Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik will clash against each other in the final of the Terra Wortmann Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on OWL ARENA. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.6
Alexander Bublik -> 2.34
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Bublik
This will be the 8th time that Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik clash against each other. The head to head is 7-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 7-6(3) 6-4 in the 4th round in Madrid back in 2024.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik – Madrid 30-April-2024
Daniil Medvedev
23 - 12win/loss
13
1
LWWLWWWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Daniil reached the final after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-3, Quentin Halys 6-2 7-5, Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 7-6(3) 6-7(1) 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Russian defeated Zverev (7-63 6-71 6-4).During the match, Medvedev scored less points (2) than Zverev. In fact, the world no. 11 won 114 points vs Zverev’s. That means that Medvedev was more focused during the important points. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 61 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev recorded 17 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 69% of his first serves in, winning 75% (61/81) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (17/37) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Zverev twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Daniil has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 53% of the points he played.
Medvedev has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (480-194). 5-1 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a composed 61-25 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Marseille, Indian Wells and Halle.
Daniil has an overall 23-12 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Halle
Alexander Bublik
26 - 16win/loss
11
11
LLWWWWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 45, Alexander got to the final after beating Alexandre Muller 6-4 6-4, Jannik Sinner 3-6 6-3 6-4, Tomas Machac 7-6(2) 6-3 and Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
In the semifinal against Khachanov, Bublik recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 6-4).During the match Bublik scored less points (4) than Khachanov. In fact, the world no. 11 won 96 points vs Khachanov’s. That means that Bublik was more focused during the important points. Bublik was quite aggressive to blast 54 winners.
Talking about serving, Bublik fired 19 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alexander Bublik was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (54/65) of his 1st serve and 51% (18/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Kazakhstani broke Khachanov once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bublik has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the final 6-3 6-3.
Alexander has a composed 26-16 win-loss record in 2025, 4-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Halle
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 103 |
| Pts | 299-265 | 329-298 |
| Total Points | 564 | 627 |
| Winners | 151 | 164 |
| %Winners | 51% | 50% |
Both Medvedev and Bublik played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev conceded 1 set, while Alexander Bublik surrendered 2 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Bublik (9 vs 10). Therefore, Medvedev played 10 games less than Bublik. Medvedev scored 151 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Alexander recorded 164 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 41 | 65 |
| Avg per match | 10.3 | 16.3 |
| 1st in | 197/289 | 202/310 |
| %1st in | 68% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 151/197 | 164/202 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 50/92 | 60/108 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 56% |
Medvedev recorded 41 aces (10.3 per match). Bublik managed to score 65 aces (16.3 per match). Medvedev won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Bublik won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Bublik |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 8 |
| Converted | 10/28 | 8/19 |
| % Converted | 36% | 42% |
| Conceded | 9 | 19 |
| Saved | 8 | 16 |
| % Saved | 89% | 84% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 10 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Russian dropped his serve once and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. Bublik broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 84% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||||
| R1 Altmaier |
R2 Halys |
1/4 Michelsen |
1/2 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 6-3 | 7-63 6-71 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 19 | 36 | 93 | |
| pts | 56-48 | 65-44 | 64-57 | 114-116 | 299-265 | |
| Total points | 104 | 109 | 121 | 230 | 564 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | 32 | 61 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 45% | 50% | 54% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 41/57 | 32/49 | 43/65 | 81/118 | 197/289 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 65% | 66% | 69% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 29/41 | 29/32 | 32/43 | 61/81 | 151/197 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 91% | 74% | 75% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 12/17 | 12/22 | 17/37 | 50/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 71% | 55% | 46% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/5 | 2/10 | 2/7 | 10/28 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 20% | 29% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | – | 86% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bublik | ||||||
| R1 Muller |
R2 Sinner |
1/4 Machac |
1/2 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-62 6-3 | 4-6 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 28 | 22 | 33 | 103 | |
| pts | 61-47 | 93-89 | 79-62 | 96-100 | 329-298 | |
| Total points | 108 | 182 | 141 | 196 | 627 | |
| Winners | 25 | 46 | 39 | 54 | 164 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 49% | 56% | 50% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 65 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 59/92 | 50/69 | 65/100 | 202/310 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 64% | 72% | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 25/28 | 46/59 | 39/50 | 54/65 | 164/202 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 78% | 78% | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/21 | 17/33 | 10/19 | 18/35 | 60/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 52% | 53% | 51% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/6 | 3/6 | 1/2 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 8/9 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 16 | |
| Saved % | – | 89% | 80% | 80% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWL
LLWWWWLWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander BublikBublik – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-7) – H2H and prediction
