PROJECTED PATH. Aryna Sabalenka eyes her first Wimbledon crown with a formidable draw ahead

Sabalenka Wimbledon

World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka arrives at Wimbledon with ambition blazing and a draw stacked with intriguing challenges. Her pursuit of the grass-court Grand Slam title begins with Canadian wildcard Carson Branstine in the opening round—an encounter that may offer the Belarusian a solid start on the lawns of SW19.

In the second round, Sabalenka could face either China’s Lulu Sun or seasoned Czech Maria Bouzkova, both bringing contrasting styles: Sun’s power meets Bouzkova’s defense and experience. Should Sabalenka progress, the third round could introduce a high-octane matchup against home favorite Emma Raducanu, the creative left-hander Talia Gibson’s conqueror McCartney Kessler, or 2023 runner-up Marketa Vondrousova.

The fourth round might bring a showdown with either the resurgent Elina Svitolina or crafty veteran Elise Mertens, both known for their court smarts and counterpunching abilities. A potential quarterfinal battle looms large against one of the tour’s most aggressive hitters—Madison Keys, Paula Badosa, or Donna Vekic—all of whom have weapons capable of disrupting rhythm on grass.

Things don’t get easier in the semifinals, with names like Jasmine Paolini, Qinwen Zheng, Amanda Anisimova, or Jelena Ostapenko in the mix—each one capable of producing fearless, explosive tennis on the biggest stage.

If Sabalenka breaks through to the final, she may encounter a blockbuster clash with a fellow top-tier contender such as Coco Gauff, Jessica Pegula, Mirra Andreeva, or 2022 champion Elena Rybakina. Each brings unique firepower and formidable grass credentials.

Sabalenka’s Wimbledon journey won’t be a walk through ivy-lined gardens—but with her thunderous serve, relentless aggression, and growing composure under pressure, she carries both the ranking and the repertoire to make history on Centre Court.

 

Here’s a clear snapshot of Aryna Sabalenka’s potential route through the Wimbledon draw based on current projections:

Round Possible Opponents
First Round Carson Branstine
Second Round Lulu Sun / Maria Bouzkova
Third Round McCartney Kessler / Emma Raducanu / Marketa Vondrousova
Fourth Round Elina Svitolina / Elise Mertens
Quarterfinal Madison Keys / Paula Badosa / Donna Vekic
Semifinal Jasmine Paolini / Qinwen Zheng / Amanda Anisimova / Jelena Ostapenko
Final Coco Gauff / Jessica Pegula / Mirra Andreeva / Elena Rybakina 
 

From early fireworks to potential finals showdowns, Sabalenka’s path is as treacherous as it is thrilling.

Aryna Sabalenka in 2025

Aryna Sabalenka

56 - 9win/loss

Hard
28-4
Clay
20-3
Grass
8-2
27 year old
LWWWWWLWWW
2025 Highlights

At the moment ranked no.1, Aryna played her last match on the 1st of January 1970 when she was defeated by world no.73 Marketa Vondrousova 6-2 6-4 in the semifinal in Berlin (draw).

At the moment, during this season Aryna has managed to achieve a 42-8 record. Sabalenka has won 3 titles in 2025 in Brisbane, Miami and Madrid. Aryna got to the final at the Australian Open, Indian Wells, Stuttgart and French Open.

Sabalenka
Berlin
Sabalenka's Record