/27 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 15/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWLWWW
WLWWWLWWLW 
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