H2H, prediction of Iga Swiatek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova in Bad Homburg with odds, preview, pick | 26th June 2025

PREVIEW. Bad Homburg. Swiatek and Alexandrova will fight against each other in the quarter of the Bad Homburg Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 26th of June

Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off in the quarter of the Bad Homburg Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on SPIELBANK BAD HOMBURG CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.5
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.59

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 6th time that Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they played, Alexandrova won 6-4 6-2 in the 4th round in Miami back in 2024.

Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek – Miami 25-March-2024

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek
Iga Swiatek

33 - 10win/loss

Hard
21-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-4
Grass
1-0
Rank
3
High
1
WWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 42-11 21-6 11-4 0-0 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 8, Swiatek reached the quarter after beating Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Azarenka (6-4 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 64 points vs Azarenka’s 50. Iga was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 69% of her first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Azarenka 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).

Swiatek has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (382-86). 1-0 on grass in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a composed 19-8 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

Iga’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Australia.

Iga has an aggregate 33-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bad Homburg

Swiatek
Bad Homburg
Swiatek's Record

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ekaterina Alexandrova

25 - 12win/loss

Hard
5-7
I Hard
4-0
Clay
11-4
Grass
5-1
Rank
16
High
15
WWLWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-14 5-7 13-4 4-0 8-3 0-0
2024 26-25 17-13 1-7 3-2 5-3 0-0
2023 33-21 17-13 6-5 0-1 10-2 0-0
2022 35-18 12-10 13-5 4-2 6-1 0-0
2021 26-23 10-9 6-5 7-7 3-2 0-0

Ranked no. 18, the Russian got to the quarter after beating Belinda Bencic 6-1 6-2 and Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Alexandrova defeated Sakkari (6-3 6-72 6-3). During the match Alexandrova scored 102 points vs Sakkari’s 94. Alexandrova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 55 winners.

About the serving games, Alexandrova bagged 13 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (55/71) of her 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexandrova broke Sakkari twice after converting 67% of her break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Ekaterina has a compiled 25-12 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Bad Homburg

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.

Alexandrova
Bad Homburg
Alexandrova's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
E.Alexandrova
1h:36
1h:36
Time on court​
!
3h:23
3h:23
1h:36
1h:36
Last match​
!
2h:14
2h:14
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
20
20
Games Played​
46
46
2
2
Set played​​
5
5
64
64
Total points​
166
166
64
64
Avg point​
83
83
30
30
Winners
82
82
30
30
Avg Winners​
41
41
47%
47%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
21
21
6
6
Avg Aces
!
10.5
10.5
3
3
Double Faults
10
10
3
3
Avg Double Faults
5
5
30/38
30/38
1st won total​
82/108
82/108
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
7/17
7/17
2nd won total​
32/62
32/62
41%
41%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
7/15
7/15
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
3.5/7.5
3.5/7.5
50%
50%
Won
47%
47%
6
6
Conceded
16
16
6
6
Avg Conceded
8
8
2
2
Broken
1
1
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0.5
0.5
4
4
Saved
15
15

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Alexandrova
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 5
Tot Games 20 46
Pts 64-50 166-136
Total Points 114 302
Winners 30 82
%Winners 47% 49%

Swiatek played 1 match while Alexandrova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t conceded a set so far. Swiatek has played 3 set(s) less than Alexandrova (2 vs 5). Therefore, Swiatek played 26 games less than Alexandrova. Swiatek scored 30 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandrova bagged 82 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Alexandrova
Aces 6 21
Avg per match 6 10.5
1st in 38/55 108/170
%1st in 69% 64%
1st pts 30/38 82/108
%1st pts 79% 76%
2nd pts 7/17 32/62
%2nd pts 41% 52%

Swiatek managed to score 6 aces . Alexandrova scored 21 aces (10.5 per match). Swiatek won 79% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Alexandrova
Won 4 7
Converted 4/8 7/15
% Converted 50% 47%
Conceded 6 16
Saved 4 15
% Saved 67% 94%
Times Broken 2 1

Iga broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Pole surrendered her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Alexandrova broke her opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve once and she saved 94% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Azarenka
Total
Score 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 64-50 64-50
Total points 114 114
Winners 30 30
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 38/55 38/55
% 1st in 69% 69%
1st pts 30/38 30/38
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 7/17 7/17
% 2nd pts 41% 41%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Alexandrova
R1
Bencic
R2
Sakkari
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 6-3 6-72 6-3
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 15 31 46
pts 64-42 102-94 166-136
Total points 106 196 302
Winners 27 55 82
%Winners 42% 54% 49%
SERVE
Aces 8 13 21
Double Faults 4 6 10
1st in 37/59 71/111 108/170
% 1st in 63% 64% 64%
1st pts 27/37 55/71 82/108
% 1st pts 73% 77% 76%
2nd pts 10/22 22/40 32/62
% 2nd pts 45% 55% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 2 7
Converted 5/12 2/3 7/15
Converted % 42% 67% 47%
Conceded 8 8 16
Saved 7/8 8/8 15
Saved % 88% 100% 188%
Times Broken 1 0 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Swiatek
WWWWWWWLWW
Alexandrova
WWLWWWLWWL
2025 2024 2023
42 - 11
30 - 14
21-6
Hard
5-7
0-0
I Hard
4-0
11-4
Clay
13-4
10-1
Grass
8-3

Tennis Scores in Bad Homburg

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw