Jurij Rodionov and Daniel Michalski will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Poznan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jurij Rodionov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jurij Rodionov is the pick to win this match.
Jurij Rodionov -> 1.49
Daniel Michalski -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Jurij Rodionov vs. Daniel Michalski
There is no head to head record between Jurij Rodionov and Daniel Michalski since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Jurij Rodionov
19 - 15win/loss
193
87
LWLLWWLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-18 | 6-6 | 8-8 | 7-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-32 | 10-10 | 6-12 | 11-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-33 | 3-6 | 15-13 | 21-11 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-31 | 5-5 | 16-11 | 21-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-28 | 2-4 | 2-7 | 13-13 | 3-3 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 206, the Austrian reached the 2nd round after beating Nicolas Alvarez Varona 3-6 6-3 6-2.
In the 1st round against Alvarez Varona, Rodionov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Rodionov scored 87 points vs Alvarez Varona’s 77. Rodionov was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rodionov recorded 7 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jurij Rodionov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rodionov put 43% of his first serves in, winning 73% (24/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (21/44) on the 2nd serve. Rodionov broke Alvarez Varona 6 times after converting 46% of his break points (6/13).
Rodionov has winning record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (292-228). 6-6 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rodionov has a compiled 99-86 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Austrian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Noumea Challenger,the Thionville Challenger and the Cherbourg Challenger.
Rodionov has an overall 19-15 win-loss record in 2025, 6-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Poznan Challenger
The Austrian has never competed in this tournament before.
Daniel Michalski
28 - 15win/loss
301
243
LLWWLLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-19 | 2-2 | 28-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 1-6 | 36-19 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 4-6 | 36-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 0-3 | 47-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 301, Michalski got to the 2nd round after beating Tomasz Berkieta 6-4 7-6(2).
In the 1st round, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Berkieta (6-4 7-62). During the match Michalski scored 83 points vs Berkieta’s 73. Michalski was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Michalski recorded 3 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Daniel Michalski was pretty efficient on serve to win 74% (32/43) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Pole broke Berkieta twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Michalski’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Antalya.
The Pole has a compiled 28-15 win-loss record in 2025, 26-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Poznan Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rodionov | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 23 |
| Pts | 87-77 | 83-73 |
| Total Points | 164 | 156 |
| Winners | 24 | 32 |
| %Winners | 28% | 39% |
Both Rodionov and Michalski played 1 match. At the moment, Jurij Rodionov surrendered 1 set while Daniel Michalski hasn’t conceded a set so far. Rodionov has played 1 set more than Michalski (3 vs 2). Therefore, Rodionov played 3 games more than Michalski. Rodionov scored 24 winners (28% of the total points). On the other side, Daniel managed to score 32 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rodionov | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 33/77 | 43/75 |
| %1st in | 43% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 32/43 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 21/44 | 17/32 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 53% |
Rodionov struck 7 aces . Michalski scored 3 aces . Rodionov won 73% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Michalski won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rodionov | Michalski |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 2 |
| Converted | 6/13 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 46% | 40% |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 43% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Jurij broke his opponent 6 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Austrian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Daniel broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Michalski conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rodionov | |||
| R1 Alvarez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 87-77 | 87-77 | |
| Total points | 164 | 164 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 33/77 | 33/77 | |
| % 1st in | 43% | 43% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 24/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/44 | 21/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| Converted % | 46% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Michalski | |||
| R1 Berkieta |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 83-73 | 83-73 | |
| Total points | 156 | 156 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 43/75 | 43/75 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 32/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 17/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWLLWW
LLWWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Poznan Challenger
- Lorenzo GiustinoGiustino – Valentin VacherotVacherot (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Martin KrumichKrumich – Fares ZakariaZakaria (6-1 7-66) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-1 6-0) – See score progression
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Mili PoljicakPoljicak (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Denis YevseyevYevseyev (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – Diego Dedura-PalomeroDedura-Palomero (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Tomasz BerkietaBerkieta (6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Henri SquireSquire (6-4 7-66) – See score progression
- Maxim MrvaMrva – Rudolf MollekerMolleker (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Frederico Ferreira SilvaFerreira Silva (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Hynek BartonBarton – Toby Alex KodatAlex Kodat (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Adolfo Daniel VallejoDaniel Vallejo – Facundo MenaMena (6-3 3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Filip MisolicMisolic – Maks KasnikowskiKasnikowski (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – Radu AlbotAlbot (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Sumit NagalNagal – Alan WaznyWazny (6-2 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Martin KrumichKrumich – Fares ZakariaZakaria (6-1 7-6(6)) – See score progression
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Tomasz BerkietaBerkieta (6-4 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Nicolas Alvarez VaronaAlvarez Varona (3-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christian GarinGarin – Sumit NagalNagal (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Filip MisolicMisolic – Zdenek KolarKolar (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Timofey SkatovSkatov – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel MichalskiMichalski – Jurij RodionovRodionov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
