Daniel Merida Aguilar and Florent Bax will face off in the 2nd round of the Royan Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 1:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Merida Aguilar who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Merida Aguilar is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Merida Aguilar -> 1.39
Florent Bax -> 2.81
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Merida Aguilar vs. Florent Bax
This will be the 2nd time that Daniel Merida Aguilar and Florent Bax fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bax (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Bax won 7-6(6) 6-2 in the qualifications in the Blois Challenger back in 2024.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
29 - 11win/loss
233
233
WLWLWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 32-13 | 6-2 | 26-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 57-33 | 17-9 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-31 | 16-13 | 20-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-26 | 8-9 | 21-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-14 | 1-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 250 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the 2nd round after defeating Matej Dodig 6-7(5) 7-5 7-5.
In the 1st round against Dodig, Merida Aguilar recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 7-5 7-5).During the match, Merida Aguilar scored less points (4) than Dodig. In fact, the world no. 250 won 122 points vs Dodig’s. That means that Merida Aguilar was more focused during the important points. Merida Aguilar was exceptionally aggressive to blast 56 winners.
Talking about the service games, Merida Aguilar scored just 1 ace throughout the match and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Merida Aguilar put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (56/80) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (18/44) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Dodig 6 times after converting 38% of his break points (6/16).
Merida Aguilar has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (164-118). 23-7 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Merida Aguilar has a compiled116-76 record in the last 6 years on clay.
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Doha,M25 Sabadell and the Lyon Challenger.
Daniel has an overall 28-11 win-loss record in 2025, 23-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Royan Challenger
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Florent Bax
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-18 | 16-5 | 11-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-27 | 13-8 | 33-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-21 | 25-9 | 12-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-28 | 10-10 | 29-17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-14 | 2-4 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 369, Bax got to the 2nd round after beating Max Alcala Gurri 2-6 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round against Alcala Gurri, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-3).During the match Bax scored less points (4) than Alcala Gurri. In fact, the world no. 250 won 89 points vs Alcala Gurri’s. That means that Bax was more focused during the important points. Florent was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Bax scored 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Florent Bax lost the serve 6 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Bax put 58% of his first serves in, winning 63% (31/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (13/36) on the 2nd serve. Florent broke Alcala Gurri 6 times after converting 43% of his break points (6/14).
The French player best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir and M25 Santa margherita di Pula.
The French player has an aggregate 25-14 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Merida Aguilar | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 37 | 27 |
| Pts | 122-126 | 89-93 |
| Total Points | 248 | 182 |
| Winners | 56 | 31 |
| %Winners | 46% | 35% |
Both Merida Aguilar and Bax played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniel Merida Aguilar lost 1 set, while Florent Bax lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Merida Aguilar and Bax have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Merida Aguilar played 10 games more than Bax. Daniel scored 56 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Florent managed to score 31 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Merida Aguilar | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 80/124 | 49/85 |
| %1st in | 65% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 56/80 | 31/49 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 18/44 | 13/36 |
| %2nd pts | 41% | 36% |
Merida Aguilar scored 1 ace . Bax also blasted 2 aces . Merida Aguilar won 70% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Bax won 63% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 36% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Merida Aguilar | Bax |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/14 |
| % Converted | 38% | 43% |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Saved | 8 | 6 |
| % Saved | 67% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
Merida Aguilar broke his opponent 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Daniel dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Florent broke his opponent 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Florent conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Merida Aguilar | |||
| R1 Dodig |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 37 | 37 | |
| pts | 122-126 | 122-126 | |
| Total points | 248 | 248 | |
| Winners | 56 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 80/124 | 80/124 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 56/80 | 56/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/44 | 18/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/16 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Bax | |||
| R1 Alcala |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 89-93 | 89-93 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 49/85 | 49/85 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 31/49 | 31/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/36 | 13/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/12 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWWWLWW
LWLLWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Royan Challenger
- Dimitar KuzmanovKuzmanov – Lucas PoullainPoullain (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Tom ParisParis – Thomas FaurelFaurel (7-62 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Arthur GeaGea – Robert StrombachsStrombachs (6-72 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Kalin IvanovskiIvanovski – Norbert GombosGombos (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Ivan GakhovGakhov – Theo PapamalamisPapamalamis (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Buvaysar GadamauriGadamauri – Benoit PairePaire (7-5 7-65) – See score progression
- Andres Santamarta RoigSantamarta Roig – Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras (6-4 6-74 7-68) – See score progression
- Kilian FeldbauschFeldbausch – Clement TaburTabur (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Merida AguilarMerida Aguilar – Matej DodigDodig (6-75 7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Florent BaxBax – Max Alcala GurriAlcala Gurri (2-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Luka MikrutMikrut – Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano (7-68 6-3) – See score progression
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Cedrik-Marcel StebeStebe (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Gabi Adrian BoitanAdrian Boitan (3-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Titouan DroguetDroguet – Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Abedallah ShelbayhShelbayh (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Mika BrunoldBrunold – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Buvaysar GadamauriGadamauri – Benoit PairePaire (7-5 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Calvin HemeryHemery – Enzo CouacaudCouacaud (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mathys ErhardErhard – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Buvaysar GadamauriGadamauri – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
