Adrian Mannarino and Li Tu will play each other in the qualifications of Wimbledon for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 11:00 am on Court 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Adrian Mannarino who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Adrian Mannarino is the pick to win this match.
Adrian Mannarino -> 1.43
Li Tu -> 2.74

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Prediction and head to head Adrian Mannarino vs. Li Tu

This will be the 3rd time that Adrian Mannarino and Li Tu fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Tu (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they fought against each other, Tu won 7-5 6-2 in the qualifications in the Phoenix Challenger back in March 2025.

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

15 - 25win/loss

Hard
2-9
I Hard
0-3
Clay
5-9
Grass
8-4
Rank
69
High
17
LLLLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 35-37 16-16 5-9 0-6 14-6 0-0
2024 17-33 9-17 0-5 7-6 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0

Ranked no. 125, Adrian got to the qualifications after defeating Andrea Collarini 6-4 6-2 and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 6-2 6-3.

In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Budkov Kjaer (6-2 6-3). During the match, Mannarino scored 55 points vs Budkov Kjaer’s 40. Adrian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Mannarino scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Adrian Mannarino conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 64% of his first serves in, winning 87% (26/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. Mannarino was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Budkov Kjaer 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Adrian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Mannarino has won exactly 50% of his matches (281-283) in the last 10 years. 7-4 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Mannarino has an aggregate 61-40 record in the last years on grass.

The French player best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Mexico City Challenger.

The French player has a composed 14-25 win-loss record in 2025, 7-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Wimbledon
Mannarino's Record

Li Tu

Li Tu

15 - 18win/loss

Hard
9-12
I Hard
0-0
Clay
0-1
Grass
6-5
Rank
336
High
160
LLLWLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-23 11-17 0-1 0-0 6-5 0-0
2024 43-28 37-21 1-1 1-1 4-5 0-0
2023 38-32 29-19 0-3 3-6 6-4 0-0
2022 50-25 34-16 15-6 1-3 0-0 0-0
2021 41-7 28-4 0-0 13-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 164 (career-high), Tu reached the qualifications after beating Daniel Elahi Galan 6-3 6-2 and Sho Shimabukuro 3-6 7-6(8) 7-6(9).

In the qualifications against Shimabukuro, Li recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-68 7-69). During the match Tu scored 122 points vs Shimabukuro’s 119. Li was pretty aggressive to blast 63 winners.

Talking about serving, Tu scored 17 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Li Tu was quite effective on serve to win 76% (63/83) of his 1st serve and 56% (24/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Li started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Li has an aggregate 15-17 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Wimbledon

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

Wimbledon
Tu's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

A.Mannarino
L.Tu
2h:26
2h:26
Time on court​
3h:34
3h:34
1h:04
1h:04
Last match​
!
2h:36
2h:36
2
2
Match played
2
2
35
35
Games Played​
52
52
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
125
125
Total points​
180
180
62.5
62.5
Avg point​
90
90
58
58
Winners
91
91
29
29
Avg Winners​
45.5
45.5
46%
46%
Ratio winners
51%
51%
-- Serve --
15
15
Aces
27
27
7.5
7.5
Avg Aces
!
13.5
13.5
4
4
Double Faults
3
3
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
58/72
58/72
1st won total​
91/118
91/118
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
18/41
18/41
2nd won total​
34/57
34/57
44%
44%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
8/11
8/11
BP won
3/6
3/6
4/5.5
4/5.5
Avg BP won
1.5/3
1.5/3
!
73%
73%
Won
50%
50%
11
11
Conceded
9
9
5.5
5.5
Avg Conceded
4.5
4.5
1
1
Broken
2
2
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1
1
10
10
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Mannarino Tu
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 35 52
Pts 125-94 180-155
Total Points 219 335
Winners 58 91
%Winners 46% 51%

Both Mannarino and Tu played 2 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Li Tu conceded 1 set while Adrian Mannarino hasn’t conceded a set so far. Mannarino has played 1 set(s) less than Tu (4 vs 5). Therefore, Mannarino played 17 games less than Tu. Mannarino scored 58 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Li scored 91 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve Mannarino Tu
Aces 15 27
Avg per match 7.5 13.5
1st in 72/113 118/175
%1st in 64% 67%
1st pts 58/72 91/118
%1st pts 81% 77%
2nd pts 18/41 34/57
%2nd pts 44% 60%

Mannarino blasted 15 aces (7.5 per match). Tu blasted 27 aces (13.5 per match). Mannarino won 81% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Mannarino Tu
Won 8 3
Converted 8/11 3/6
% Converted 73% 50%
Conceded 11 9
Saved 10 7
% Saved 91% 78%
Times Broken 1 2

Adrian broke his opponents 8 times with a 73% conversion rate. The French player surrendered his serve once and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Li broke his opponents 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Li conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Mannarino
Q1
Collarini
Q2
Budkov
Total
Score 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 18 17 35
pts 70-54 55-40 125-94
Total points 124 95 219
Winners 32 26 58
%Winners 46% 47% 46%
SERVE
Aces 7 8 15
Double Faults 3 1 4
1st in 42/66 30/47 72/113
% 1st in 64% 64% 64%
1st pts 32/42 26/30 58/72
% 1st pts 76% 87% 81%
2nd pts 10/24 8/17 18/41
% 2nd pts 42% 47% 44%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/7 4/4 8/11
Converted % 57% 100% 73%
Conceded 9 2 11
Saved 8/9 2/2 10
Saved % 89% 100% 95%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Tu
Q1
Elahi Galan Riveros
Q2
Shimabukuro
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 3-6 7-68 7-69
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 17 35 52
pts 58-36 122-119 180-155
Total points 94 241 335
Winners 28 63 91
%Winners 48% 52% 51%
SERVE
Aces 10 17 27
Double Faults 0 3 3
1st in 35/49 83/126 118/175
% 1st in 71% 66% 67%
1st pts 28/35 63/83 91/118
% 1st pts 80% 76% 77%
2nd pts 10/14 24/43 34/57
% 2nd pts 71% 56% 60%
Breaks
Won 3 0 3
Converted 3/4 0/2 3/6
Converted % 75% 0% 50%
Conceded 2 7 9
Saved 2/2 5/7 7
Saved % 100% 71% 86%
Times Broken 0 2 2

Tennis Scores – Wimbledon

Upcoming matches in the draw