Holger Rune and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the 1st round of the cinch Championships for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 2:30 pm on ANDY MURRAY ARENA. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.222
Matteo Arnaldi -> 4.25

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Matteo Arnaldi

This will be the 2nd time that Holger Rune and Matteo Arnaldi face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Rune (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on grass.

The last time that they competed against each other, Rune won 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Paris back in 2024.

Highlights Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi – Paris 29-October-2024

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

20 - 12win/loss

Hard
9-5
I Hard
2-2
Clay
9-5
Rank
8
High
4
LLWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 22-13 9-5 9-5 2-2 2-1 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 9, the Dane will start his run in London after he played his last match at the Roland Garros where he lost 7-5 3-6 6-3 6-2 to Musetti in the 4th round on the 1st of June.

Holger has an overall 20-12 win-loss record in 2025, 0-0 on grass (See FULL STATS).

This will be the first match of the season on grass.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Barcelona where he overcame Carlos Alcaraz in the final 7-6(6) 6-2.

Talking about his overall career, The Dane has an overall 271-142 record. He has a positive 10-7 record on grass.

Previously in London

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

London
Rune's Record

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

15 - 14win/loss

Hard
6-6
I Hard
2-1
Clay
7-6
Grass
0-1
Rank
43
High
30
LLWLWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 15-14 6-6 7-6 2-1 0-1 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 41, Arnaldi will start his run in London after he played his last match in Stuttgart where he lost 6-4 6-4 to Struff in the 1st round on the 9th of June.

Arnaldi has an overall 15-14 win-loss record in 2025, 0-1 on grass (See FULL STATS).

Matteo’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

In terms of his career, The Italian has an overall 231-148 record. He has a negative 4-5 record on grass.

Previously in London

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.

London
Arnaldi's Record

Tennis Scores in London

  • Alex BoltBoltChristopher O ConnellO Connell (3-6 7-64 6-3) – See score progression
  • Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonaldHenry SearleSearle (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Corentin MoutetMoutetArthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
  • Aleksandar VukicVukicAdam WaltonWalton (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonaldHenry SearleSearle (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Aleksandar VukicVukicAdam WaltonWalton (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
  • Corentin MoutetMoutetArthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-3 3-6 7-5) – See score progression
  • Alex BoltBoltChristopher O’ConnellO’Connell (3-6 7-6(4) 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw