Jaime Faria and Shintaro Mochizuki will fight against each other in the quarter of the Nottingham 2 Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Shintaro Mochizuki who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Shintaro Mochizuki is the pick to win this match.
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.63
Jaime Faria -> 2.17

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Prediction and head to head Jaime Faria vs. Shintaro Mochizuki

This will be the 2^nd time that Jaime Faria and Shintaro Mochizuki face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Faria (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they squared off, Faria won 6-2 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Oeiras 4 Challenger back in 2024.

Jaime Faria

Ranked no. 119, Faria reached the quarter after defeating Brandon Holt 6-3 6-4 and Jan Choinski 7-5 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Faria had a good straight sets win against Choinski (7-5 6-3). During the match, Faria scored 69 points vs Choinski’s 57. Faria was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Faria bagged 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jaime Faria lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Faria put 69% of his first serves in, winning 67% (32/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. The Portuguese broke Choinski 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Faria hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Faria has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 62% of his matches (169-103). 2-0 on grass in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Faria has a compiled2-2 match record in the last 6 years on grass.

The Portuguese has an aggregate 12-12 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nottingham 2 Challenger

Faria has never competed in this tournament before.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Ranked no. 164, Shintaro got to the quarter after defeating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 7-6(7) and Tristan Boyer 6-2 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Mochizuki had a good straight sets win against Boyer (6-2 6-3). During the match Mochizuki scored 69 points vs Boyer’s 50. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, Mochizuki scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 55% of his first serves in, winning 71% (20/28) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (9/23) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Boyer 7 times after converting 58% of his break points (7/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mochizuki hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Noumea Challenger where he defeated Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.

Mochizuki has an overall 22-15 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Nottingham 2 Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Faria	Mochizuki
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	40	40
Pts	141-112	141-117
Total Points	253	258
Winners	71	48
%Winners	50%	34%

Both Faria and Mochizuki played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Faria and Mochizuki have played the same amount of sets 4. They also played the same amount of games (40). Faria scored 71 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese bagged 48 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Faria	Mochizuki
Aces	20	2
Avg per match	10	1
1st in	94/141	63/123
%1st in	67%	51%
1st pts	71/94	48/63
%1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	22/47	31/60
%2nd pts	47%	52%

Faria fired 20 aces (10 per match). Mochizuki recorded 2 aces (1 per match). Faria won 76% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Faria	Mochizuki
Won	7	9
Converted	7/16	9/17
% Converted	44%	53%
Conceded	12	7
Saved	9	3
% Saved	75%	43%
Times Broken	3	4

Faria broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Faria lost his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.

Faria
	R1 Holt	R2 Choinski	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	21	40
pts	72-55	69-57	141-112
Total points	127	126	253
Winners	39	32	71
%Winners	54%	46%	50%
SERVE
Aces	14	6	20
Double Faults	4	3	7
1st in	46/71	48/70	94/141
% 1st in	65%	69%	67%
1st pts	39/46	32/48	71/94
% 1st pts	85%	67%	76%
2nd pts	11/25	11/22	22/47
% 2nd pts	44%	50%	47%
Breaks
Won	2	5	7
Converted	2/8	5/8	7/16
Converted %	25%	63%	44%
Conceded	8	4	12
Saved	8/8	1/4	9
Saved %	100%	25%	63%
Times Broken	0	3	3

Mochizuki
	R1 Herbert	R2 Boyer	Total
Score	6-4 7-67	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	23	17	40
pts	72-67	69-50	141-117
Total points	139	119	258
Winners	28	20	48
%Winners	39%	29%	34%
SERVE
Aces	1	1	2
Double Faults	1	3	4
1st in	35/72	28/51	63/123
% 1st in	49%	55%	51%
1st pts	28/35	20/28	48/63
% 1st pts	80%	71%	76%
2nd pts	22/37	9/23	31/60
% 2nd pts	59%	39%	52%
Breaks
Won	2	7	9
Converted	2/5	7/12	9/17
Converted %	40%	58%	53%
Conceded	1	6	7
Saved	0/1	3/6	3
Saved %	0%	50%	25%
Times Broken	1	3	4

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