
Daniil Medvedev and Alex Michelsen will face off in the quarter of the Terra Wortmann Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 11:30 am on OWL ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.53
Alex Michelsen -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Alex Michelsen
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Alex Michelsen face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.
The last time that they played, Medvedev won 2-0 ret. in the 3rd round in Indian wells back in March 2025.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen – Indian wells 09-March-2025
Daniil Medvedev


21 - 12win/loss
14
1

Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 23-14 | 9-5 | 6-4 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, Medvedev reached the quarter after defeating Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-3 and Quentin Halys 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Halys (6-2 7-5). During the match, Medvedev scored 65 points vs Halys’s 44. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev made 10 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Daniil Medvedev was quite effective on serve to win 91% (29/32) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniil broke Halys 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 57% of the points he played.
Medvedev has an extraordinary match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (478-194). 3-1 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a compiled 59-25 match record in the last years on grass.
Daniil’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Marseille and Indian Wells.
Medvedev has an overall 21-12 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Halle
Alex Michelsen


20 - 14win/loss
30
30

Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 22-17 | 10-7 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 33, the American reached the quarter after defeating Francisco Cerundolo 2-6 7-5 6-4 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-6(5) 7-5.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (7-65 7-5). During the match Michelsen scored 79 points vs Tsitsipas’s 71. The American was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Michelsen struck 8 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Alex Michelsen was very effective on serve to win 78% (40/51) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Alex broke Tsitsipas twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Estoril Challenger where he defeated Andrea Pellegrino in the final 6-4 6-4.
The American has an overall 20-14 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Halle
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Medvedev | Michelsen |
---|---|---|
Match played | 2 | 2 |
Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
Tot Games | 38 | 55 |
Pts | 121-92 | 168-160 |
Total Points | 213 | 328 |
Winners | 58 | 84 |
%Winners | 48% | 50% |
Both Medvedev and Michelsen played 2 matches. At the moment, Alex Michelsen surrendered 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t conceded a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Michelsen (4 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 17 games less than Michelsen. The Russian scored 58 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Michelsen blasted 84 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Medvedev | Michelsen |
---|---|---|
Aces | 17 | 11 |
Avg per match | 8.5 | 5.5 |
1st in | 73/106 | 109/153 |
%1st in | 69% | 71% |
1st pts | 58/73 | 84/109 |
%1st pts | 79% | 77% |
2nd pts | 21/33 | 24/44 |
%2nd pts | 64% | 55% |
Medvedev struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). Michelsen scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Medvedev won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Medvedev | Michelsen |
---|---|---|
Won | 6 | 5 |
Converted | 6/11 | 5/11 |
% Converted | 55% | 45% |
Conceded | 2 | 7 |
Saved | 2 | 3 |
% Saved | 100% | 43% |
Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Russian broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Medvedev quite strong on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 2 break points. Michelsen broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.
Medvedev | ||||
R1 Altmaier |
R2 Halys |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
pts | 56-48 | 65-44 | 121-92 | |
Total points | 104 | 109 | 213 | |
Winners | 29 | 29 | 58 | |
%Winners | 52% | 45% | 48% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
1st in | 41/57 | 32/49 | 73/106 | |
% 1st in | 72% | 65% | 69% | |
1st pts | 29/41 | 29/32 | 58/73 | |
% 1st pts | 71% | 91% | 79% | |
2nd pts | 9/16 | 12/17 | 21/33 | |
% 2nd pts | 56% | 71% | 64% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Converted | 3/6 | 3/5 | 6/11 | |
Converted % | 50% | 60% | 55% | |
Conceded | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 2 | |
Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Michelsen | ||||
R1 Cerundolo |
R2 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 2-6 7-5 6-4 | 7-65 7-5 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Tot Games | 30 | 25 | 55 | |
pts | 89-89 | 79-71 | 168-160 | |
Total points | 178 | 150 | 328 | |
Winners | 44 | 40 | 84 | |
%Winners | 49% | 51% | 50% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 3 | 8 | 11 | |
Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
1st in | 58/82 | 51/71 | 109/153 | |
% 1st in | 71% | 72% | 71% | |
1st pts | 44/58 | 40/51 | 84/109 | |
% 1st pts | 76% | 78% | 77% | |
2nd pts | 11/24 | 13/20 | 24/44 | |
% 2nd pts | 46% | 65% | 55% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Converted | 3/7 | 2/4 | 5/11 | |
Converted % | 43% | 50% | 45% | |
Conceded | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Saved | 2/5 | 1/2 | 3 | |
Saved % | 40% | 50% | 45% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Head 2 Head



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