Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off in the quarter of the Bad Homburg Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on SPIELBANK BAD HOMBURG CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.5
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 6th time that Iga Swiatek and Ekaterina Alexandrova play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Alexandrova won 6-4 6-2 in the 4th round in Miami back in 2024.
Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iga Swiatek – Miami 25-March-2024
Iga Swiatek
33 - 10win/loss
3
1
WWWWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-11 | 21-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Swiatek reached the quarter after beating Victoria Azarenka 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Azarenka (6-4 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 64 points vs Azarenka’s 50. Iga was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored 6 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 69% of her first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (7/17) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Azarenka 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Swiatek has a marvellous win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (382-86). 1-0 on grass in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a composed 19-8 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Iga’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Australia.
Iga has an aggregate 33-10 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bad Homburg
Ekaterina Alexandrova
25 - 12win/loss
16
15
WWLWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-14 | 5-7 | 13-4 | 4-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, the Russian got to the quarter after beating Belinda Bencic 6-1 6-2 and Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-7(2) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Alexandrova defeated Sakkari (6-3 6-72 6-3). During the match Alexandrova scored 102 points vs Sakkari’s 94. Alexandrova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 55 winners.
About the serving games, Alexandrova bagged 13 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova was quite efficient on serve to win 77% (55/71) of her 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexandrova broke Sakkari twice after converting 67% of her break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Linz where she overcame Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.
Ekaterina has a compiled 25-12 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Bad Homburg
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 46 |
| Pts | 64-50 | 166-136 |
| Total Points | 114 | 302 |
| Winners | 30 | 82 |
| %Winners | 47% | 49% |
Swiatek played 1 match while Alexandrova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova conceded 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t conceded a set so far. Swiatek has played 3 set(s) less than Alexandrova (2 vs 5). Therefore, Swiatek played 26 games less than Alexandrova. Swiatek scored 30 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Alexandrova bagged 82 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 10.5 |
| 1st in | 38/55 | 108/170 |
| %1st in | 69% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 82/108 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 32/62 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 52% |
Swiatek managed to score 6 aces . Alexandrova scored 21 aces (10.5 per match). Swiatek won 79% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 50% | 47% |
| Conceded | 6 | 16 |
| Saved | 4 | 15 |
| % Saved | 67% | 94% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Iga broke her opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Pole surrendered her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. Alexandrova broke her opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve once and she saved 94% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||
| R2 Azarenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 64-50 | 64-50 | |
| Total points | 114 | 114 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/55 | 38/55 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 30/38 | 30/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 7/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Alexandrova | ||||
| R1 Bencic |
R2 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-72 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 31 | 46 | |
| pts | 64-42 | 102-94 | 166-136 | |
| Total points | 106 | 196 | 302 | |
| Winners | 27 | 55 | 82 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 54% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 13 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 37/59 | 71/111 | 108/170 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 55/71 | 82/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/22 | 22/40 | 32/62 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 55% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 2/3 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 67% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | 16 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 8/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 100% | 188% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWLWW
WWLWWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Bad Homburg
- Timea Babos/Luisa StefaniBabos/Luisa Stefani – Ulrikke Eikeri/Makoto NinomiyaEikeri/Makoto Ninomiya (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hanyu Guo/Alexandra PanovaGuo/Alexandra Panova – Nadiya Kichenok/Nicole MelicharKichenok/Nicole Melichar (4-6 7-62 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lyudmyla Kichenok/Ellen PerezKichenok/Ellen Perez – Hao-Ching Chan/Clara TausonChan/Clara Tauson (4-6 6-4 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pol Toledo BagueToledo Bague – Florian LakatLakat (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Federico ZeballosZeballos – Frederico GilGil (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Jaume Pla MalfeitoPla Malfeito (7-64 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Albert RoglanRoglan – Xavier GabarroGabarro (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-3) – H2H and prediction
