Yosuke Watanuki and August Holmgren will fight against each other in the qualifications of Wimbledon for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 15. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 4 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.25
August Holmgren -> 3.8

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Prediction and head to head Yosuke Watanuki vs. August Holmgren

There is no head to head record between Yosuke Watanuki and August Holmgren since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Yosuke Watanuki

Yosuke Watanuki

19 - 14win/loss

Hard
13-9
I Hard
1-1
Grass
5-4
Rank
177
High
72
LWWLLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-14 13-9 0-0 1-1 5-4 0-0
2024 11-11 9-8 0-1 2-2 0-0 0-0
2023 43-23 29-12 7-5 1-2 6-4 0-0
2022 40-22 19-11 6-4 15-7 0-0 0-0
2021 18-17 8-9 2-3 6-4 2-1 0-0

Ranked no. 179, Watanuki reached the qualifications after defeating Thiago Moura Monteiro 7-6(9) 6-6 ret. and Colton Smith 7-6(3) 6-3.

In the qualifications, Watanuki had a good straight sets win against Smith (7-63 6-3). During the match, Watanuki scored 70 points vs Smith’s 57. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Watanuki struck 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Yosuke Watanuki lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Watanuki put 61% of his first serves in, winning 84% (37/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. Watanuki broke Smith 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Watanuki has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (244-156). 5-3 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Watanuki has an overall 15-11 record in the last years on grass.

Yousuke’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Gwangju Challenger.

Watanuki has an aggregate 19-13 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Watanuki's Record

August Holmgren

August Holmgren
August Holmgren

9 - 14win/loss

Hard
3-5
I Hard
0-1
Clay
3-7
Grass
3-1
Rank
192
High
163
WWWLLLLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 9-14 3-5 3-7 0-1 3-1 0-0
2024 37-25 24-12 6-6 7-7 0-0 0-0
2023 46-26 33-14 9-6 4-6 0-0 0-0
2022 31-12 18-4 10-5 3-3 0-0 0-0
2021 19-8 12-6 7-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 195, August got to the qualifications after defeating Giles Hussey 4-6 6-3 7-5 and Mikhail Kukushkin 4-6 7-6(4) 6-2.

In the qualifications against Kukushkin, The Dane recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-64 6-2). During the match Holmgren scored 93 points vs Kukushkin’s 88. Holmgren was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Holmgren submerged his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. August Holmgren lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Holmgren put 59% of his first serves in, winning 92% (47/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (13/35) on the 2nd serve. August broke Kukushkin 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Dane started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

Holmgren has a composed 8-14 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Wimbledon
Holmgren's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

Y.Watanuki
A.Holmgren
3h:21
3h:21
Time on court​
3h:59
3h:59
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
1h:59
1h:59
2
2
Match played
2
2
47
47
Games Played​
62
62
5
5
Set played​​
6
6
152
152
Total points​
181
181
76
76
Avg point​
90.5
90.5
67
67
Winners
86
86
33.5
33.5
Avg Winners​
43
43
44%
44%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
26
26
Aces
37
37
!
13
13
Avg Aces
!
18.5
18.5
8
8
Double Faults
7
7
4
4
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
67/79
67/79
1st won total​
86/105
86/105
!
85%
85%
1st won %
!
82%
82%
35/69
35/69
2nd won total​
31/68
31/68
51%
51%
2nd won %
46%
46%
-- Break Points --
5/8
5/8
BP won
7/12
7/12
2.5/4
2.5/4
Avg BP won
3.5/6
3.5/6
!
63%
63%
Won
!
58%
58%
10
10
Conceded
10
10
5
5
Avg Conceded
5
5
4
4
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
2.5
2.5
6
6
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Watanuki Holmgren
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 6
Tot Games 47 62
Pts 152-131 181-169
Total Points 283 350
Winners 67 86
%Winners 44% 48%

Both Watanuki and Holmgren played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, August Holmgren lost 2 sets while Yosuke Watanuki hasn’t dropped a set so far. Watanuki has played 1 set(s) less than Holmgren (5 vs 6). Therefore, Watanuki played 15 games less than Holmgren. Watanuki scored 67 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, August blasted 86 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Watanuki Holmgren
Aces 26 37
Avg per match 13 18.5
1st in 79/148 105/173
%1st in 53% 61%
1st pts 67/79 86/105
%1st pts 85% 82%
2nd pts 35/69 31/68
%2nd pts 51% 46%

