H2H, prediction of Alex Michelsen vs Corentin Moutet in Mallorca with odds, preview, pick | 27th June 2025

PREVIEW. Mallorca. Michelsen and Moutet will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Mallorca Championships. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 27th of June

Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Corentin Moutet

Alex Michelsen and Corentin Moutet will face off in the semifinal of the Mallorca Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.55
Corentin Moutet -> 2.45

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Corentin Moutet

This will be the 2nd time that Alex Michelsen and Corentin Moutet fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Moutet (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they locked horns, Moutet won 6-1 6-3 in the qualifications in Monte carlo back in 2024.

Alex Michelsen

Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen

22 - 15win/loss

Hard
10-7
I Hard
1-1
Clay
6-5
Grass
5-2
Rank
32
High
32
LLWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-17 10-7 6-5 1-1 5-4 0-0
2024 45-34 26-14 4-9 8-5 7-6 0-0
2023 61-27 30-13 4-3 19-7 8-4 0-0
2022 23-10 14-8 0-1 9-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 33, Alex got to the semifinal after defeating Brandon Holt 6-4 6-4 and Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 7-6(4).

In the quarter, The American had a good straight sets win against Bautista-Agut (6-4 7-64). During the match, Michelsen scored 75 points vs Bautista-Agut’s 68. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Michelsen scored 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Alex Michelsen was extremely efficient on serve to win 71% (34/48) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke Bautista-Agut twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Michelsen hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Michelsen has a solid record in the last 4 years having won 64% of his matches (151-86). 5-2 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Michelsen has an overall20-12 record in the last 4 years on grass.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Estoril Challenger where he beat Andrea Pellegrino in the final 6-4 6-4.

Michelsen has an overall 22-15 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Mallorca

Michelsen
Mallorca
Michelsen's Record

Corentin Moutet

Corentin Moutet
Corentin Moutet

21 - 15win/loss

Hard
6-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
8-9
Grass
7-2
Rank
69
High
51
LWLWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-17 6-4 8-9 0-0 9-4 0-0
2024 31-26 4-6 22-15 4-4 1-1 0-0
2023 19-25 5-10 3-6 7-4 4-5 0-0
2022 40-21 13-6 20-8 7-7 0-0 0-0
2021 18-16 8-4 5-8 3-1 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 83, Corentin reached the semifinal after beating Pedro Martinez Portero 4-6 6-3 6-0, Daniel Altmaier 7-6(3) 7-6(3) and Learner Tien 6-2 7-5.

In the quarter, Corentin had a good straight sets win against Tien (6-2 7-5). During the match Moutet scored 79 points vs Tien’s 60. Moutet was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Moutet scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Corentin Moutet lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Moutet put 69% of his first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Moutet broke Tien 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Moutet has a compiled 21-15 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Mallorca

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

Moutet
Mallorca
Moutet's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Michelsen
C.Moutet
3h:01
3h:01
Time on court​
!
6h:40
6h:40
1h:43
1h:43
Last match​
1h:49
1h:49
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
43
43
Games Played​
71
71
4
4
Set played​​
7
7
138
138
Total points​
262
262
69
69
Avg point​
87.3
87.3
59
59
Winners
116
116
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
38.7
38.7
43%
43%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
16
16
Aces
6
6
8
8
Avg Aces
2
2
3
3
Double Faults
9
9
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
3
3
59/81
59/81
1st won total​
116/153
116/153
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
24/44
24/44
2nd won total​
43/84
43/84
55%
55%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
7/11
7/11
BP won
10/30
10/30
3.5/5.5
3.5/5.5
Avg BP won
3.3/10
3.3/10
!
64%
64%
Won
33%
33%
8
8
Conceded
19
19
4
4
Avg Conceded
6.3
6.3
4
4
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
4
4
Saved
15
15

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Michelsen Moutet
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 4 7
Tot Games 43 71
Pts 138-120 262-214
Total Points 258 476
Winners 59 116
%Winners 43% 44%

Michelsen played 2 matches while Moutet competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Corentin Moutet surrendered 1 set while Alex Michelsen hasn’t dropped a set so far. Michelsen has played 3 set(s) less than Moutet (4 vs 7). Therefore, Michelsen played 28 games less than Moutet. The American scored 59 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Moutet recorded 116 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Michelsen Moutet
Aces 16 6
Avg per match 8 2
1st in 81/125 153/237
%1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 59/81 116/153
%1st pts 73% 76%
2nd pts 24/44 43/84
%2nd pts 55% 51%

Michelsen managed to score 16 aces (8 per match). Moutet blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Michelsen won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Michelsen Moutet
Won 7 10
Converted 7/11 10/30
% Converted 64% 33%
Conceded 8 19
Saved 4 15
% Saved 50% 79%
Times Broken 4 4

Alex broke his opponents 7 times with a 64% conversion rate. The American lost his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 10 times with a 33% conversion rate. Corentin conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.

Michelsen
R2
Holt
1/4
Bautista-Agut
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-4 7-64
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 23 43
pts 63-52 75-68 138-120
Total points 115 143 258
Winners 25 34 59
%Winners 40% 45% 43%
SERVE
Aces 6 10 16
Double Faults 2 1 3
1st in 33/53 48/72 81/125
% 1st in 62% 67% 65%
1st pts 25/33 34/48 59/81
% 1st pts 76% 71% 73%
2nd pts 9/20 15/24 24/44
% 2nd pts 45% 63% 55%
Breaks
Won 5 2 7
Converted 5/7 2/4 7/11
Converted % 71% 50% 64%
Conceded 5 3 8
Saved 2/5 2/3 4
Saved % 40% 67% 54%
Times Broken 3 1 4
Moutet
R1
Martinez Portero
R2
Altmaier
1/4
Tien
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-0 7-63 7-63 6-2 7-5
Tot Set 3 2 2 7
Tot Games 25 26 20 71
pts 97-78 86-76 79-60 262-214
Total points 175 162 139 476
Winners 46 36 34 116
%Winners 47% 42% 43% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 1 1 6
Double Faults 4 4 1 9
1st in 62/94 46/78 45/65 153/237
% 1st in 66% 59% 69% 65%
1st pts 46/62 36/46 34/45 116/153
% 1st pts 74% 78% 76% 76%
2nd pts 14/32 19/32 10/20 43/84
% 2nd pts 44% 59% 50% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 1 4 10
Converted 5/14 1/6 4/10 10/30
Converted % 36% 17% 40% 33%
Conceded 10 3 6 19
Saved 8/10 2/3 5/6 15
Saved % 80% 67% 83% 115%
Times Broken 2 1 1 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Michelsen
LLWWLWWLWL
Moutet
LWLWWWWLWW
2025 2024 2023
21 - 17
23 - 17
10-7
Hard
6-4
6-5
Clay
8-9
5-4
Grass
9-4

Tennis Scores in Mallorca

  • Santiago Gonzalez/Austin KrajicekGonzalez/Austin KrajicekSadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw