Tiago Pereira and Rafael Jodar will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Milan Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 10:30 am on COURT 10. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rafael Jodar who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Rafael Jodar is the pick to win this match.
Rafael Jodar -> 1.71
Tiago Pereira -> 2.04

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Tiago Pereira vs. Rafael Jodar

There is no head to head record between Tiago Pereira and Rafael Jodar since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Tiago Pereira

Ranked no. 351, Tiago got to the 2^nd round after beating Maxime Janvier 6-7(2) 6-3 6-2, Andres Santamarta Roig 6-3 6-4 and Matias Soto 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Pereira defeated Soto (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Pereira scored 93 points vs Soto’s 82. Pereira was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pereira recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tiago Pereira lost the serve twice and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Pereira put 59% of his first serves in, winning 70% (38/54) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. Pereira broke Soto 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Pereira has a winning match record in the last 4 years having won 58% of his matches (156-113). 16-10 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pereira has an aggregate23-22 record in the last 4 years on clay.

Tiago’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Faro,M25 Vale do Lobo,M25 Bol and M25 Monastir.

The Portuguese has an overall 34-21 win-loss record in 2025, 16-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Milan Challenger

Pereira has never competed in this tournament before.

Rafael Jodar

Ranked no. 677, the Spaniard reached the 2^nd round after defeating Lorenzo Giustino 6-0 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Rafael had a good straight sets win against Giustino (6-0 6-2). During the match Jodar scored 59 points vs Giustino’s 34. Jodar was quite aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Jodar scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Rafael Jodar lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Jodar put 64% of his first serves in, winning 69% (20/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. Jodar broke Giustino 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

The Spaniard’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Cuernavaca Challenger.

Jodar has an aggregate 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pereira	Jodar
Match played	2	1
Tot Set	6	2
Tot Games	58	14
Pts	190-178	59-34
Total Points	368	93
Winners	74	20
%Winners	39%	34%

Pereira played 2 matches while Jodar competed in 1 match. Pereira started his run from the qualifications while Jodar had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Tiago Pereira lost 2 sets while Rafael Jodar hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Pereira has played 4 sets more than Jodar (6 vs 2). Therefore, Pereira played 44 games more than Jodar. The Portuguese scored 74 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard managed to score 20 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pereira	Jodar
Aces	9	1
Avg per match	4.5	1
1st in	107/203	29/45
%1st in	53%	64%
1st pts	74/107	20/29
%1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	56/96	9/16
%2nd pts	58%	56%

Pereira made 9 aces (4.5 per match). Jodar fired 1 ace . Pereira won 69% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Jodar won 69% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pereira	Jodar
Won	8	6
Converted	8/14	6/11
% Converted	57%	55%
Conceded	19	4
Saved	16	3
% Saved	84%	75%
Times Broken	3	1

Tiago broke his opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Portuguese lost his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded. The Spaniard broke his opponent 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Jodar conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Pereira
	Q1 Janvier	Q3 Santamarta	R1 Soto	Total
Score	6-72 6-3 6-2	6-3 6-4	6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	30	19	28	77
pts	97-96	–	93-82	190-178
Total points	193	0	175	368
Winners	36		38	74
%Winners	37%	0%	41%	39%
SERVE
Aces	4	0	5	9
Double Faults	3		2	5
1st in	53/112	/	54/91	107/203
% 1st in	47%	0%	59%	53%
1st pts	36/53	/	38/54	74/107
% 1st pts	68%	0%	70%	69%
2nd pts	34/59	/	22/37	56/96
% 2nd pts	58%	0%	59%	58%
Breaks
Won	4		4	8
Converted	4/7	/	4/7	8/14
Converted %	57%	0%	57%	57%
Conceded	9		10	19
Saved	8/9	0/	8/10	16
Saved %	89%	–	80%	56%
Times Broken	1		2	3

Jodar
	R1 Giustino	Total
Score	6-0 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	14	14
pts	59-34	59-34
Total points	93	93
Winners	20	20
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	29/45	29/45
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	20/29	20/29
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	9/16	9/16
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	6	6
Converted	6/11	6/11
Converted %	55%	55%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	3/4	3
Saved %	75%	25%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Milan Challenger

• Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla – Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez (4-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Mili PoljicakPoljicak – Stefano TravagliaTravaglia (6-2 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini – Henri SquireSquire (7-6⁵ ret.) – See score progression
• Max HoukesHoukes – Giovanni FonioFonio (3-6 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Thomas FaurelFaurel – Federico BondioliBondioli (6-3 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Tiago PereiraPereira – Matias SotoSoto (6-3 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-3 1-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Max Alcala GurriAlcala Gurri (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Christoph NegrituNegritu – Mathys ErhardErhard (2-6 7-6⁷ 6-4) – See score progression
• Jacopo VasamiVasami – Andres Santamarta RoigSantamarta Roig (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Oleg PrihodkoPrihodko – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Luka MikrutMikrut – Kimmer CoppejansCoppejans (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Dino PrizmicPrizmic – Gabriele PirainoPiraino (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur GeaGea – Diego Dedura-PalomeroDedura-Palomero (7-6⁴ 6-1) – See score progression
• Rafael JodarJodar – Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
• Ivan GakhovGakhov – Andrej MartinMartin (3-6 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Christoph NegrituNegritu – Mathys ErhardErhard (2-6 7-6(7) 6-4) – See score progression
• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-3 1-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Max Alcala GurriAlcala Gurri (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Thomas FaurelFaurel – Federico BondioliBondioli (6-3 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Max HoukesHoukes – Giovanni FonioFonio (3-6 6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
• Jacopo VasamiVasami – Andres Santamarta RoigSantamarta Roig (6-3 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva – Marco CecchinatoCecchinato (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christoph NegrituNegritu – Ivan GakhovGakhov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Oleg PrihodkoPrihodko – (1-1) – H2H and prediction