Francesco Passaro and Elias Ymer will play each other in the quarter of the Sassuolo Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Passaro who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Francesco Passaro is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Passaro -> 1.48
Elias Ymer -> 2.5
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Elias Ymer
This will be the 3rd time that Francesco Passaro and Elias Ymer square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Ymer (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Ymer won 6-7(6) 6-3 7-5 in the 1st round in the Naples Challenger back in March 2025.
Francesco Passaro
20 - 10win/loss
131
89
WWWLWLLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-13 | 5-3 | 19-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-25 | 4-5 | 35-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 143, Passaro got to the quarter after defeating Oleg Prihodko 6-3 4-6 6-1 and Oriol Roca Batalla 7-6(2) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Francesco had a good straight sets win against Roca Batalla (7-62 6-3). During the match, Passaro scored 85 points vs Roca Batalla’s 67. Passaro was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Passaro fired 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Francesco Passaro was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (33/45) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Passaro broke Roca Batalla twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Passaro has lost 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Passaro has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (193-142). 14-7 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Passaro has a composed156-101 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Francesco has an overall 19-10 win-loss record in 2025, 14-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sassuolo Challenger
Passaro has never competed in this tournament before.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-17 | 6-3 | 15-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 24-32 | 7-15 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 255, the Swede got to the quarter after beating Maxime Janvier 7-6(8) 7-6(3), Stan Wawrinka 3-6 7-5 6-3 and Raul Brancaccio 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Brancaccio, Elias recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3).During the match Ymer scored less points (5) than Brancaccio. In fact, the world no. 143 won 80 points vs Brancaccio’s. That means that Ymer was more focused during the important points. Ymer was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Ymer managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Elias Ymer lost the serve 6 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Ymer put 66% of his first serves in, winning 67% (34/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 27% (7/26) on the 2nd serve. The Swede broke Brancaccio 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Elias started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 50% of the points he played.
The Swede’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Chennai Challenger.
The Swede has a compiled 20-13 win-loss record in 2025, 14-10 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sassuolo Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Passaro | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 48 | 111 |
| Pts | 171-138 | 345-342 |
| Total Points | 309 | 687 |
| Winners | 66 | 151 |
| %Winners | 39% | 44% |
Passaro played 2 matches while Ymer competed in 4 matches. Ymer started his run from the qualifications while Passaro had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Francesco Passaro lost 1 set, while Elias Ymer surrendered 3 sets. Passaro has played 6 set(s) less than Ymer (5 vs 11). Therefore, Passaro played 63 games less than Ymer. Passaro scored 66 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Elias bagged 151 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Passaro | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 21 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 99/151 | 211/329 |
| %1st in | 66% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 66/99 | 151/211 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 35/52 | 50/118 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 42% |
Passaro bagged 9 aces (4.5 per match). Ymer made 21 aces (5.3 per match). Passaro won 67% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Ymer won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Passaro | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 14 |
| Converted | 7/16 | 14/39 |
| % Converted | 44% | 36% |
| Conceded | 8 | 31 |
| Saved | 5 | 16 |
| % Saved | 63% | 52% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 15 |
Passaro broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Passaro lost his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Ymer broke his opponents 14 times with a 36% conversion rate. Elias conceded his serve 15 times and he saved 52% of the break points that he conceded.
| Passaro | ||||
| R1 Prihodko |
R2 Roca Batalla |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-1 | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 22 | 48 | |
| pts | 86-71 | 85-67 | 171-138 | |
| Total points | 157 | 152 | 309 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 54/76 | 45/75 | 99/151 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 60% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 33/54 | 33/45 | 66/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 73% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/22 | 18/30 | 35/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 60% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 2/7 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 29% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/4 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 75% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Ymer | ||||||
| Q1 Janvier |
Q3 Brancaccio |
R1 Wawrinka |
R2 Brancaccio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-68 7-63 | 6-4 0-6 6-4 | 3-6 7-5 6-3 | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 111 | |
| pts | 88-79 | 80-85 | 97-93 | 80-85 | 345-342 | |
| Total points | 167 | 165 | 190 | 165 | 687 | |
| Winners | 42 | 34 | 41 | 34 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 43% | 42% | 43% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 12 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 21 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 52/79 | 51/77 | 57/96 | 51/77 | 211/329 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | 59% | 66% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 42/52 | 34/51 | 41/57 | 34/51 | 151/211 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 67% | 72% | 67% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/27 | 7/26 | 21/39 | 7/26 | 50/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 27% | 54% | 27% | 42% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 5/13 | 3/8 | 5/13 | 14/39 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/10 | 6/8 | 4/10 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 40% | 75% | 40% | 111% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWLLWWW
LWLLWLWWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco PassaroPassaro – Elias YmerYmer (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco MaestrelliMaestrelli – Dusan LajovicLajovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
