
Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova will face off in the semifinal of the Berlin Ladies Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:00 pm on STEFFI GRAF STADION. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.363
Marketa Vondrousova -> 3.125
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marketa Vondrousova
This will be the 8th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova square off. The head to head is 4-3 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on grass.
The last time that they fought against each other, Vondrousova won 3-6 6-3 7-5 in the quarter in Stuttgart back in 2024.
Highlights Marketa Vondrousova vs Aryna Sabalenka – Stuttgart 19-April-2024
Aryna Sabalenka


42 - 7win/loss
1
1

Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 47-9 | 23-4 | 17-3 | 0-0 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Aryna reached the semifinal after defeating Rebeka Masarova 6-2 7-6(6) and Elena Rybakina 7-6(6) 3-6 7-6(6).
In the quarter, Aryna defeated Rybakina (7-66 3-6 7-66).During the match, Sabalenka scored less points (7) than Rybakina . In fact, the world no. 1 won 114 points vs Rybakina ‘s. That means that Sabalenka was more focused during the important points. Sabalenka was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka struck 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve 6 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 52% of her first serves in, winning 62% (40/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 51% (31/61) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Rybakina 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sabalenka has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 50% of the points she played.
Sabalenka has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (416-175). 2-0 on grass in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sabalenka has a compiled 36-19 win-loss record in the last years on grass.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Brisbane where she overcame Polina Kudermetova in the final 4-6 6-3 6-2 and in Miami where she overcame Jessica Pegula in the final 7-5 6-2 and in Madrid where she beat Cori Gauff in the final 6-3 7-6(3).
The Belarussian has a compiled 42-7 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Berlin
Marketa Vondrousova


9 - 5win/loss
68
6

Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 12-6 | 4-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
2024 | 16-11 | 5-4 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 41-18 | 19-12 | 9-3 | 4-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 21-7 | 11-3 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2021 | 34-19 | 21-10 | 4-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 164, Marketa reached the semifinal after defeating Madison Keys 7-5 7-6(6), Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-7(3) 6-3 and Ons Jabeur 6-4 6-1.
In the quarter, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-4 6-1). During the match Vondrousova scored 72 points vs Jabeur’s 56. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about serving, Vondrousova was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Marketa Vondrousova was very efficient on serve to win 74% (20/27) of her 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Vondrousova broke Jabeur 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marketa has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Marketa has a composed 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Berlin
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 3 |
Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
Tot Games | 56 | 73 |
Pts | 200-197 | 271-238 |
Total Points | 397 | 509 |
Winners | 77 | 86 |
%Winners | 39% | 32% |
Sabalenka played 2 matches while Vondrousova competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka surrendered 1 set, while Marketa Vondrousova surrendered 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Vondrousova (5 vs 7). Therefore, Sabalenka played 17 games less than Vondrousova. Aryna scored 77 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Vondrousova scored 86 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
---|---|---|
Aces | 11 | 6 |
Avg per match | 5.5 | 2 |
1st in | 114/204 | 120/228 |
%1st in | 56% | 53% |
1st pts | 77/114 | 86/120 |
%1st pts | 68% | 72% |
2nd pts | 44/90 | 59/108 |
%2nd pts | 49% | 55% |
Sabalenka scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Vondrousova made 6 aces (2 per match). Sabalenka won 68% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Vondrousova won 72% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
---|---|---|
Won | 7 | 15 |
Converted | 7/21 | 15/32 |
% Converted | 33% | 47% |
Conceded | 18 | 20 |
Saved | 11 | 14 |
% Saved | 61% | 70% |
Times Broken | 7 | 6 |
Aryna broke her opponents 7 times with a 33% conversion rate. Sabalenka lost her serve 7 times and she saved 61% of the break points that she conceded. The Czech broke her opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded.
Sabalenka | ||||
R2 Masarova |
1/4 Rybakina |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 7-66 | 7-66 3-6 7-66 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 21 | 35 | 56 | |
pts | 86-76 | 114-121 | 200-197 | |
Total points | 162 | 235 | 397 | |
Winners | 37 | 40 | 77 | |
%Winners | 43% | 35% | 39% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
Double Faults | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
1st in | 49/78 | 65/126 | 114/204 | |
% 1st in | 63% | 52% | 56% | |
1st pts | 37/49 | 40/65 | 77/114 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 62% | 68% | |
2nd pts | 13/29 | 31/61 | 44/90 | |
% 2nd pts | 45% | 51% | 49% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
Converted | 3/12 | 4/9 | 7/21 | |
Converted % | 25% | 44% | 33% | |
Conceded | 8 | 10 | 18 | |
Saved | 7/8 | 4/10 | 11 | |
Saved % | 88% | 40% | 64% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Vondrousova | |||||
R1 Keys |
R2 Shnaider |
1/4 Jabeur |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-5 7-66 | 6-3 6-73 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
Tot Games | 25 | 31 | 17 | 73 | |
pts | 88-80 | 111-102 | 72-56 | 271-238 | |
Total points | 168 | 213 | 128 | 509 | |
Winners | 30 | 36 | 20 | 86 | |
%Winners | 34% | 32% | 28% | 32% | |
SERVE | |||||
Aces | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
Double Faults | 4 | 8 | 1 | 13 | |
1st in | 43/81 | 50/96 | 27/51 | 120/228 | |
% 1st in | 53% | 52% | 53% | 53% | |
1st pts | 30/43 | 36/50 | 20/27 | 86/120 | |
% 1st pts | 70% | 72% | 74% | 72% | |
2nd pts | 24/38 | 19/46 | 16/24 | 59/108 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 41% | 67% | 55% | |
Breaks | |||||
Won | 3 | 8 | 4 | 15 | |
Converted | 3/6 | 8/15 | 4/11 | 15/32 | |
Converted % | 50% | 53% | 36% | 47% | |
Conceded | 4 | 12 | 4 | 20 | |
Saved | 2/4 | 8/12 | 4/4 | 14 | |
Saved % | 50% | 67% | 100% | 109% | |
Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
Head 2 Head



Tennis Scores in Berlin
- Jordi ArconadaArconada – Alejandro GomezGomez (3-6 6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Brandon WalkinWalkin – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (5-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Xin Yu WangYu Wang (2-0) – H2H and prediction