Alex Barrena and Franco Roncadelli will fight against each other in the final of the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Barrena who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Barrena is the pick to win this match.
Alex Barrena -> 1.32
Franco Roncadelli -> 3.15
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Alex Barrena vs. Franco Roncadelli
This will be the 4th time that Alex Barrena and Franco Roncadelli fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Barrena (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Barrena won 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger back in April 2025.
Alex Barrena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-26 | 0-1 | 46-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 0-0 | 29-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-30 | 0-0 | 51-30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-19 | 2-1 | 26-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-24 | 1-5 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 326 (career-high), the Argentine got to the final after defeating Federico Zeballos 6-1 6-4, Juan Bautista Torres 6-1 6-1, Bautista Vilicich 6-2 6-1 and Juan Manuel La Serna 6-3 6-0.
In the semifinal, Barrena had a good straight sets win against Manuel La Serna (6-3 6-0). During the match, Barrena scored 66 points vs Manuel La Serna’s 43. Barrena was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Barrena managed to score 3 aces and he was exceptionally solid in conceding no double faults. Alex Barrena was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (26/36) of his 1st serve and 63% (10/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Barrena broke Manuel La Serna 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Barrena hasn’t conceded yet a set in this competition to conquer 60% of the points he played.
Barrena has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (149-112). 25-11 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Barrena has an overall146-104 record in the last 7 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger where he defeated Santiago Rodriguez Taverna in the final 7-5 6-2.
Barrena has an aggregate 25-11 win-loss record in 2025, 25-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
Barrena has never competed in this tournament before.
Franco Roncadelli
18 - 13win/loss
357
336
LLWLWWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38-27 | 1-1 | 37-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-26 | 0-0 | 48-26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-29 | 3-5 | 34-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 0-0 | 38-23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-25 | 0-0 | 36-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 352, Franco reached the final after beating Tomas Farjat 6-4 6-4, Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-4 6-7(4) 6-4, Gonzalo Villanueva 6-7(3) 6-2 6-4 and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 7-6(3) 4-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Uruguayan defeated Lucas Reis Da (7-63 4-6 6-4).During the match Roncadelli scored less points (4) than Lucas Reis Da. In fact, the world no. 326 won 116 points vs Lucas Reis Da’s. That means that Roncadelli was more focused during the important points. The Uruguayan was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about serving, Roncadelli wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Franco Roncadelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 15 break points. Furthermore, Roncadelli put 75% of his first serves in, winning 61% (57/93) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. The Uruguayan broke Lucas Reis Da 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Roncadelli has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Roncadelli’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Lujan,the Santos Challenger and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger.
Roncadelli has an aggregate 18-12 win-loss record in 2025, 17-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Barrena | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 117 |
| Pts | 272-185 | 427-396 |
| Total Points | 457 | 823 |
| Winners | 83 | 193 |
| %Winners | 31% | 45% |
Both Barrena and Roncadelli played 4 matches. At the moment, Franco Roncadelli conceded 3 sets while Alex Barrena hasn’t conceded a set so far. Barrena has played 3 set(s) less than Roncadelli (8 vs 11). Therefore, Barrena played 56 games less than Roncadelli. Alex scored 83 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Roncadelli bagged 193 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Barrena | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 124/220 | 307/405 |
| %1st in | 56% | 76% |
| 1st pts | 83/124 | 193/307 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 63/96 | 47/98 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 48% |
Barrena struck 8 aces (2 per match). Roncadelli blasted 2 aces (0.5 per match). Barrena won 67% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Roncadelli won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Barrena | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 19 | 20 |
| Converted | 19/43 | 20/44 |
| % Converted | 44% | 45% |
| Conceded | 23 | 45 |
| Saved | 21 | 32 |
| % Saved | 91% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 13 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 19 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve twice and he saved 91% of the break points that he conceded. Roncadelli broke his opponents 20 times with a 45% conversion rate. Franco conceded his serve 13 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Barrena | ||||||
| R1 Zeballos |
R2 Bautista |
1/4 Vilicich |
1/2 Manuel La Serna |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 61 | |
| pts | 74-57 | 58-33 | 74-52 | 66-43 | 272-185 | |
| Total points | 131 | 91 | 126 | 109 | 457 | |
| Winners | 21 | 14 | 22 | 26 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 24% | 30% | 39% | 31% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 20/50 | 30/55 | 36/52 | 124/220 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 40% | 55% | 69% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 21/38 | 14/20 | 22/30 | 26/36 | 83/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 55% | 70% | 73% | 72% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 20/30 | 16/25 | 10/16 | 63/96 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 67% | 64% | 63% | 66% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/9 | 4/11 | 5/12 | 19/43 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 56% | 36% | 42% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 23 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 4/4 | 3/3 | 7/7 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Roncadelli | ||||||
| R1 Farjat |
R2 Carlos Prado Angelo |
1/4 Villanueva |
1/2 Lucas Reis Da |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-4 6-74 6-4 | 6-73 6-2 6-4 | 7-63 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 117 | |
| pts | 69-55 | 137-128 | 105-93 | 116-120 | 427-396 | |
| Total points | 124 | 265 | 198 | 236 | 823 | |
| Winners | 32 | 54 | 50 | 57 | 193 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 39% | 48% | 49% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 46/54 | 89/124 | 79/103 | 93/124 | 307/405 | |
| % 1st in | 85% | 72% | 77% | 75% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 32/46 | 54/89 | 50/79 | 57/93 | 193/307 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 61% | 63% | 61% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/8 | 15/35 | 12/24 | 16/31 | 47/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 43% | 50% | 52% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 6/16 | 6/8 | 4/13 | 20/44 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 38% | 75% | 31% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 45 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 7/11 | 9/12 | 15/19 | 32 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 64% | 75% | 79% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLLL
LLWLWWLLWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
