Holger Rune and Mackenzie Mcdonald will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the cinch Championships for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:30 pm on ANDY MURRAY ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.36
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 3.15

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald

This will be the 3rd time that Holger Rune and Mackenzie Mcdonald fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rune and Mcdonald (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.

The last time that they fought against each other, Mcdonald won 6-4 2-0 ret. in the 2nd round in Cincinnati back in 2023.

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

21 - 12win/loss

Hard
9-5
I Hard
2-2
Clay
9-5
Grass
1-0
Rank
9
High
4
LLWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-14 9-5 9-5 2-2 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 9, the Dane reached the 2nd round after beating Christopher O Connell 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, Rune had a good straight sets win against O Connell (6-3 6-4). During the match, Rune scored 66 points vs O Connell’s 51. Holger was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune was very effective on serve to win 79% (30/38) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rune broke O Connell twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Rune has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 66% of his matches (272-142). 1-0 on grass in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rune has a compiled11-7 match record in the last 8 years on grass.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Barcelona where he beat Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Rune has an overall 21-12 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in London

London
Rune's Record

Mackenzie Mcdonald

Mackenzie Mcdonald

22 - 14win/loss

Hard
10-6
I Hard
5-2
Clay
1-4
Grass
6-2
Rank
96
High
37
WLWLLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-18 12-7 1-4 5-2 6-5 0-0
2024 26-23 18-12 0-4 3-1 5-6 0-0
2023 35-30 23-15 0-6 4-3 8-6 0-0
2022 27-31 16-16 4-6 4-5 3-4 0-0
2021 42-26 15-12 12-5 9-6 6-3 0-0

Ranked no. 98, Mcdonald got to the 2nd round after defeating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-2 7-6(6), Henry Searle 6-4 6-2 and Gael Monfils 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round, Mackenzie had a good straight sets win against Monfils (6-4 6-4). During the match Mcdonald scored 65 points vs Monfils’s 50. Mcdonald was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Mcdonald scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Mackenzie Mcdonald was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Monfils 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Mackenzie’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the San Diego Challenger.

The American has a composed 22-14 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Previously in London

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.

London
Mcdonald's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

H.Rune
M.Mcdonald
1h:17
1h:17
Time on court​
!
4h:00
4h:00
1h:17
1h:17
Last match​
1h:24
1h:24
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
19
19
Games Played​
59
59
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
66
66
Total points​
201
201
66
66
Avg point​
67
67
30
30
Winners
82
82
30
30
Avg Winners​
27.3
27.3
45%
45%
Ratio winners
41%
41%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
7
7
3
3
Avg Aces
2.3
2.3
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
30/38
30/38
1st won total​
82/104
82/104
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
18/25
18/25
2nd won total​
39/54
39/54
!
72%
72%
2nd won %
!
72%
72%
-- Break Points --
2/7
2/7
BP won
9/16
9/16
2/7
2/7
Avg BP won
3/5.3
3/5.3
!
29%
29%
Won
!
56%
56%
3
3
Conceded
8
8
3
3
Avg Conceded
2.7
2.7
0
0
Broken
2
2
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0.7
0.7
3
3
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Rune Mcdonald
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 19 59
Pts 66-51 201-143
Total Points 117 344
Winners 30 82
%Winners 45% 41%

Rune played 1 match while Mcdonald competed in 3 matches. Mcdonald started his run from the qualifications while Rune had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Rune has played 4 set(s) less than Mcdonald (2 vs 6). Therefore, Rune played 40 games less than Mcdonald. The Dane scored 30 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Mackenzie blasted 82 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve Rune Mcdonald
Aces 3 7
Avg per match 3 2.3
1st in 38/63 104/158
%1st in 60% 66%
1st pts 30/38 82/104
%1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 18/25 39/54
%2nd pts 72% 72%

Rune struck 3 aces . Mcdonald made 7 aces (2.3 per match). Rune won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Rune Mcdonald
Won 2 9
Converted 2/7 9/16
% Converted 29% 56%
Conceded 3 8
Saved 3 6
% Saved 100% 75%
Times Broken 0 2

Holger broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Dane very solid his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Mcdonald broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Mcdonald conceded his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
R1
O
Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 66-51 66-51
Total points 117 117
Winners 30 30
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 38/63 38/63
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 30/38 30/38
% 1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 18/25 18/25
% 2nd pts 72% 72%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/7 2/7
Converted % 29% 29%
Conceded 3 3
Saved 3/3 3
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Mcdonald
Q1
Kovacevic
Q3
Searle
R1
Monfils
Total
Score 6-2 7-66 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 21 18 20 59
pts 77-58 59-35 65-50 201-143
Total points 135 94 115 344
Winners 29 25 28 82
%Winners 38% 42% 43% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 2 1 7
Double Faults 1 1 0 2
1st in 39/61 27/42 38/55 104/158
% 1st in 64% 64% 69% 66%
1st pts 29/39 25/27 28/38 82/104
% 1st pts 74% 93% 74% 79%
2nd pts 16/22 12/15 11/17 39/54
% 2nd pts 73% 80% 65% 72%
Breaks
Won 3 3 3 9
Converted 3/5 3/6 3/5 9/16
Converted % 60% 50% 60% 56%
Conceded 3 2 3 8
Saved 2/3 2/2 2/3 6
Saved % 67% 100% 67% 234%
Times Broken 1 0 1 2

Tennis Scores in London

Upcoming matches in the draw