H2H, prediction of Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova in Berlin with odds, preview, pick | 21st June 2025

PREVIEW. Berlin. Sabalenka and Vondrousova will square off in the semifinal of the Berlin Ladies Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 21st of June

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marketa Vondrousova

Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova will face off in the semifinal of the Berlin Ladies Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on STEFFI GRAF STADION. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.363
Marketa Vondrousova -> 3.125

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marketa Vondrousova

This will be the 8th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova square off. The head to head is 4-3 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.

The last time that they fought against each other, Vondrousova won 3-6 6-3 7-5 in the quarter in Stuttgart back in 2024.

Highlights Marketa Vondrousova vs Aryna Sabalenka – Stuttgart 19-April-2024

Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka

42 - 7win/loss

Hard
23-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-3
Grass
2-0
Rank
1
High
1
LWWWWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 47-9 23-4 17-3 0-0 7-2 0-0
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Aryna reached the semifinal after defeating Rebeka Masarova 6-2 7-6(6) and Elena Rybakina 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6).

In the quarter, Aryna defeated Rybakina (7-66 3-6 7-66).During the match, Sabalenka scored less points (7) than Rybakina . In fact, the world no. 1 won 114 points vs Rybakina ‘s. That means that Sabalenka was more focused during the important points. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 52% of her first serves in, winning 62% (40/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (31/61) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Rybakina 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sabalenka has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 50% of the points she played.

Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (416-175). 2-0 on grass in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled 36-19 win-loss record in the last years on grass.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).

The Belarussian has a compiled 42-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Berlin

Sabalenka
Berlin
Sabalenka's Record

Marketa Vondrousova

Marketa Vondrousova
Marketa Vondrousova

9 - 5win/loss

Hard
4-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-1
Grass
3-0
Rank
68
High
6
LWWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-6 4-4 2-1 0-0 6-1 0-0
2024 16-11 5-4 10-5 0-0 1-2 0-0
2023 41-18 19-12 9-3 4-2 9-1 0-0
2022 21-7 11-3 2-1 8-3 0-0 0-0
2021 34-19 21-10 4-4 8-2 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 164, Marketa reached the semifinal after defeating Madison Keys 7-5 7-6(6), Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 and Ons Jabeur 6-4 6-1.

In the quarter, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-4 6-1). During the match Vondrousova scored 72 points vs Jabeur’s 56. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Vondrousova was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marketa Vondrousova was very efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of her 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vondrousova broke Jabeur 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marketa has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Marketa has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Berlin

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.

Vondrousova
Berlin
Vondrousova's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

A.Sabalenka
M.Vondrousova
4h:30
4h:30
Time on court​
5h:20
5h:20
!
2h:42
2h:42
Last match​
1h:14
1h:14
2
2
Match played
!
3
3
56
56
Games Played​
73
73
5
5
Set played​​
7
7
200
200
Total points​
271
271
100
100
Avg point​
90.3
90.3
77
77
Winners
86
86
38.5
38.5
Avg Winners​
28.7
28.7
39%
39%
Ratio winners
32%
32%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
6
6
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
2
2
10
10
Double Faults
13
13
5
5
Avg Double Faults
4.3
4.3
77/114
77/114
1st won total​
86/120
86/120
68%
68%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
44/90
44/90
2nd won total​
59/108
59/108
49%
49%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
7/21
7/21
BP won
15/32
15/32
3.5/10.5
3.5/10.5
Avg BP won
5/10.7
5/10.7
33%
33%
Won
47%
47%
18
18
Conceded
20
20
9
9
Avg Conceded
6.7
6.7
7
7
Broken
6
6
3.5
3.5
Avg Broken
2
2
11
11
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sabalenka Vondrousova
Match played 2 3
Tot Set 5 7
Tot Games 56 73
Pts 200-197 271-238
Total Points 397 509
Winners 77 86
%Winners 39% 32%

Sabalenka played 2 matches while Vondrousova competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Marketa Vondrousova surrendered 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Vondrousova (5 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 17 games less than Vondrousova. Aryna scored 77 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Vondrousova scored 86 winners (32%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sabalenka Vondrousova
Aces 11 6
Avg per match 5.5 2
1st in 114/204 120/228
%1st in 56% 53%
1st pts 77/114 86/120
%1st pts 68% 72%
2nd pts 44/90 59/108
%2nd pts 49% 55%

Sabalenka scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Vondrousova made 6 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 68% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Vondrousova won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sabalenka Vondrousova
Won 7 15
Converted 7/21 15/32
% Converted 33% 47%
Conceded 18 20
Saved 11 14
% Saved 61% 70%
Times Broken 7 6

Aryna broke her opponents 7 times with a 33% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.

Sabalenka
R2
Masarova
1/4
Rybakina
Total
Score 6-2 7-66 7-66 3-6 7-66
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 21 35 56
pts 86-76 114-121 200-197
Total points 162 235 397
Winners 37 40 77
%Winners 43% 35% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 6 11
Double Faults 5 5 10
1st in 49/78 65/126 114/204
% 1st in 63% 52% 56%
1st pts 37/49 40/65 77/114
% 1st pts 76% 62% 68%
2nd pts 13/29 31/61 44/90
% 2nd pts 45% 51% 49%
Breaks
Won 3 4 7
Converted 3/12 4/9 7/21
Converted % 25% 44% 33%
Conceded 8 10 18
Saved 7/8 4/10 11
Saved % 88% 40% 64%
Times Broken 1 6 7
Vondrousova
R1
Keys
R2
Shnaider
1/4
Jabeur
Total
Score 7-5 7-66 6-3 6-73 6-3 6-4 6-1
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 25 31 17 73
pts 88-80 111-102 72-56 271-238
Total points 168 213 128 509
Winners 30 36 20 86
%Winners 34% 32% 28% 32%
SERVE
Aces 3 3 0 6
Double Faults 4 8 1 13
1st in 43/81 50/96 27/51 120/228
% 1st in 53% 52% 53% 53%
1st pts 30/43 36/50 20/27 86/120
% 1st pts 70% 72% 74% 72%
2nd pts 24/38 19/46 16/24 59/108
% 2nd pts 63% 41% 67% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 8 4 15
Converted 3/6 8/15 4/11 15/32
Converted % 50% 53% 36% 47%
Conceded 4 12 4 20
Saved 2/4 8/12 4/4 14
Saved % 50% 67% 100% 109%
Times Broken 2 4 0 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sabalenka
LWWWWWLWWL
Vondrousova
LWWWWWWLWW
2025 2024 2023
47 - 9
12 - 6
23-4
Hard
4-4
17-3
Clay
2-1
7-2
Grass
6-1

Tennis Scores in Berlin

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw