Tristan Boyer and Shintaro Mochizuki will square off in the 2nd round of the Nottingham 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 11:00 am on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tristan Boyer who should win in 3 sets.
Tristan Boyer -> 1.85
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 1.87
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Prediction and head to head Tristan Boyer vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
This will be the 2nd time that Tristan Boyer and Shintaro Mochizuki square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Mochizuki (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on grass.
The last time that they played each other, Mochizuki won 6-7(1) 6-4 6-3 in the 2nd round in M15 Sharm El Sheikh back in 2020.
Tristan Boyer
13 - 16win/loss
180
106
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-32 | 12-13 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 44-29 | 15-12 | 27-15 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-23 | 15-11 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-2 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, Boyer reached the 2nd round after defeating Mitchell Krueger 6-1 7-5.
In the 1st round, Boyer had a good straight sets win against Krueger (6-1 7-5). During the match, Boyer scored 70 points vs Krueger’s 51. Boyer was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Boyer blasted 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Tristan Boyer conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Boyer put 61% of his first serves in, winning 87% (33/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Boyer broke Krueger 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Boyer has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 56% of his matches (141-112). 2-1 on grass in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Boyer has a composed2-2 win-loss record in the last 8 years on grass.
Tristan has a composed 13-16 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nottingham 2 Challenger
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Shintaro Mochizuki
21 - 15win/loss
94
92
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 43-30 | 27-16 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 11-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-33 | 19-22 | 7-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 164, Mochizuki reached the 2nd round after beating Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 7-6(7).
In the 1st round, Mochizuki had a good straight sets win against Herbert (6-4 7-67). During the match Mochizuki scored 72 points vs Herbert’s 67. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Mochizuki scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Japanese broke Herbert twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Noumea Challenger where he overcame Moerani Bouzige in the final 6-1 6-3.
Shintaro has an overall 21-15 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Nottingham 2 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Boyer | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 |
| Pts | 70-51 | 72-67 |
| Total Points | 121 | 139 |
| Winners | 33 | 28 |
| %Winners | 47% | 39% |
Both Boyer and Mochizuki played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Boyer and Mochizuki have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Boyer played 4 games less than Mochizuki. Boyer scored 33 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Mochizuki blasted 28 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Boyer | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 38/62 | 35/72 |
| %1st in | 61% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 28/35 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 22/37 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 59% |
Boyer blasted 5 aces . Mochizuki blasted 1 ace . Boyer won 87% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Boyer | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| % Converted | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded | 3 | 1 |
| Saved | 3 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Boyer broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Tristan had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. Shintaro broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Shintaro conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Boyer | |||
| R1 Krueger | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 70-51 | 70-51 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/62 | 38/62 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 33/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 11/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Mochizuki | |||
| R1 Herbert | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 72-67 | 72-67 | |
| Total points | 139 | 139 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 35/72 | 35/72 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 49% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 28/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 22/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Nottingham 2 Challenger
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Alexander BlockxBlockx (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-2 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Valentin RoyerRoyer (7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Marin CilicCilic – Hugo GrenierGrenier (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Arthur FeryFery – Fabio FogniniFognini (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer (6-2 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- James McCabeMcCabe – George LoffhagenLoffhagen (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Tristan BoyerBoyer – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Jaime FariaFaria – Brandon HoltHolt (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Eliot SpizzirriSpizzirri (5-7 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – Matteo GiganteGigante (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera – James Kent TrotterKent Trotter (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (6-4 7-67) – See score progression
- Ryan PenistonPeniston – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (5-7 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Arthur CazauxCazaux (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Colton SmithSmith – Marco TrungellitiTrungelliti (6-2 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Emilio NavaNava – Jack Pinnington JonesPinnington Jones (6-3 6-7(10) 6-3) – See score progression
- Martin LandaluceLandaluce – Nicolai Budkov KjaerBudkov Kjaer (6-2 2-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate – Alexander BlockxBlockx (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Valentin RoyerRoyer (7-6(6) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios VeraTomas Barrios Vera – Tristan SchoolkateSchoolkate (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Marin CilicCilic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Terence AtmaneAtmane – (0-0) – H2H and prediction