Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek will fight against each other in the final of the Bad Homburg Open for the 11th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on SPIELBANK BAD HOMBURG CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.44
Jessica Pegula -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Iga Swiatek
This will be the 11th time that Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek play each other. The head to head is 6-4 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Pegula won 6-2 6-4 in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in 2024.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek – U.S. Open 04-September-2024
Jessica Pegula
34 - 12win/loss
4
3
LWWWWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-13 | 20-6 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Jessica reached the final after defeating Katerina Siniakova 6-2 6-3, Emma Navarro 6-4 1-6 6-3 and Linda Noskova 6-7(2) 7-5 6-1.
In the semifinal against Noskova, Pegula recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-72 7-5 6-1). During the match, Pegula scored 108 points vs Noskova’s 93. Pegula was exceptionally aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula blasted 8 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 61% of her first serves in, winning 82% (51/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (17/39) on the 2nd serve. Jessica broke Noskova 5 times after converting 31% of her break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jessica has conceded 2 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 67% of her matches (338-169). 3-1 on grass in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has a compiled 25-16 match record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Austin where she overcame Mccartney Kessler in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Charleston where she overcame Sofia Kenin in the final 6-3 7-5.
The American has a compiled 34-12 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bad Homburg
Iga Swiatek
35 - 10win/loss
3
1
WWWWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-11 | 21-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Pole got to the final after beating Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-4, Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-4 7-6(5) and Jasmine Paolini 6-1 6-3.
In the semifinal, Iga had a good straight sets win against Paolini (6-1 6-3). During the match Swiatek scored 62 points vs Paolini’s 32. Iga was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Swiatek bagged 4 aces and she was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once. Furthermore, Swiatek put 76% of her first serves in, winning 81% (26/32) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (5/10) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Paolini 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
Swiatek’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Australia.
Swiatek has an aggregate 35-10 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 75 | 59 |
| Pts | 259-223 | 202-154 |
| Total Points | 482 | 356 |
| Winners | 116 | 89 |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% |
Both Pegula and Swiatek played 3 matches. At the moment, Jessica Pegula dropped 2 sets while Iga Swiatek hasn’t lost a set so far. Pegula has played 2 sets more than Swiatek (8 vs 6). Therefore, Pegula played 16 games more than Swiatek. The American scored 116 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Iga bagged 89 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 6.3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 151/232 | 114/174 |
| %1st in | 65% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 116/151 | 89/114 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 34/81 | 30/60 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 50% |
Pegula scored 19 aces (6.3 per match). Swiatek struck 15 aces (5 per match). Pegula won 77% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Swiatek won 78% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 11 |
| Converted | 13/36 | 11/24 |
| % Converted | 36% | 46% |
| Conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Saved | 12 | 9 |
| % Saved | 67% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 4 |
The American broke her opponents 13 times with a 36% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Pole broke her opponents 11 times with a 46% conversion rate. Swiatek conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||||
| R2 Siniakova |
1/4 Navarro |
1/2 Noskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 1-6 6-3 | 6-72 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 26 | 32 | 75 | |
| pts | 56-39 | 95-91 | 108-93 | 259-223 | |
| Total points | 95 | 186 | 201 | 482 | |
| Winners | 26 | 39 | 51 | 116 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 41% | 47% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 30/47 | 59/84 | 62/101 | 151/232 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 70% | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 26/30 | 39/59 | 51/62 | 116/151 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 66% | 82% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/17 | 11/25 | 17/39 | 34/81 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 44% | 44% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/12 | 5/16 | 13/36 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 25% | 31% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 | 6 | 18 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 7/10 | 4/6 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 70% | 67% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Azarenka |
1/4 Alexandrova |
1/2 Paolini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 7-65 | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 16 | 59 | |
| pts | 64-50 | 76-72 | 62-32 | 202-154 | |
| Total points | 114 | 148 | 94 | 356 | |
| Winners | 30 | 33 | 26 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 43% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/55 | 44/77 | 32/42 | 114/174 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 57% | 76% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 33/44 | 26/32 | 89/114 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 75% | 81% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 18/33 | 5/10 | 30/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 55% | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 2/6 | 5/10 | 11/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 50% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 5/6 | 0/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 83% | 0% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLLWWW
WWWWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in Bad Homburg
- Pol Toledo BagueToledo Bague – Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (6-2 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (4-6) – H2H and prediction
