Jacob Fearnley and Corentin Moutet will square off in the 2nd round of the cinch Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:30 pm on ANDY MURRAY ARENA. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.53
Corentin Moutet -> 2.5
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Corentin Moutet
This will be the 2nd time that Jacob Fearnley and Corentin Moutet face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Fearnley (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Fearnley won 6-2 7-6(5) in the 1st round in Stockholm back in 2024.
Jacob Fearnley
23 - 14win/loss
51
49
LLWLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-17 | 9-5 | 10-6 | 3-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-9 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 26-4 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60, Jacob reached the 2nd round after defeating Alex Bolt 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, Jacob had a good straight sets win against Bolt (6-2 6-4). During the match, Fearnley scored 55 points vs Bolt’s 44. Fearnley was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fearnley blasted 6 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Jacob Fearnley conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 61% of his first serves in, win 93% (28/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Jacob was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Bolt 3 times.
Fearnley has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 74% of his matches (96-33). 1-1 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fearnley has a composed11-6 win-loss record in the last 5 years on grass.
Fearnley’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.
Jacob has an aggregate 23-14 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Jacob has never competed in this tournament before.
Corentin Moutet
18 - 14win/loss
69
51
LWLWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-17 | 6-4 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-26 | 4-6 | 22-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 7-4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 13-6 | 20-8 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 8-4 | 5-8 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, the French player reached the 2nd round after defeating Mattia Bellucci 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3, Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 3-6 7-5 and Taylor Fritz 6-7(5) 7-6(7) 7-5.
In the 1st round against Fritz, Corentin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 7-67 7-5). During the match Moutet and Fritz scored the same amount of points (117). However, the world no. 60 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Corentin was pretty aggressive to blast 60 winners.
About the serving games, Moutet bagged 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Corentin Moutet was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (60/81) of his 1st serve and 60% (24/40) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Fritz twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Moutet has a compiled 18-14 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in London
Corentin has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fearnley | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 100 |
| Pts | 55-44 | 334-319 |
| Total Points | 99 | 653 |
| Winners | 28 | 166 |
| %Winners | 51% | 50% |
Fearnley played 1 match while Moutet competed in 3 matches. Moutet started his run from the qualifications while Fearnley had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Corentin Moutet dropped 3 sets while Jacob Fearnley hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fearnley has played 7 set(s) less than Moutet (2 vs 9). Therefore, Fearnley played 82 games less than Moutet. Jacob scored 28 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Moutet made 166 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fearnley | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 7.7 |
| 1st in | 30/49 | 221/320 |
| %1st in | 61% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 28/30 | 166/221 |
| %1st pts | 93% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 58/99 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 59% |
Fearnley struck 6 aces . Moutet blasted 23 aces (7.7 per match). Fearnley won 93% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Moutet won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fearnley | Moutet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/22 |
| % Converted | 100% | 23% |
| Conceded | 0 | 17 |
| Saved | 0 | 14 |
| % Saved | 0% | 82% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Fearnley broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. Fearnley very solid his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Corentin broke his opponents 5 times with a 23% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fearnley | |||
| R1 Bolt |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 55-44 | 55-44 | |
| Total points | 99 | 99 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 30/49 | 30/49 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 28/30 | 28/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 93% | 93% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 8/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Moutet | |||||
| Q1 Bellucci |
Q3 Rinderknech |
R1 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 3-6 7-5 | 6-75 7-67 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 30 | 38 | 100 | |
| pts | 116-108 | 101-94 | 117-117 | 334-319 | |
| Total points | 224 | 195 | 234 | 653 | |
| Winners | 65 | 41 | 60 | 166 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 41% | 51% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 8 | 6 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 84/113 | 56/86 | 81/121 | 221/320 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 65% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 65/84 | 41/56 | 60/81 | 166/221 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 73% | 74% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/29 | 20/30 | 24/40 | 58/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 67% | 60% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 1/8 | 2/10 | 2/4 | 5/22 | |
| Converted % | 13% | 20% | 50% | 23% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 75% | 75% | 239% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLLWW
LWLWWWWLWW Tennis Scores in London
- Jack DraperDraper – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (3-6 6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Daniel EvansEvans (7-5 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Jakub MensikMensik (3-6 6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Holger RuneHolger – Mackenzie McdonaldMackenzie (2-6 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Reilly OpelkaOpelka – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Jack DraperDraper (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Gabriel DialloDiallo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Corentin MoutetMoutet (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (3-0) – H2H and prediction
