Arthur Gea and Rafael Jodar will clash against each other in the quarter of the Milan Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:00 pm on COURT 10. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Jodar who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Jodar is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Jodar -> 1.86
Arthur Gea -> 1.86

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Arthur Gea vs. Rafael Jodar

There is no head to head record between Arthur Gea and Rafael Jodar since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Arthur Gea

Ranked no. 295, Arthur got to the quarter after beating Diego Dedura-Palomero 7-6(4) 6-1 and Oriol Roca Batalla 6-4 1-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Arthur defeated Roca Batalla (6-4 1-6 6-3).During the match, Gea scored less points (7) than Roca Batalla. In fact, the world no. 295 won 74 points vs Roca Batalla’s. That means that Gea was more focused during the important points. Gea was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Gea fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Arthur Gea lost the serve 4 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Gea put 54% of his first serves in, winning 59% (26/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the 2nd serve. Gea broke Roca Batalla 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gea has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Gea has a winning win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 59% of his matches (105-73). 14-11 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gea has a compiled55-50 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.

Gea’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Hazebrouck,M15 Bressuire and M25 Santa Margherita di Pula.

The French player has a compiled 27-17 win-loss record in 2025, 14-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Milan Challenger

Arthur has never competed in this tournament before.

Rafael Jodar

Ranked no. 677, Jodar reached the quarter after beating Lorenzo Giustino 6-0 6-2 and Tiago Pereira 4-6 7-5 6-1.

In the 2^nd round against Pereira, Jodar recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-5 6-1). During the match Jodar scored 93 points vs Pereira’s 73. The Spaniard was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about serving, Jodar scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rafael Jodar was pretty effective on serve to win 82% (40/49) of his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rafael broke Pereira 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jodar has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

The Spaniard’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Cuernavaca Challenger.

Jodar has a compiled 6-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Gea	Jodar
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	5	5
Tot Games	46	43
Pts	146-130	152-107
Total Points	276	259
Winners	57	60
%Winners	39%	39%

Both Gea and Jodar played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Arthur Gea lost 1 set, while Rafael Jodar lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Gea and Jodar have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Gea played 3 games more than Jodar. Arthur scored 57 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard bagged 60 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Gea	Jodar
Aces	10	2
Avg per match	5	1
1st in	80/144	78/123
%1st in	56%	63%
1st pts	57/80	60/78
%1st pts	71%	77%
2nd pts	37/64	26/45
%2nd pts	58%	58%

Gea made 10 aces (5 per match). Jodar managed to score 2 aces (1 per match). Gea won 71% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Jodar won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Gea	Jodar
Won	7	10
Converted	7/14	10/17
% Converted	50%	59%
Conceded	9	7
Saved	4	4
% Saved	44%	57%
Times Broken	5	3

The French player broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Gea dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Rafael conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Gea
	R1 Dedura-Palomero	R2 Roca Batalla	Total
Score	7-64 6-1	6-4 1-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	26	46
pts	72-49	74-81	146-130
Total points	121	155	276
Winners	31	26	57
%Winners	43%	35%	39%
SERVE
Aces	5	5	10
Double Faults	1	2	3
1st in	36/62	44/82	80/144
% 1st in	58%	54%	56%
1st pts	31/36	26/44	57/80
% 1st pts	86%	59%	71%
2nd pts	16/26	21/38	37/64
% 2nd pts	62%	55%	58%
Breaks
Won	3	4	7
Converted	3/7	4/7	7/14
Converted %	43%	57%	50%
Conceded	1	8	9
Saved	0/1	4/8	4
Saved %	0%	50%	25%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Jodar
	R1 Giustino	R2 Pereira	Total
Score	6-0 6-2	4-6 7-5 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	14	29	43
pts	59-34	93-73	152-107
Total points	93	166	259
Winners	20	40	60
%Winners	34%	43%	39%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2
Double Faults	2	3	5
1st in	29/45	49/78	78/123
% 1st in	64%	63%	63%
1st pts	20/29	40/49	60/78
% 1st pts	69%	82%	77%
2nd pts	9/16	17/29	26/45
% 2nd pts	56%	59%	58%
Breaks
Won	6	4	10
Converted	6/11	4/6	10/17
Converted %	55%	67%	59%
Conceded	4	3	7
Saved	3/4	1/3	4
Saved %	75%	33%	54%
Times Broken	1	2	3

Upcoming matches in the draw