Jacopo Berrettini and Mikael Ymer will play each other in the qualifications of the Milan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mikael Ymer who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mikael Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Mikael Ymer -> 1.41
Jacopo Berrettini -> 2.73

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Jacopo Berrettini vs. Mikael Ymer

There is no head to head record between Jacopo Berrettini and Mikael Ymer since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Jacopo Berrettini

Jacopo Berrettini

21 - 12win/loss

Hard
3-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
18-8
Rank
298
High
298
LWWWWWLLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 8-6 33-16 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 32-26 3-7 29-17 0-2 0-0 0-0
2023 13-14 8-8 5-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 9-12 5-4 4-3 0-5 0-0 0-0
2021 23-27 6-5 17-22 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 330, Berrettini got to the qualifications after defeating Max Wiskandt 7-6(6) 6-7(5) 6-4.

In the qualifications, Berrettini defeated Wiskandt (7-66 6-75 6-4). During the match, Berrettini scored 137 points vs Wiskandt’s 130. Jacopo was extremely aggressive to blast 52 winners.

Regarding the service games, Berrettini scored 5 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Jacopo Berrettini lost the serve 4 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 58% of his first serves in, winning 70% (52/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (22/53) on the 2nd serve. Berrettini broke Wiskandt 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Berrettini has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (222-182). 17-8 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Berrettini has an aggregate 141-108 record in the last years on clay.

Jacopo’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Cervia and M25 Cordoba.

Jacopo has a composed 20-12 win-loss record in 2025, 17-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Milan Challenger

Milan Challenger
Berrettini's Record

Mikael Ymer

Mikael Ymer

12 - 6win/loss

Hard
0-1
I Hard
6-2
Clay
6-3
Rank
622
High
50
LWLWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-10 0-1 10-6 6-3 0-0 0-0
2024 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 24-18 6-7 3-3 11-4 4-4 0-0
2022 31-25 9-6 3-8 17-9 2-2 0-0
2021 27-24 9-5 10-7 5-9 3-3 0-0

Ranked no. 646, Ymer reached the qualifications after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 7-5 6-2.

In the qualifications, The Swede had a good straight sets win against Zapata Miralles (7-5 6-2). During the match Ymer scored 69 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 56. Mikael was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about serving, Ymer managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mikael Ymer was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (22/29) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Swede broke Zapata Miralles 4 times after converting 27% of his break points (4/15).

Mikael’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M25 Esch/Alzette and M25 Varnamo.

Mikael has an aggregate 12-5 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS)

.
Milan Challenger
Ymer's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

J.Berrettini
M.Ymer
!
3h:24
3h:24
Time on court​
1h:29
1h:29
!
3h:24
3h:24
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
1
1
Match played
1
1
36
36
Games Played​
20
20
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
137
137
Total points​
69
69
137
137
Avg point​
69
69
52
52
Winners
22
22
52
52
Avg Winners​
22
22
38%
38%
Ratio winners
32%
32%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
2
2
5
5
Avg Aces
2
2
7
7
Double Faults
2
2
!
7
7
Avg Double Faults
2
2
52/74
52/74
1st won total​
22/29
22/29
70%
70%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
22/53
22/53
2nd won total​
16/26
16/26
42%
42%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
5/14
5/14
BP won
4/15
4/15
5/14
5/14
Avg BP won
4/15
4/15
36%
36%
Won
!
27%
27%
13
13
Conceded
2
2
13
13
Avg Conceded
2
2
4
4
Broken
1
1
4
4
Avg Broken
1
1
9
9
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Berrettini Ymer
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 36 20
Pts 137-130 69-56
Total Points 267 125
Winners 52 22
%Winners 38% 32%

Both Berrettini and Ymer played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Jacopo Berrettini conceded 1 set while Mikael Ymer hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Berrettini has played 1 set more than Ymer (3 vs 2). Therefore, Berrettini played 16 games more than Ymer. Jacopo scored 52 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mikael made 22 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve Berrettini Ymer
Aces 5 2
Avg per match 5 2
1st in 74/127 29/55
%1st in 58% 53%
1st pts 52/74 22/29
%1st pts 70% 76%
2nd pts 22/53 16/26
%2nd pts 42% 62%

Berrettini made 5 aces . Ymer managed to score 2 aces . Berrettini won 70% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Berrettini Ymer
Won 5 4
Converted 5/14 4/15
% Converted 36% 27%
Conceded 13 2
Saved 9 1
% Saved 69% 50%
Times Broken 4 1

Berrettini broke his opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Jacopo dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Ymer broke his opponent 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Swede conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Berrettini
Q1
Wiskandt
Total
Score 7-66 6-75 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 36 36
pts 137-130 137-130
Total points 267 267
Winners 52 52
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 7 7
1st in 74/127 74/127
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 52/74 52/74
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 22/53 22/53
% 2nd pts 42% 42%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/14 5/14
Converted % 36% 36%
Conceded 13 13
Saved 9/13 9
Saved % 69% 69%
Times Broken 4 4
Ymer
Q1
Zapata Miralles
Total
Score 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 20 20
pts 69-56 69-56
Total points 125 125
Winners 22 22
%Winners 32% 32%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 29/55 29/55
% 1st in 53% 53%
1st pts 22/29 22/29
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 16/26 16/26
% 2nd pts 62% 62%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/15 4/15
Converted % 27% 27%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Milan Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw