Lucas Marionneau and Andres Santamarta Roig will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Royan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andres Santamarta Roig who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andres Santamarta Roig is the pick to win this match.
Andres Santamarta Roig -> 1.25
Lucas Marionneau -> 3.64
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Marionneau vs. Andres Santamarta Roig
There is no head to head record between Lucas Marionneau and Andres Santamarta Roig since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Lucas Marionneau
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-19 | 6-3 | 12-8 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 9-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Currently unranked, Lucas reached the qualifications after defeating Egor Agafonov 1-6 7-5 6-3.
In the qualifications against Agafonov, Lucas recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 6-3). During the match, Marionneau scored 92 points vs Agafonov’s 89. Lucas was extremely aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, Marionneau fired 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Lucas Marionneau was very effective on serve to win 73% (40/55) of his 1st serve and 51% (22/43) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Lucas broke Agafonov 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Marionneau has a solid record in the last 2 years having won 60% of his matches (38-25). 12-7 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Marionneau has a compiled13-9 record in the last 2 years on clay.
The French player best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in M15+H Bagnoles de l’Orne.
Marionneau has an overall 29-18 win-loss record in 2025, 12-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Royan Challenger
Lucas has never competed in this tournament before.
Andres Santamarta Roig
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 17-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 798 (career-high), Santamarta reached the qualifications after defeating Arthur Weber 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Weber (6-4 6-2). During the match Santamarta scored 63 points vs Weber’s 40. Andres was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Santamarta wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Andres Santamarta Roig was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 72% (13/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Spaniard broke Weber 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in M25 Tarragona.
Santamarta has a composed 12-8 win-loss record in 2025, 12-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Marionneau | Santamarta |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 18 |
| Pts | 92-89 | 63-40 |
| Total Points | 181 | 103 |
| Winners | 40 | 25 |
| %Winners | 43% | 40% |
Both Marionneau and Santamarta played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Lucas Marionneau conceded 1 set while Andres Santamarta Roig hasn’t dropped a set so far. Marionneau has played 1 set more than Santamarta (3 vs 2). Therefore, Marionneau played 10 games more than Santamarta. Lucas scored 40 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard fired 25 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Marionneau | Santamarta |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 55/98 | 31/49 |
| %1st in | 56% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 40/55 | 25/31 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 22/43 | 13/18 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 72% |
Marionneau made 3 aces . Santamarta didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Marionneau won 73% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Santamarta won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Marionneau | Santamarta |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 33% | 43% |
| Conceded | 14 | 2 |
| Saved | 11 | 2 |
| % Saved | 79% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Marionneau broke his opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Lucas lost his serve 3 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded. Santamarta broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Santamarta was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Marionneau | |||
| Q1 Agafonov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 92-89 | 92-89 | |
| Total points | 181 | 181 | |
| Winners | 40 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 55/98 | 55/98 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 40/55 | 40/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/43 | 22/43 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 14 | |
| Saved | 11/14 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 79% | 79% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Santamarta | |||
| Q1 Weber |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-40 | 63-40 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/49 | 31/49 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 25/31 | 25/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 13/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 72% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLLLWW
LWWLWWWWLW 
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