Adrian Mannarino and Li Tu will play each other in the qualifications of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 5 sets.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.43
Li Tu -> 2.74
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Li Tu
This will be the 3rd time that Adrian Mannarino and Li Tu fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Tu (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Tu won 7-5 6-2 in the qualifications in the Phoenix Challenger back in March 2025.
Adrian Mannarino
15 - 25win/loss
69
17
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 35-37 | 16-16 | 5-9 | 0-6 | 14-6 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 17-33 | 9-17 | 0-5 | 7-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-29 | 15-13 | 2-8 | 15-4 | 12-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-32 | 18-14 | 1-6 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-26 | 5-7 | 0-7 | 5-8 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 125, Adrian got to the qualifications after defeating Andrea Collarini 6-4 6-2 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-2 6-3.
In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Budkov Kjaer (6-2 6-3). During the match, Mannarino scored 55 points vs Budkov Kjaer’s 40. Adrian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mannarino scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Adrian Mannarino conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 64% of his first serves in, winning 87% (26/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Mannarino was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Budkov Kjaer 4 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Adrian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Mannarino has won exactly 50% of his matches (281-283) in the last 10 years. 7-4 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mannarino has an aggregate 61-40 record in the last years on grass.
The French player best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Mexico City Challenger.
The French player has a composed 14-25 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Li Tu
15 - 18win/loss
336
160
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-23 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-28 | 37-21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 164 (career-high), Tu reached the qualifications after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-3 6-2 and Sho Shimabukuro 3-6 7-6(8) 7-6(9).
In the qualifications against Shimabukuro, Li recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-68 7-69). During the match Tu scored 122 points vs Shimabukuro’s 119. Li was pretty aggressive to blast 63 winners.
Talking about serving, Tu scored 17 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Li Tu was quite effective on serve to win 76% (63/83) of his 1st serve and 56% (24/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Li started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Li has an aggregate 15-17 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Wimbledon
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mannarino | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 35 | 52 |
| Pts | 125-94 | 180-155 |
| Total Points | 219 | 335 |
| Winners | 58 | 91 |
| %Winners | 46% | 51% |
Both Mannarino and Tu played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Li Tu conceded 1 set while Adrian Mannarino hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mannarino has played 1 set(s) less than Tu (4 vs 5). Therefore, Mannarino played 17 games less than Tu. Mannarino scored 58 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Li scored 91 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mannarino | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 27 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 13.5 |
| 1st in | 72/113 | 118/175 |
| %1st in | 64% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 58/72 | 91/118 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 18/41 | 34/57 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 60% |
Mannarino blasted 15 aces (7.5 per match). Tu blasted 27 aces (13.5 per match). Mannarino won 81% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mannarino | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 3 |
| Converted | 8/11 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 73% | 50% |
| Conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 91% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Adrian broke his opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Li broke his opponents 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Li conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Mannarino | ||||
| Q1 Collarini | Q2 Budkov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 | 35 | |
| pts | 70-54 | 55-40 | 125-94 | |
| Total points | 124 | 95 | 219 | |
| Winners | 32 | 26 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 47% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 42/66 | 30/47 | 72/113 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 32/42 | 26/30 | 58/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 87% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/24 | 8/17 | 18/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 47% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/4 | 8/11 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 100% | 73% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 2/2 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 100% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tu | ||||
| Q1 Elahi Galan Riveros | Q2 Shimabukuro | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 3-6 7-68 7-69 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 35 | 52 | |
| pts | 58-36 | 122-119 | 180-155 | |
| Total points | 94 | 241 | 335 | |
| Winners | 28 | 63 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 52% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 17 | 27 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/49 | 83/126 | 118/175 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 66% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 63/83 | 91/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 76% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/14 | 24/43 | 34/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 56% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 0/2 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 0% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 5/7 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores – Wimbledon
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Vilius GaubasGaubas (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (6-3 6-75 7-66) – See score progression
- Arthur CazauxCazaux – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Lukas KleinKlein – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki – Colton SmithSmith (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – Henrique RochaRocha (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Chris RodeschRodesch – Mark LajalLajal (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Taro DanielDaniel (6-4 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Jozef KovalikKovalik (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Ryan PenistonPeniston (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Arthur BouquierBouquier (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexander BlockxBlockx – Timofey SkatovSkatov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Li TuTu – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (3-6 7-68 7-69) – See score progression
- Oliver TarvetTarvet – Alexis GalarneauGalarneau (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Hady HabibHabib (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Oliver BondingBonding (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- James McCabeMcCabe – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Dominic StrickerStricker – Emilio NavaNava (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Zachary SvajdaSvajda (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Chak Lam Coleman WongLam Coleman Wong (7-61 7-63) – See score progression
- Alex BoltBolt – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (7-65 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri – Paul JubbJubb (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Benjamin HassanHassan – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Leandro RiediRiedi – Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez (4-6 6-3 7-68) – See score progression
- August HolmgrenHolmgren – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (4-6 7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Felipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Hamish StewartStewart – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (7-63 4-6 7-69) – See score progression
- Filip MisolicMisolic – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Chris RodeschRodesch (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nikoloz BasilashviliBasilashvili – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex BoltBolt – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Li TuTu – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin HassanHassan – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lukas KleinKlein – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- August HolmgrenHolmgren – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hamish StewartStewart – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Titouan DroguetDroguet (0-1) – H2H and prediction