Moez Echargui and Daniel Bagnolini will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Modena Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:00 pm on COURT 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Moez Echargui who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Moez Echargui is the pick to win this match.
Moez Echargui -> 1.146
Daniel Bagnolini -> 4.95
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Prediction and head to head Moez Echargui vs. Daniel Bagnolini
There is no head to head record between Moez Echargui and Daniel Bagnolini since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Moez Echargui
42 - 11win/loss
333
271
LWWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-12 | 39-9 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-28 | 12-13 | 12-14 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-34 | 23-10 | 23-22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-29 | 7-2 | 37-26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 38-17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 333, the Tunisian got to the qualifications after beating Filippo Romano 6-4 0-6 7-5.
In the qualifications, The Tunisian defeated Romano (6-4 0-6 7-5).During the match, Echargui scored less points (5) than Romano. In fact, the world no. 333 won 84 points vs Romano’s. That means that Echargui was more focused during the important points. The Tunisian was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Echargui managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Moez Echargui lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Echargui put 49% of his first serves in, winning 76% (31/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (21/43) on the 2nd serve. The Tunisian broke Romano 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Echargui has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (333-235). 2-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Echargui has a compiled 125-117 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Tunisian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Monastir and M25 Monastir.
Moez has a compiled 41-11 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Modena Challenger
Daniel Bagnolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 15-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-21 | 1-5 | 26-15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-21 | 7-5 | 17-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-5 | 5-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 893, Bagnolini reached the qualifications after beating Lukas Pokorny 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications against Pokorny, Bagnolini recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4).During the match Bagnolini scored less points (3) than Pokorny. In fact, the world no. 333 won 67 points vs Pokorny’s. That means that Bagnolini was more focused during the important points. Bagnolini was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Bagnolini blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Daniel Bagnolini was quite effective on serve to win 71% (27/38) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Bagnolini broke Pokorny 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Daniel has an aggregate 8-6 win-loss record in 2025, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Echargui | Bagnolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 26 |
| Pts | 84-89 | 67-70 |
| Total Points | 173 | 137 |
| Winners | 31 | 27 |
| %Winners | 37% | 40% |
Both Echargui and Bagnolini played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Moez Echargui lost 1 set, while Daniel Bagnolini lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Echargui and Bagnolini have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Echargui played 2 games more than Bagnolini. Moez scored 31 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel scored 27 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Echargui | Bagnolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2 |
| 1st in | 41/84 | 38/68 |
| %1st in | 49% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 31/41 | 27/38 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 21/43 | 18/30 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 60% |
Echargui blasted 4 aces . Bagnolini made 2 aces . Echargui won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Bagnolini won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Echargui | Bagnolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 25% | 75% |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Tunisian broke his opponent 3 times with a 25% conversion rate. The Tunisian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Daniel conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 40% of the break points that he conceded.
| Echargui | |||
| Q1 Romano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 0-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 84-89 | 84-89 | |
| Total points | 173 | 173 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 41/84 | 41/84 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 31/41 | 31/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/43 | 21/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/12 | 3/12 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Bagnolini | |||
| Q1 Pokorny |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 67-70 | 67-70 | |
| Total points | 137 | 137 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 38/68 | 38/68 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 27/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 18/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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