Lucas Gerch and Pedro Rodrigues will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on CANCHA 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Gerch who should win in 3 sets.
Lucas Gerch -> 1.41
Pedro Rodrigues -> 2.73
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Gerch vs. Pedro Rodrigues
There is no head to head record between Lucas Gerch and Pedro Rodrigues since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 6-4 | 20-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 532, Gerch got to the qualifications after defeating Christopher Li 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Li (6-3 6-4). During the match, Gerch scored 79 points vs Li’s 65. Lucas was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gerch struck 3 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Lucas Gerch lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gerch put 52% of his first serves in, winning 61% (25/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (24/38) on the 2nd serve. Lucas broke Li 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Gerch has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 61% of his matches (280-176). 6-4 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gerch has an overall189-105 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
The German’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Zahra.
Gerch has a compiled 12-7 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
Lucas has never competed in this tournament before.
Pedro Rodrigues
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-14 | 4-2 | 18-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 703, Rodrigues got to the qualifications after beating Carlos Maria Zarate 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications, Pedro had a good straight sets win against Maria Zarate (7-5 6-4). During the match Rodrigues scored 73 points vs Maria Zarate’s 65. The Brazilian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Rodrigues wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Pedro Rodrigues lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Rodrigues put 72% of his first serves in, winning 59% (35/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Maria Zarate 5 times.
Pedro’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Villa Maria.
Pedro has a compiled 12-6 win-loss record in 2025, 12-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gerch | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 |
| Pts | 79-65 | 73-65 |
| Total Points | 144 | 138 |
| Winners | 25 | 35 |
| %Winners | 32% | 48% |
Both Gerch and Rodrigues played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gerch and Rodrigues have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gerch played 3 games less than Rodrigues. Lucas scored 25 winners (32% of the total points). On the other side, Rodrigues scored 35 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gerch | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 41/79 | 59/82 |
| %1st in | 52% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 35/59 |
| %1st pts | 61% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 24/38 | 12/23 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 52% |
Gerch bagged 3 aces . Rodrigues didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Gerch won 61% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Rodrigues won 59% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gerch | Rodrigues |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/5 |
| % Converted | 38% | 100% |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 88% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Lucas broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The German surrendered his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Pedro broke his opponent 5 times with a 100% conversion rate. Pedro conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gerch | |||
| Q1 Li | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 79-65 | 79-65 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/79 | 41/79 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 25/41 | 25/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 61% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/38 | 24/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Rodrigues | |||
| Q1 Maria | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 73-65 | 73-65 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 59/82 | 59/82 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 35/59 | 35/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 5/5 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Matheus Pucinelle De AlmeidaPucinelle De Almeida (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Lucas GerchGerch – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco – Pedro Boscardin DiasBoscardin Dias (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano KestelboimKestelboim – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (5-4) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo Joaquin RodriguezJoaquin Rodriguez – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli – Tomas FarjatFarjat (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Juan Hernandez SerranoHernandez Serrano – Hernan CasanovaCasanova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Raul GarciaGarcia – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Augusto Barreto SanchezAugusto Barreto Sanchez – Mateo Barreiros ReyesBarreiros Reyes (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Santiago De La FuenteDe La Fuente – (0-0) – H2H and prediction