Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and John Sperle will square off in the qualifications of the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA 3. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez who should win in 3 sets.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez -> 1.51
John Sperle -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs. John Sperle
This will be the 2nd time that Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and John Sperle face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Joaquin Rodriguez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they squared off, Joaquin Rodriguez won 7-6(3) 6-4 in the qualifications in the Santa Fe Challenger back in June 2025.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-24 | 0-0 | 46-23 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-20 | 0-1 | 23-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 58-28 | 0-0 | 58-28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-16 | 0-0 | 31-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-20 | 4-3 | 39-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 538, Lorenzo got to the qualifications after beating Miguel Tobon 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Joaquin Rodriguez had a good straight sets win against Tobon (6-4 6-2). During the match, Joaquin Rodriguez scored 61 points vs Tobon’s 43. Joaquin Rodriguez was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Regarding the service games, Joaquin Rodriguez struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (22/26) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Lorenzo broke Tobon 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Joaquin Rodriguez has a solid win-loss record in the last 5 years having won 65% of his matches (178-97). 23-13 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Joaquin Rodriguez has a composed174-93 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
Joaquin Rodriguez’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M15 Santiago and M15 Naples.
The Argentine has an aggregate 23-13 win-loss record in 2025, 23-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
John Sperle
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 6-8 | 33-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-26 | 10-7 | 32-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-21 | 1-2 | 24-16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 20-18 | 4-5 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 683, John reached the qualifications after beating Arklon Huertas Del Pino 3-6 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications against Huertas Del Pino, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Sperle scored 89 points vs Huertas Del Pino’s 78. Sperle was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Sperle bagged 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. John Sperle lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Sperle put 60% of his first serves in, winning 65% (30/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. John broke Huertas Del Pino 6 times after converting 60% of his break points (6/10).
Sperle has an aggregate 18-15 win-loss record in 2025, 18-15 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Joaquin Rodriguez | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 |
| Pts | 61-43 | 89-78 |
| Total Points | 104 | 167 |
| Winners | 22 | 30 |
| %Winners | 36% | 34% |
Both Joaquin Rodriguez and Sperle played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, John Sperle conceded 1 set while Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez hasn’t conceded a set so far. Joaquin Rodriguez has played 1 set(s) less than Sperle (2 vs 3). Therefore, Joaquin Rodriguez played 9 games less than Sperle. Lorenzo scored 22 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, John managed to score 30 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Joaquin Rodriguez | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 26/46 | 46/77 |
| %1st in | 57% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 22/26 | 30/46 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 14/31 |
| %2nd pts | 70% | 45% |
Joaquin Rodriguez bagged 2 aces . Sperle managed to score 3 aces . Joaquin Rodriguez won 85% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 70% of the points. On the other side, Sperle won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Joaquin Rodriguez | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/5 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 |
| Saved | 0 | 3 |
| % Saved | 0% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The Argentine broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Argentine had a solid display on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. Sperle broke his opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. The German conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.
| Joaquin Rodriguez | |||
| Q1 Tobon | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 61-43 | 61-43 | |
| Total points | 104 | 104 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 26/46 | 26/46 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 22/26 | 22/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/20 | 14/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 70% | 70% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Sperle | |||
| Q1 Huertas Del Pino | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 89-78 | 89-78 | |
| Total points | 167 | 167 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 46/77 | 46/77 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 30/46 | 30/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/31 | 14/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 43% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Lucas GerchGerch – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezJoaquin Rodriguez – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli – Tomas FarjatFarjat (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano – Hernan CasanovaCasanova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Raul GarciaGarcia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Augusto Barreto SanchezAugusto Barreto Sanchez – Mateo Barreiros ReyesBarreiros Reyes (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Santiago De La FuenteDe La Fuente – (0-0) – H2H and prediction