Watanuki recorded 26 aces (13 per match). Holmgren blasted 37 aces (18.5 per match). Watanuki won 85% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Holmgren won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Watanuki Holmgren
Won 5 7
Converted 5/8 7/12
% Converted 63% 58%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 6 5
% Saved 60% 50%
Times Broken 4 5

Watanuki broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Yousuke conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The Dane broke his opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. August conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Watanuki
Q1
Moura Monteiro
Q2
Smith
Total
Score 7-69 6-6 ret. 7-63 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 25 22 47
pts 82-74 70-57 152-131
Total points 156 127 283
Winners 30 37 67
%Winners 37% 53% 44%
SERVE
Aces 16 10 26
Double Faults 5 3 8
1st in 35/76 44/72 79/148
% 1st in 46% 61% 53%
1st pts 30/35 37/44 67/79
% 1st pts 86% 84% 85%
2nd pts 24/41 11/28 35/69
% 2nd pts 59% 39% 51%
Breaks
Won 2 3 5
Converted 2/4 3/4 5/8
Converted % 50% 75% 63%
Conceded 4 6 10
Saved 2/4 4/6 6
Saved % 50% 67% 59%
Times Broken 2 2 4
Holmgren
Q1
Hussey
Q2
Kukushkin
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 7-5 4-6 7-64 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 31 31 62
pts 88-81 93-88 181-169
Total points 169 181 350
Winners 39 47 86
%Winners 44% 51% 48%
SERVE
Aces 14 23 37
Double Faults 1 6 7
1st in 54/87 51/86 105/173
% 1st in 62% 59% 61%
1st pts 39/54 47/51 86/105
% 1st pts 72% 92% 82%
2nd pts 18/33 13/35 31/68
% 2nd pts 55% 37% 46%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/6 3/6 7/12
Converted % 67% 50% 58%
Conceded 4 6 10
Saved 1/4 4/6 5
Saved % 25% 67% 46%
Times Broken 3 2 5

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

  • Arthur CazauxCazauxUgo BlanchetBlanchet (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
  • Oliver TarvetTarvetAlexis GalarneauGalarneau (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera
    Henrique RochaRocha (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Chris RodeschRodeschMark LajalLajal (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
  • Titouan DroguetDroguetTaro DanielDaniel (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
  • Nicolas JarryJarryJozef KovalikKovalik (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Martin LandaluceLandaluceRyan PenistonPeniston (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Dusan LajovicLajovicArthur BouquierBouquier (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
  • Alexander BlockxBlockxTimofey SkatovSkatov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
  • Lukas KleinKleinDalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
  • Giulio ZeppieriZeppieriPaul JubbJubb (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Li TuTuSho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (3-6 7-68 7-69) – See score progression
  • Leandro RiediRiediFederico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (4-6 6-3 7-68) – See score progression
  • Juan Pablo FicovichPablo FicovichOliver BondingBonding (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
  • Valentin RoyerRoyerYasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
  • James McCabeMcCabeRoman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
  • Dominic StrickerStrickerEmilio NavaNava (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
  • Marton FucsovicsFucsovicsZachary SvajdaSvajda (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
  • Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashviliChak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-61 7-63) – See score progression
  • Alex BoltBoltEliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (7-65 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
  • Luka PavlovicPavlovicJames Kent TrotterKent Trotter (6-3 6-75 7-66) – See score progression
  • August HolmgrenHolmgrenMikhail KukushkinKukushkin (4-6 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
  • Benjamin HassanHassanTristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
  • Cristian GarinGarinHady HabibHabib (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
  • Jaime FariaFariaMarco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
  • Shintaro MochizukiMochizukiFelipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Hamish StewartStewartLuca Van AsscheVan Assche (7-63 4-6 7-69) – See score progression
  • Filip MisolicMisolicGauthier OnclinOnclin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Kyrian JacquetJacquetVilius GaubasGaubas (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
  • Adrian MannarinoMannarinoNicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
  • Yosuke WatanukiWatanukiColton SmithSmith (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
  • Beibit ZhukayevZhukayevYannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-67 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw